IF the convection wraps around, this will be interesting

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dhweather
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IF the convection wraps around, this will be interesting

#1 Postby dhweather » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:55 am

Right now, it's still asymetrical (lopsided to the east of the center)
however, if that can manage to wrap around, this might get interesting.



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 09, 2005 7:59 am

Image

You can see the center much better at visible and yes if it wraps then interesting things will happen..
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#3 Postby Brent » Thu Jun 09, 2005 8:09 am

If it wraps... then this is going to get serious. :eek:
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#4 Postby cyclonaut » Thu Jun 09, 2005 8:10 am

I think this is the type of scenario where the most of the weaher associated with thissystem will remain on its east side.
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#5 Postby Droop12 » Thu Jun 09, 2005 8:11 am

Im guessing if its staying a TS up until landfall it wont wrap fully. It seems all tropical storms are quite lopsided. But I do agree. If this thing wraps up it could get going faster then we think.
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#6 Postby Brent » Thu Jun 09, 2005 8:14 am

Droop12 wrote:Im guessing if its staying a TS up until landfall it wont wrap fully. It seems all tropical storms are quite lopsided. But I do agree. If this thing wraps up it could get going faster then we think.


I've seen some Cat 1 hurricanes be lopsided. Danny(1997), Irene(1999), even Allison 1995(formed near where this did). It weakened to a TS before landfall though.

Danny was moving at a snail's pace and came across the Mouth of the Mississippi and then into Mobile Bay. It was bizarre... all the rain would be east of the center and then it would rotate around and all be west of the center. :lol:
Last edited by Brent on Thu Jun 09, 2005 8:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#7 Postby canegrl04 » Thu Jun 09, 2005 8:15 am

Try dangerous :eek:
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#8 Postby AussieMark » Thu Jun 09, 2005 8:40 am

Brent wrote:
Droop12 wrote:Im guessing if its staying a TS up until landfall it wont wrap fully. It seems all tropical storms are quite lopsided. But I do agree. If this thing wraps up it could get going faster then we think.


I've seen some Cat 1 hurricanes be lopsided. Danny(1997), Irene(1999), even Allison 1995(formed near where this did). It weakened to a TS before landfall though.

Danny was moving at a snail's pace and came across the Mouth of the Mississippi and then into Mobile Bay. It was bizarre... all the rain would be east of the center and then it would rotate around and all be west of the center. :lol:


Earl in 1998 was also lopsided right :?:
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#9 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jun 09, 2005 8:41 am

I think it is wraping. Just look at if the cirualtion is around 19.5. If so then the northern in eastern quads now have deep covnection. This baby may form into a ball sooner or later.
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#10 Postby Brent » Thu Jun 09, 2005 8:43 am

tropicalweatherwatcher wrote:
Brent wrote:
Droop12 wrote:Im guessing if its staying a TS up until landfall it wont wrap fully. It seems all tropical storms are quite lopsided. But I do agree. If this thing wraps up it could get going faster then we think.


I've seen some Cat 1 hurricanes be lopsided. Danny(1997), Irene(1999), even Allison 1995(formed near where this did). It weakened to a TS before landfall though.

Danny was moving at a snail's pace and came across the Mouth of the Mississippi and then into Mobile Bay. It was bizarre... all the rain would be east of the center and then it would rotate around and all be west of the center. :lol:


Earl in 1998 was also lopsided right :?:


Yep... Earl was VERY lopsided. Didn't even look like a hurricane, but it packed a punch.
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#11 Postby drezee » Thu Jun 09, 2005 8:59 am

Danny from '97 was in no way loopsided!

Image

Image

Image
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#12 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Jun 09, 2005 9:06 am

Good ole Danny formed from some a vicious MCS that moved through my area about 24 hours before things starting circulating out in the gulf. I remember he also stalled in Mobile bay for a long time while Kristen Dodd from TWC was getting whipped for hours by 100mph gusts on the coast.
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#13 Postby AussieMark » Thu Jun 09, 2005 9:07 am

Brent wrote:
tropicalweatherwatcher wrote:
Brent wrote:
Droop12 wrote:Im guessing if its staying a TS up until landfall it wont wrap fully. It seems all tropical storms are quite lopsided. But I do agree. If this thing wraps up it could get going faster then we think.


I've seen some Cat 1 hurricanes be lopsided. Danny(1997), Irene(1999), even Allison 1995(formed near where this did). It weakened to a TS before landfall though.

Danny was moving at a snail's pace and came across the Mouth of the Mississippi and then into Mobile Bay. It was bizarre... all the rain would be east of the center and then it would rotate around and all be west of the center. :lol:


Earl in 1998 was also lopsided right :?:


Yep... Earl was VERY lopsided. Didn't even look like a hurricane, but it packed a punch.


Early just looked like a bunch of messed up clouds :lol:
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yea

#14 Postby Dave C » Thu Jun 09, 2005 9:07 am

I remember when Danny sat in Mobile bay for several hrs. Had very nice structure for cat 1 system. :wink:
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#15 Postby baygirl_1 » Thu Jun 09, 2005 9:10 am

Okay, bringing up Danny now is just plain ugly! No repeats, PLEASE!!! :eek: :lol:
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#16 Postby Brent » Thu Jun 09, 2005 9:19 am

PTrackerLA wrote:Good ole Danny formed from some a vicious MCS that moved through my area about 24 hours before things starting circulating out in the gulf. I remember he also stalled in Mobile bay for a long time while Kristen Dodd from TWC was getting whipped for hours by 100mph gusts on the coast.


I remember that well. Complete with a squall line and rain mass. It moved directly south very rapidly and I was keeping an eye out since I figured something would come of it.
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#17 Postby LSU2001 » Thu Jun 09, 2005 10:44 am

I know the main convection is still to the east but the latest visible images sure look like this thing is trying hard to wrap up tight. Maybe I am just seeing things that are not there with my untrained eyes.
Tim :lol: :lol:
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#18 Postby EmeraldCoast1 » Thu Jun 09, 2005 11:13 am

But remember, when the forward speed picks up (predicted), it will take a few steps backwards in symmetry. The convection may be left behind.
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#19 Postby HurricaneGirl » Thu Jun 09, 2005 11:13 am

It looks like she is trying pretty hard to wrap...... :eek:
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