18Z GFS - SE LA/MS in 48 hours

#1 Postby **dhweather** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:02 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_048m.gif

Agua · #2 Postby **Agua** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:05 pm

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Come back when you've got something better to say.

#3 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:33 pm

GFS= Good for S... :lol:

Frankly I don't see that storm moving up that quickly, although you never know.

I can't see the LLC, I don't know really where it is.

HurryKane · #4 Postby **HurryKane** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 6:15 pm

dhweather wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_slp_048m.gif

Yo mama. Quit -removed-.

#5 Postby **dhweather** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 6:45 pm

I knew you'd be excited. :5:

sunny · #6 Postby **sunny** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 6:52 pm

The mets here are not overly concerned.

zoeyann · #7 Postby **zoeyann** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 6:55 pm

No Sunny they do not sound concerned at all. In fact, it should pass well to our easy and not be a Louisiana problem at all.

sunny · #8 Postby **sunny** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 6:58 pm

zoeyann wrote:No Sunny they do not sound concerned at all. In fact, it should pass well to our easy and not be a Louisiana problem at all.

Yep. We may get some pretty good winds out of it. But I don't think they are expecting a whole lot more at this point.

#9 Postby **dhweather** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:00 pm

The GFS may be right and it makes landfall at NOLA - but all the weather is east of the center.

cajungal · #10 Postby **cajungal** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:01 pm

I will even see less than you, Sunny, since I am west of the city. Terrebonne Parish should not see a thing out of Arlene. Sun will probably shine on us. It is not like it would matter to me anyway, because I have to work all weekend straight through. They will not close for a measly tropical storm. It has to be at least cat 3 or above for them to even consider closing. Arlene is just a reminder that we are in for a long season. And just get your supplies ready because when the cape verde season starts, that is when the real worry will kick in for coastal folks.

zoeyann · #11 Postby **zoeyann** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:08 pm

Yeah cajungal your right this is good good time to check everything and make sure your prepared. Your employeer sounds like alot down here. They don't give you time off unless the building is caving in, and at that it's only so you can not sue if you get hurt.

sunny · #12 Postby **sunny** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:15 pm

I work in One Shell Square. Shell has their own met who advises them. When they close the building, they have to let us go. Building policy. Security reasons. Boy were they ticked two years ago when we got Izzy and then Lily the very next week!

Last year for Ivan, they actually ESCORTED my boss out of the building because she was still there working :eek:

#13 Postby **BayouVenteux** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:17 pm

If anything, we may have this recent (and MOST welcome) stretch of daily sea breeze thunderstorms shut down this weekend, as we will probably experience subsidence on the western side of Arlene, leaving us high, dry, and hotter than we've been for the last week and a half.

StormChasr · #14 Postby **StormChasr** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:18 pm

You folks will get something, but the Panhandle of Florida will get the worst of it, once again.

#15 Postby **Steve** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:27 pm

LOL dh. FWIW, the European/ECMWF site is back up. The most recent data I can get is 12z which still took the system in west of New Orleans and doesn't appear to tighten it all that much (maybe close to landfall). It has the tendency toward a left bias when it doesn't sniff out development. Here's the link (if it works).

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 12!!!step/

Steve

#16 Postby **MGC** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:31 pm

I'm still thinking Florida Panhandle. No evidence of a westerly turn, don't think the ridge to the east will stear Arlene to La or Miss.......MGC

#17 Postby **Stormcenter** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:34 pm

MGC wrote:I'm still thinking Florida Panhandle. No evidence of a westerly turn, don't think the ridge to the east will stear Arlene to La or Miss.......MGC

It's not in the GOM yet and that is when turn it supposed to take place and not in the Carribean, patience.

CYCLONE MIKE · #18 Postby **CYCLONE MIKE** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:39 pm

Hey BayouVeneaux, where are you in Ascension? How did you make out through the tornadic storm that went through?

#19 Postby **BayouVenteux** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:58 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:Hey BayouVenteaux, where are you in Ascension? How did you make out through the tornadic storm that went through?

I'm in the Prairieville/Dutchtown area. My wife called me about 45 minutes ago (I'm still at work) and said I should hold off coming home. The noise has stopped to my SE (I'm up in Baton Rouge) so I guess it's done for the night. Heard y'all got hammered...was it actually a tornado or t-storm straight-line winds? That's the second time in a week or so that Gonzales has been nailed...I saw the EA bleachers last week. Quite a mess! :eek:

#20 Postby **tailgater** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 8:16 pm

Police in the St. Gab area reported funnel cloud

18Z GFS - SE LA/MS in 48 hours

18Z GFS - SE LA/MS in 48 hours

Re: 18Z GFS - SE LA/MS in 48 hours

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