Arlene: probably a TD

[MGC]

Arlene looks as bad as a TS could look this afternoon. I'm willing to bet recon will have a hard time finding TS force winds. Convection is still well removed from the exposed circulation center.....MGC

[Brent]

46 kt flight level winds... NE Quadrant from Recon.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The old LLC is dieing. A new one is forming under the convection it will make this look a heck of alot more classic.

[HURAKAN]

Arlene looks as bad as a TS could look this afternoon. I'm willing to bet recon will have a hard time finding TS force winds. Convection is still well removed from the exposed circulation center.....MGC

Never bet on a tropical cyclone!

[skysummit]

Heck...she looks a whole lot better than yesterday, and even better than some moments this morning. I think she's beginning to get her act together now.

[James]

Never bet on a tropical cyclone!

Yuhuh, I agree!

[LSU2001]

no joke its like betting on the Saints

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I'm waiting to see recon to confirm this new LLC.

[wxman57]

The old LLC is dieing. A new one is forming under the convection it will make this look a heck of alot more classic.

I agree. The center had become quite elongated NE-SW today. Even though the buoy southwest of the new convection area still reports NE winds, I think a new center will probably form closer to that convection. Won't change much except that landfall might have to be adjusted farther east a bit.

[cycloneye]

MGC I disagree.It has becomed a bit better organized late this afternoon as a new center is forming closer to convection or under it.

[Javlin]

I think MGC she is stearting to come together some.Before I read Matt's comment I would bet this is the new area of interest.Once in the GOM away from land with some relaxed shear something could happen possibily.

[dhweather]

no joke its like betting on the Saints

THAT is a fatal mistake!!

[MGC]

I always bet on the Saints, to lose. Now, if the center relocates Arlene will have a better chance. But, this afternoon she looked horrible, nothing more than a naked swirl. Most of you guys crack me up, you should go out for the hurricane cheerleader squad....MGC

[Steve]

If you always bet on the Saints to lose - especially as road dogs, chances are you've lost a ton of money in the Haslett era where we actually have one of the top away records in football.

Steve

[Stormcenter]

If you always bet on the Saints to lose - especially as road dogs, chances are you've lost a ton of money in the Haslett era where we actually have one of the top away records in football.

Steve

I thought this was a weather forum?

[MGC]

Well Steve, my husband and I have had season tickets the past few seasons and if I had put money on the home team I'd have to panhandle in the quarter like the other bums in NO......MGC

[Steve]

>>I thought this was a weather forum?

Ummm, whatever gave you that idea? Heh. In any event, I'm always defending the Saints even if I'm at the White House having dinner with the President. /who dat

Oh btw, it's hot out tonight

Steve

[Brent]

>>I thought this was a weather forum?

Ummm, whatever gave you that idea? Heh. In any event, I'm always defending the Saints even if I'm at the White House having dinner with the President. /who dat

Oh btw, it's hot out tonight

Steve

Thunder here. Last gasp for the afternoon storms.

[MGC]

Brent, get your rain Gage ready, you are in for a soaker this weekend.....MGC

[Brent]

Brent, get your rain Gage ready, you are in for a soaker this weekend.....MGC

Surprise, surprise. Getting used to it... I can't remember the first week of June being so wet. Today's one of only 2 it hasn't rained(storm is still nearby so it could). We picked up an inch in about a half hour yesterday and we've had at least 6" since Memorial Day. Some places have had upwards of 10" nearby. Fortunately, it looks like the heaviest rain will be west of here(I'm on the AL/GA line).