Does anyone believe.....

[dixiebreeze]

that Arlene will track as far NW as predicted by the Mets:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg

[Deenac813]

It is too close for comfort here for me. We are starting to get some rain here and I am sure it will be lasting for days

[Stormcenter]

that Arlene will track as far NW as predicted by the Mets:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg

Very possible but with Tropical systems you just never no especially since she has yet to even reach the GOM.

[StormChasr]

It will be very close to the Ivan track.

[dixiebreeze]

that Arlene will track as far NW as predicted by the Mets:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg

Very possible but with Tropical systems you just never no especially since she has yet to even reach the GOM.

Yes, and GOM systems are typically pretty unpredictable. We have a ways to go with this one.

[jax]

there does seem to be quite a bit of agreement...
all the models seem to be within 200 mile at 3 days
out... that's VERY rare...

[Pebbles]

You know.. it's really too early to say. I never like to make any kind a call unless it is a stated off the top of my head pick any spot wild guess, at this stage of the game. But have to say the models have been pretty close together considering. Going to be interesting to see if they pan out.

Christine
I smile because i have no idea what's going on!
2005 guess: 15/10/6
<----- Feel free to Rub the cute LUCKY Pebbles belly!

[EmeraldCoast1]

that Arlene will track as far NW as predicted by the Mets:

You will be protected by the force field of the ridge. Arlene will be a classic "ridge-rider".

[Brent]

I don't see it going any farther east than the western Panhandle(Pensacola-FWB) and any farther west than Biloxi. Remember: Most all of the effects will be east of where the center tracks anyway.