#47 Postby Windspeed » Fri Jun 03, 2005 1:25 am
A few thoughts:
1) I agree that Peter Cordani needs to get with some professional meteorologists and let them discuss the principles of heat transfer, water vapor, supercooled water and the Bergeron process. Whether soaking up aged raindrops does or does not affect a cummulonimbus cloud, it is not going to stop collision, coalescence, and nucleation from occuring in the airmass. In fact, removing the large droplets could actually rapidly intensify coalescence in a saturated airmass of a hurricane, especially in higher altitudes where it contains supercooled water. His dyno-mat product is not going to remove the particulate matter that is allowing the vapor to condense into condensation nuclei in the first place. He needs to understand that the levels of water vapor and relative humidity of the air around these condensation nuclei are what is going to continue to drive the thunderstorm development. In other words, I cannot see how soaking up raindrops will do anything more than have a short-lived affect on the cummulonimbus thunderstorm cloud that is being dumped with hundreds of thousands of pounds of this stuff. But even in that, where is this guy's research data? Why is it not published or openly made available for review? God forbid if he was doing this in the name of an academic institution. Oh, wait, he is a PRIVATELY OWNED company and this is a BUSINESS VENTURE! Has this guy got anyone from the academic or scientific community to look into his research other than the folks he has working for him? I for one am still not convinced of his claim that this product alone was the direct cause of his test thunderstorm dying out.
2) Okay, let us imagine for a moment that this product actually was capable of stopping or even slowing down the processes in volved with cumulonimbus development in a tropical cyclone. This guy is going to be testing on a tropical storm this season, correct? Even if it suppresses the storm's development, there is not enough Dyno-jel in the world to repeatedly continue attacking a surface low in a favorable atmospheric environment for intensification. The TC will eventually win the battle because even if they are slowing down thunderstorm development, they cannot suppress it forever. The storm is going to continue intensifying, even if it at a slower pace.
3) Just like in #2, let us assume this product works or somewhat works, and does positively suppress or hinder the development of a TC. Let us not forget he is flying 747s into WEAK cyclone! I cannot stress WEAK enough. How in the hell is this guy going to fly 747s or ANY convoy of large airliners into a Catagory 3, 4 or 5 hurricane? Even if there was successful 5% to 15% reduction in the intensity of a Catagory 4 hurricane, there is no way to get the hypthosized amount of product required into a storm of such intensity because there is no way to get large planes near an eyewall that would be needed to carry 200,000 lb, multiple payloads. And if he thinks he is going to get a sane airline pilot to fly a 747 into a Major Hurricane, he better have one hell of an insurance company, because even if he survives, his company will not.
And well, that is all...
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