2AM Forecast 4...back to original thinking -- UNOFFICIAL

[ncweatherwizard]

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
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2AM Forecast 4:

http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... rlene.html

I've gone back with UKMET a little bit; but I'm not so sure about swinging way over yet like GFDL...nonetheless, we're still dealing with a narrow envelope. It'd be funny to miss by 2 states but be off by only 60nm--starting to wonder...

[yoda]

Good ideas... I like it.

[Aquawind]

Yep.. I see we have some convection at least close to the center..lol Once past the island and if the shear does weaken 50kts could be in 24 hours easily..imho

Paul

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It will slowly pump heat/moisture into the Atmosphere intill it wins!