Atlantic Basin Has Alot of Troughiness Still

#1 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri May 20, 2005 9:32 am

Is this normal for late May? No sign of a Bermuda High and troughs in the Gulf, Caribbean, western, and Eastern Atlantic. It looks like more of a winter setup still. The story of this winter has been the strong troughs that have been exiting the Southeast US and it looks like this pattern is continuing...

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boca · #2 Postby **boca** » Fri May 20, 2005 9:38 am

If this is in fact the case we won't have to worry about systems coming at us from the East because they'll be torn to shreads. Theirs no El Nino so this pattern should not continue. Florida will have to worry about storms from the Gulf and Caribbean if this keeps up thoughout the summer.

boca · #3 Postby **boca** » Fri May 20, 2005 9:39 am

You should know this is normal for May studying weather for 20+ years, wait until June I feel the pattern will break.

cyclonaut · #4 Postby **cyclonaut** » Fri May 20, 2005 11:18 am

Its May.

rainstorm · #5 Postby **rainstorm** » Fri May 20, 2005 11:31 am

the pattern is the exact opposite of last season at this time

cyclonaut · #6 Postby **cyclonaut** » Fri May 20, 2005 11:45 am

rainstorm wrote:the pattern is the exact opposite of last season at this time

Yep all the storms will recurve this year..lets close it down there is no season this year.

Website · #7 Postby **Brent** » Fri May 20, 2005 12:54 pm

It's MAY.

#8 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri May 20, 2005 12:59 pm

The exitement should begin after Mid-July, don't start crying in May because the tropical pattern in not the "ideal" for development. I would call it as normal.

#9 Postby **dhweather** » Fri May 20, 2005 1:08 pm

It's May. The season doesn't officially start for another 11 days.

#10 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 20, 2005 1:54 pm

Are we going to start saying those familiar words DUD SEASON? :roll:

Last year those words were common here by some but then the gates opened after August 1.

krysof · #11 Postby **krysof** » Fri May 20, 2005 2:10 pm

that always happens, in winter, and hurricane season- an unusually deep east coast trough has developed and occurding to the CPC will stay for the next two weeks, but by early to mid June, it should diminish.

#12 Postby **tailgater** » Fri May 20, 2005 2:17 pm

One thing you might want to keep in mind is that the water temps across the Atlantic basin are for the most part above average. the best way to release this heat is though the tropicial storms, "Mother Nature will find a way" The season will be above average. We'll just have to wait and see which direction they take. I personally think the pattern will be similar to last years, with the backing and spilting Troughs. :idea:

#13 Postby **senorpepr** » Fri May 20, 2005 4:52 pm

Okay, I feel like this must be said. It’s rather obvious by looking at the subtropical ridge that this season is nothing more than a boring dud. I would be really surprised if anything develops between now and the end of July. Shear is just too great and the dry air is killing everything. Plus, since last year was so active, it’s just natural that things will swing in the opposite direction in order for the atmosphere to regain equilibrium.

Of course, I’m kidding.

I think the best course to take is to remain vigilant and see what the season throws our way.

kmanWX · #14 Postby **kmanWX** » Fri May 20, 2005 5:15 pm

cyclonaut wrote:
rainstorm wrote:the pattern is the exact opposite of last season at this time

Yep all the storms will recurve this year..lets close it down there is no season this year.

Wow so misinfomed...

Anonymous · #15 Postby **Anonymous** » Fri May 20, 2005 5:15 pm

Amen to that.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #16 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri May 20, 2005 5:45 pm

What was weird is that California to the south got 5 times the normal amount of rainfall this winter. It was all most as bad as the 1997/1998 El nino. You would not know that we did not have a strong el nino looking at how dry it was up here. In now it is very wet. Weird.

I'm thinking if this is the case. then with many troughs we will get many central Atlnatic systems that form out form cold core lows. We will see.

If I was a hurricane seasonal forecaster I would be watching this. It could be a big bust.

JTD · #17 Postby **JTD** » Fri May 20, 2005 5:54 pm

First, let me preface this by saying that I know very little of tropical meterology and certainly not enough to even make a forecast.

But my gut instinct is usually good and I sense that this season is going to be very slow. It's way too early to say scientifically but after 2004 being so active, it'd just make sense for 2005 to be a dud.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #18 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri May 20, 2005 6:03 pm

Like I said above. The weather on the west coast this past winter was alot like a El nino. I think that we will still have a normal season. But with alot of the systems starting from Extratropical lows. In look at the bright side the Eastern Pacific is likely to be much above normal.

I'm not sure just saying what years that has had this pattern(On the west coast) did.

#19 Postby **Jevo** » Fri May 20, 2005 8:59 pm

cyclonaut wrote:
rainstorm wrote:the pattern is the exact opposite of last season at this time

Yep all the storms will recurve this year..lets close it down there is no season this year.

hehehe I wonder how many will get your sarcasm in this or freak out on you :grr:

Atlantic Basin Has Alot of Troughiness Still

Atlantic Basin Has Alot of Troughiness Still

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