Tropical Storm Arlene Intermediate Advisory Number 10a
Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on June 10, 2005
...Arlene becoming better organized as it moves toward the
northern Gulf Coast...could become a hurricane by Saturday...
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect from the mouth of the Pearl
River to Indian Pass Florida. A Hurricane Watch means that
hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...
generally within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the northern Gulf
Coast from Grand Isle Louisiana to Steinhatchee river Florida...
including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain. A
Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the Dry Tortugas.
Interests elsewhere in the eastern Gulf of Mexico and adjacent land
areas should closely monitor the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Tropical Storm Arlene was
located near latitude 26.4 north... longitude 85.6 west or about
280 miles southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River and
about 295 miles south-southeast of Pensacola Florida.
Arlene is now moving north-northwestward near 18 mph...and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On
this track...the center of Arlene will be approaching the northern
coast of the Gulf of Mexico on Saturday. Arlene is a large tropical
storm...and most of the associated rain and winds will arrive much
earlier than the center.
Recent data from a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that
maximum sustained winds have now increased to near 70 mph...with
higher gusts...and these winds are occurring mainly to the north
and east of the center. Some strengthening is forecast during the
next 24 hours...and Arlene could become a hurricane later tonight
or on Saturday.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 150 miles... mainly
to the north and east of the center.
The minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA reconnaissance
aircraft was 992 mb...29.29 inches.
Heavy rainfall associated with Arlene is expected to continue across
central and western Cuba and most of Florida. Additional rainfall
amounts of 3 to 5 inches is possible across these regions...with
isolated maximum amounts of up to 7 inches. Heavy rain associated
with Arlene will continue to spread northward through the southeast
...Southern Appalachians...Tennessee Valley and Ohio Valley this
evening into this weekend. Storm total precipitation of 4 to 8
inches is expected along and to the east of the track of Arlene...
with isolated amounts up to 12 inches along the central to
eastern Gulf Coast states.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be
expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.
Water levels are currently about one-half foot above normal tide
levels along the northern Gulf Coast.
Isolated tornadoes could occur over portions of southern and
west-central Florida and the Florida Keys tonight.
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...26.4 N... 85.6 W. Movement
toward...north-northwest near 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds...
70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 992 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center
at 11 PM EDT.
Forecaster Stewart
8pm Arlene-70 mph... almost a hurricane
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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feederband
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hurricanedude
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feederband
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Pebbles
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jason0509 wrote:Everyone is missing a huge point (HUGE):
5 MB DROP IN 3 HOURS.
Thankyou! I am not saying she gonna be a cane for sure. But considering the conditions I think she is making a fantastic tropical storm. And that pressure drop says she's not giving up by a long shot.
Edit: 3 point drop is still a drop
Christine
I smile because i have no idea what's going on!
2005 guess: 15/10/6
<----- Feel free to Rub the cute LUCKY Pebbles belly!
Last edited by Pebbles on Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Pebbles wrote:jason0509 wrote:Everyone is missing a huge point (HUGE):
5 MB DROP IN 3 HOURS.
Thankyou! I am not saying she gonna be a cane for sure. But considering the conditions I think she is making a fantastic tropical storm. And that pressure drop says she's not giving up by a long shot.
Christine
2005 guess: 15/10/6
<----- Feel free to Rub the cute LUCKY Pebbles belly!
Wasn't it 992 at 5 pm too. Just checked and I must have been thinking of 11 a.m. advisory. Nope I was wrong. It is a 5 mb drop.
Wow:)
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Pebbles
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LOL.. you know I don't remember. Last I check was recons and that said 996 oh couple hours ago or so.. so she's been dropping all along. After reading so much and looking over so much you tend to forget exactly what numbers you saw at what times.
Christine
I smile because i have no idea what's going on!
2005 guess: 15/10/6
<----- Feel free to Rub the cute LUCKY Pebbles belly!
Christine
I smile because i have no idea what's going on!
2005 guess: 15/10/6
<----- Feel free to Rub the cute LUCKY Pebbles belly!
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Steve Cosby
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Mystery...
hurricanedude wrote:If its just 4 mph shy of a cane and its approaching the coast at almost 20mph....I thinks it would be wise to have upgraded the Hurricane Watch to a Warning...its close enough and because the nhc believes it will get stronger...why not!!??
One of the mysteries of nature... (the NHC that is)
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HurricaneGirl
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