NHC Tropical Probabilities #1

[dhweather]

<pre>
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED JUN 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2005

LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E

19.9N 84.3W 38 1 X X 39 TAMPA FL X X 1 5 6
22.2N 85.1W 5 25 1 X 31 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 6 6
24.5N 86.3W X 13 11 1 25 ST MARKS FL X X X 7 7
MWCG 193N 814W 7 3 1 X 11 APALACHICOLA FL X X 1 9 10
MUCF 221N 805W X 1 X 1 2 PANAMA CITY FL X X 1 9 10
MUSN 216N 826W 3 14 X 1 18 PENSACOLA FL X X 1 10 11
MUHA 230N 824W X 7 4 1 12 MOBILE AL X X 1 10 11
MUAN 219N 850W 8 24 X X 32 GULFPORT MS X X 1 11 12
MMCZ 205N 869W 9 9 1 X 19 BURAS LA X X 2 12 14
MHNJ 165N 859W 6 X X X 6 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 1 11 12
MMMD 210N 897W X X 1 3 4 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 10 10
MARATHON FL X X 1 3 4 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 6 6
MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 GALVESTON TX X X X 5 5
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X X X 4 4
FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 3 3
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W X X 2 9 11
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X 4 10 14
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W X X 6 10 16
KEY WEST FL X X 3 3 6 GULF 28N 91W X X 2 11 13
MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 93W X X X 8 8
FT MYERS FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 95W X X X 5 5
VENICE FL X X 1 6 7 GULF 27N 96W X X X 2 2

COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA

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[The Big Dog]

W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2

I don't need to see this city listed. grrrr....