Ominous looking Caribbean this a.m......
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dixiebreeze
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cycloneye
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CARIBBEAN...
THE PATTERN REMAINS UNSETTLED/WET OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND
CENTRAL AMERICA AS MULTILEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO POOL ACROSS
THE AREA AND THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN HAS BECOME MORE DIFFLUENT
WITH AN AMPLIFYING MID/UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE W
COAST OF COLOMBIA N INTO THE W ATLC BEYOND 32N73W. CURRENTLY...
STRONG CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM
14N81W TO E CUBA NEAR 22N83W AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
ARE W OF A LINE FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W TO CUBA NEAR
22N80W...BUT ARE OFF MOSTLY OFF-SHORE. EXPECT THIS OVERALL AREA
TO REMAIN UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE UPSTREAM
TROUGH WILL BE SLOW TO LIFT N.
Yes llamative convection but unfavorable as discussion thius morning says from TPC.
Water Vapor shows clearly the upper low in the Gulf and the divergent flow east of that low causing convection but unfavorable conditions.
THE PATTERN REMAINS UNSETTLED/WET OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND
CENTRAL AMERICA AS MULTILEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO POOL ACROSS
THE AREA AND THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN HAS BECOME MORE DIFFLUENT
WITH AN AMPLIFYING MID/UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE W
COAST OF COLOMBIA N INTO THE W ATLC BEYOND 32N73W. CURRENTLY...
STRONG CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM
14N81W TO E CUBA NEAR 22N83W AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
ARE W OF A LINE FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W TO CUBA NEAR
22N80W...BUT ARE OFF MOSTLY OFF-SHORE. EXPECT THIS OVERALL AREA
TO REMAIN UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE UPSTREAM
TROUGH WILL BE SLOW TO LIFT N.
Yes llamative convection but unfavorable as discussion thius morning says from TPC.
Water Vapor shows clearly the upper low in the Gulf and the divergent flow east of that low causing convection but unfavorable conditions.
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cycloneye
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boca_chris wrote:The whole mess is moving towards FL
Why do you post this?
What is there for you to be afraid of?
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Maybe there is something...West winds reported from buoy 42056. Seems like possibly a small circulation developing under the deepest convection to the NW.
06 02 1150 WNW 23.3 29.1 4.9 7 5.2 - 29.86 +0.05 77.7 84.2 73.6
06 02 1150 WNW 23.3 29.1 4.9 7 5.2 - 29.86 +0.05 77.7 84.2 73.6
Last edited by drezee on Thu Jun 02, 2005 9:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
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dixiebreeze
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cycloneye wrote:boca_chris wrote:The whole mess is moving towards FL
Why do you post this?
I think sometimes things are posted as matter of interest -- not necessarily because anyone is "afraid." Not every post is an indication that the poster believes something tropical is imminent.
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HurryKane
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dixiebreeze wrote:cycloneye wrote:boca_chris wrote:The whole mess is moving towards FL
Why do you post this?
I think sometimes things are posted as matter of interest -- not necessarily because anyone is "afraid." Not every post is an indication that the poster believes something tropical is imminent.
I think Luis might have been referring to the little "oh no!" emoticon. That makes a benign sentence (it's moving towards Florida) appear to mean "OH MY GOD IT'S GONNA DESTROY FLORIDA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!"
My kingdom against the abuse of emoticons
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Weatherboy1
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upper level low causing this
So far, it appears that this mass of storms is related to the upper low at the tip of the Yucatan. Typically on the SE and E sides of these upper lows (which are visible in water vapor imagery), you see a lot of storms firing up. While pressures are relatively low in the NW Caribbean, and this is an area where storms sometimes develop in June, there's no evidence of a surface low yet that I can find from regional wind readings, satellite pictures, etc. Worth watching given the time of year, but for now, it's just a bunch of rain and thunder in my opinion.
-Mike
-Mike
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My issue with these types of postings is that relatively "uneducated in tropical weather" readers will see some of these posts and start the mass spreading of misinformation.
"I see banding in the blob in the gulf"
- it's just a blob, there's 30kt shear over it, and nobody else sees it
- it's headed to Florida - all "it" is, well, is rain.
Knee jerk actions and reactions are counterproductive for storm2k and for the overall community.
"I see banding in the blob in the gulf"
- it's just a blob, there's 30kt shear over it, and nobody else sees it
- it's headed to Florida
- all "it" is, well, is rain.
Knee jerk actions and reactions are counterproductive for storm2k and for the overall community.
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Brent
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dhweather wrote:My issue with these types of postings is that relatively "uneducated in tropical weather" readers will see some of these posts and start the mass spreading of misinformation.
"I see banding in the blob in the gulf"
- it's just a blob, there's 30kt shear over it, and nobody else sees it
- it's headed to Florida
Knee jerk actions and reactions are counterproductive for storm2k and for the overall community.
I agree... it's not even that ominous. The convection isn't organized, it flares up and down. A Cat 4 hurricane bearing down IS ominous and worthy of panic.
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#neversummer
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cycloneye
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Brent wrote:dhweather wrote:My issue with these types of postings is that relatively "uneducated in tropical weather" readers will see some of these posts and start the mass spreading of misinformation.
"I see banding in the blob in the gulf"
- it's just a blob, there's 30kt shear over it, and nobody else sees it
- it's headed to Florida
Knee jerk actions and reactions are counterproductive for storm2k and for the overall community.
I agree... it's not even that ominous. The convection isn't organized, it flares up and down. A Cat 4 hurricane bearing down IS ominous and worthy of panic.
I wonder why someone post this
for something that is only a rainmaker and nothing else.
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