Tropical Development in the Florida Straits??

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StormChasr

#1 Postby StormChasr » Wed Jun 01, 2005 10:36 am

Not happening---just a bunch of blob lows, and huge bands of T-storms. Nothing cyclonic about it...just a stalled low.
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#2 Postby x-y-no » Wed Jun 01, 2005 10:42 am

I don't know what formula they use for calculating this probability, but it needs some tweaking because nothing tropical is going to develop out of this.

Jan
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#3 Postby Trader Ron » Wed Jun 01, 2005 10:47 am

Just some typical seasonal thunderstorms. :D :lol:
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#4 Postby Brent » Wed Jun 01, 2005 11:11 am

Kevin_Cho wrote:Okay cool lol thanks, wait...what about that 'blob' that's exiting the Texas coast?


It's part of the same system. IF it sits in the Gulf long enough it could develop(Danny in 1997 formed from a rain mass that moved south into the Gulf and sat for a couple of days)

Not saying that happens here though. :wink:
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#5 Postby x-y-no » Wed Jun 01, 2005 11:22 am

Brent wrote:
Kevin_Cho wrote:Okay cool lol thanks, wait...what about that 'blob' that's exiting the Texas coast?


It's part of the same system. IF it sits in the Gulf long enough it could develop(Danny in 1997 formed from a rain mass that moved south into the Gulf and sat for a couple of days)

Not saying that happens here though. :wink:


Yeah, sometimes a piece like that will get left behind when a trough lifts out. I don't see that happening here, though. That little dip in the southern branch of the jet isn't going anywhere over the next couple of days, so I figure that blob will swing around and head northeast across Florida just like the mess we're seeing today.

Jan
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