possible sts forming 45w 28n

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possible sts forming 45w 28n

#1 Postby rainstorm » Wed May 18, 2005 10:32 pm

i am keeping an eye peeled on that
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed May 18, 2005 10:46 pm

I agree rainstorm. It doe's have convection forming near the center. But it is most likely like the system that moved over the Gf stream a few weeks ago. Still worth watching.
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Coredesat

#3 Postby Coredesat » Wed May 18, 2005 10:52 pm

Highly doubtful. I can barely see any circulation at all, and the system looks extratropical to me (there's convection, but not much near the "center").

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

From high seas forecast:
SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
.ATLC LOW PRES 1010 MB NEAR 26N45W WITH TROUGH TO 17N54W MOVE
NE 10 KT. WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WIND E TO SE 20 TO
25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N E OF 50W WIND NE TO E 20
KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 26N42W WITH TROUGH TO 19N51W.
WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WIND E TO SE 20 TO 25 KT SEAS
8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N E OF 40W WIND E TO SE 20 KT SEAS
TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATING NEAR 29N39W WITH TROUGH
TO 21N48W. WITHIN 240 NM N QUADRANT OF LOW OVER FORECAST WATERS
WIND E 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
Last edited by Coredesat on Wed May 18, 2005 10:55 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Coredesat

#4 Postby Coredesat » Wed May 18, 2005 10:55 pm

I need to be faster on these things. When I hit "post reply", there were no replies. After I hit "submit", I saw there were five posts there. :lol:
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed May 18, 2005 11:00 pm

There doe's appears to be a cirualtion at 27.5/45 which appears to be at the surface. Just looke at Ir satelllite in you can clearly see it. It is still extratropical but if it where to move southwest then it has a chance.
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rainstorm

#6 Postby rainstorm » Thu May 19, 2005 5:36 am

still eyeing it closely
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#7 Postby george_r_1961 » Thu May 19, 2005 6:22 am

rainstorm wrote:still eyeing it closely


Nothing much to eye this morning. Convection has diminished.
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 19, 2005 6:37 am

REMAINDER OF THE ATLANTIC...
DEEP LAYERED TROUGH ALONG 42W CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD
THROUGH THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH A 1009 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED
NEAR 26N46W AND A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 17N52W.
DIFFLUENCE E OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS GENERATING A BAND
OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF 43W FROM
17N-28N WITH CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS TO THE FURTHER EAST
N OF 17N TO 30W. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD
BUT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT DOES SO.


The above from 8:05 Discussion from TPC.Nothing there to open eyebrows.
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