Atlantic Ridge dropping into place?

#1 Postby **dhweather** » Mon May 23, 2005 10:14 am

Most of the models (GFS, CMC, UKMET, NOGAPS) have a low swirling
offshore of the New England states this week, as a massive ridge builds
in, covering a large portion of the atlantic. Now, lets see if it sticks around, or gets run off.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

#2 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon May 23, 2005 8:31 pm

Here we go, maybe :eek:

#3 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon May 23, 2005 8:39 pm

Check out the NOGAPS at +120 (5 days) Hrs from May 23. That's looking alot like August to me :eek:

[img]
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/nogapstc ... hour=132hr
[/img]

Scorpion · #4 Postby **Scorpion** » Mon May 23, 2005 8:41 pm

Yep, pattern reversal. Here comes summer

.

Rainband · #5 Postby **Rainband** » Mon May 23, 2005 8:42 pm

Means nothing. Just because a High sets up doesn't mean Hurricanes will start flying at us from Africa :wink:

There are Many variables that have to fall into place.

#6 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon May 23, 2005 8:44 pm

yes rainband this is true but this is the first real sign of summer...this strong Atlantic ridge may be in place just in time for the begining of hurricane season

Rainband · #7 Postby **Rainband** » Mon May 23, 2005 8:53 pm

boca_chris wrote:yes rainband this is true but this is the first real sign of summer...this strong Atlantic ridge may be in place just in time for the begining of hurricane season

well I hope Florida catches a break this year. I for one will be more than happy tracking these storms from a far.

#8 Postby **dhweather** » Mon May 23, 2005 8:57 pm

There's a long way to go and way to many dynamics to even guess
what will happen exactly.

That's what makes it fun! (at least from a far)

#9 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon May 23, 2005 9:18 pm

yeah that is some ridge that these models are forecasting...how does this compare to say last year...?

cajungal · #10 Postby **cajungal** » Mon May 23, 2005 9:24 pm

Rainband wrote:Means nothing. Just because a High sets up doesn't mean Hurricanes will start flying at us from Africa There are Many variables that have to fall into place.

LOL. Flying at us from Africa! LOL :fools:

JTD · #11 Postby **JTD** » Mon May 23, 2005 10:12 pm

Rainband wrote:Means nothing. Just because a High sets up doesn't mean Hurricanes will start flying at us from Africa There are Many variables that have to fall into place.

Not the least of which is that shear is ripping everything up in the Atlantic right now. Is that still going on?

And is that usual for this time of year?

Scorpion · #12 Postby **Scorpion** » Tue May 24, 2005 7:21 am

Yes it is normal, which is why you don't see many Atlantic storms in June.

#13 Postby **vbhoutex** » Tue May 24, 2005 9:13 am

If you want some summer we will send it from Texas.

As for the pattern reversal happening now, it is early for that to happen. Not saying it won't be the beginning of it, but it is early.

#14 Postby **dhweather** » Tue May 24, 2005 9:07 pm

The models are reall starting to make the Azores ridge well established
next week.

GFS:

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... hour=144hr

NOGAPS:

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/nogapstc ... hour=144hr

UKMET:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... hour=144hr

#15 Postby **dhweather** » Wed May 25, 2005 1:44 pm

#16 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed May 25, 2005 1:59 pm

it's starting to look alot like summer :eek:

Atlantic Ridge dropping into place?

Atlantic Ridge dropping into place?

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