Arlene still has an impressive circulation..

#1 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:51 am

Arlene still has an impressive circulation despite her current weakening trend. I would not be surprise to see her regain some strenghth as she moves closer to land.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=7

#2 Postby **loon** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:56 am

I'm finding it impossible to find the center...hehe, what a mess she is. You make a good point, she is spinning nicely still...weird storm

Normandy · #3 Postby **Normandy** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 2:04 am

I actually dont find her circulation that impressive at all....it seems elongated.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #4 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 2:05 am

I think she is dieing because of the cold north Gulf waters. Kind of like Ivan did.

Normandy · #5 Postby **Normandy** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 2:07 am

I think its that dry air....look at the WV loops....shes dry as a bone.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #6 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 2:13 am

I think for the 5am est Advisory it will be 50 mph. Thats be the recon data

I guest I should eat my crow now for saying it was going to be a hurricane. Wow it is going to kill off the crow before long.

Thunder44 · #7 Postby **Thunder44** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 2:49 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I think she is dieing because of the cold north Gulf waters. Kind of like Ivan did.

No, the check the buoys out there. Water temps are still warm.

you can tell from this water vapor loop that dry air is killing her. Look the dry air punch from the south. I wonder if this is happening because she start moving more WNW.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Derek Ortt · #8 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 2:58 am

the radar is showing a resumption of the NNW track as it approaches the UL disturbance. Circulation is still impressive on the radar, with a feeder band becoming better defined

mobilebay · #9 Postby **mobilebay** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 3:02 am

Derek Ortt wrote:the radar is showing a resumption of the NNW track as it approaches the UL disturbance. Circulation is still impressive on the radar, with a feeder band becoming better defined

I agree derek and recon just had ob 6 and reported 65 knot winds near 29n and 85W. It still has pop!

Derek Ortt · #10 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 3:05 am

one note about sat singature

always go by the radar. 1996 Bertha was pathetic on satellite, as was Alex last year, yet the radar showed a very impressive, rapidly intensifying cyclone. This has not weakened as much as some here want to believe

mobilebay · #11 Postby **mobilebay** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 3:09 am

Derek Ortt wrote:one note about sat singature

always go by the radar. 1996 Bertha was pathetic on satellite, as was Alex last year, yet the radar showed a very impressive, rapidly intensifying cyclone. This has not weakened as much as some here want to believe

that's funny. Some of these people need to go to work for the circus because they sure know how to fold a tent! :lol:

#12 Postby **Cookiely** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 3:09 am

Derek Ortt wrote:one note about sat singature

always go by the radar. 1996 Bertha was pathetic on satellite, as was Alex last year, yet the radar showed a very impressive, rapidly intensifying cyclone. This has not weakened as much as some here want to believe

Derek, can you tell me what the feature is that is just south of Cuba (a spin with some convection) is it part of the convection associated with Arlene or a separate entity?

Derek Ortt · #13 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 3:18 am

I'd have to take a close look and will do so once Arlene moves onshore in a few hours. I have been completely focused on Arlene the last 48 hours

Arlene still has an impressive circulation..

Arlene still has an impressive circulation..

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