1006 MB and moving.....

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dixiebreeze
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1006 MB and moving.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue May 17, 2005 1:42 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE MAY 17 2005

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1445 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1006 MB CENTERED NEAR 10N 95.5W OR ABOUT
450 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUATEMALA AT 17/1200 MOVING SLOWLY NE.
CONVECTION HAS GROWN NEAR THE CENTER WITH BANDING BECOMING MORE
APPARENT. THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH
POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
UPPER WINDS HAVE ALSO BECOME A BIT MORE FAVORABLE WITH EVIDENCE
OF HIGH CLOUDS FANNING OUT ON THE WESTERN SIDE WITH A DIVERGENT
ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLOWLY
MOVE NE AS IT IS CAUGHT UP IN SW FLOW THRU A DEEP LAYER OF THE
ATMOSPHERE...A BIT UNUSUAL FOR THE EPAC. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER.
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#2 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue May 17, 2005 1:48 pm

Updated QuikScat for EPAC:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... E=ep902005
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cyclonaut

#3 Postby cyclonaut » Tue May 17, 2005 1:50 pm

Interesting..This can become a fairly strong little system IMO.
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#4 Postby HurricaneGirl » Tue May 17, 2005 2:09 pm

:eek: Holy Crap!
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#5 Postby jabber » Tue May 17, 2005 2:12 pm

Movement is a bit strange.. She is looking pretty nice I gotta say.
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#6 Postby dhweather » Tue May 17, 2005 2:17 pm

The sat images look like the environment is getting more and more
favorable - however the tops have warmed a little in the last couple
of frames.

Nonetheless, TD1 will be TS strength in 24-26 hours
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#7 Postby Agua » Tue May 17, 2005 2:21 pm

HurricaneGirl wrote::eek: Holy Crap!


LOL!!!! It wouldn't be a hurricane season with this. :lol:
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#8 Postby tailgater » Tue May 17, 2005 2:25 pm

Looking at the Quick-scat it's not as well organized as it looks on the Visible sat. pics, none the less it's very healthy for this time of year.
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