T # 1.0/1.0 FOR EPAC INVEST...

#1 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Tue May 17, 2005 9:17 am

17/1145 UTC 9.3N 96.1W T1.0/1.0 90E -- East Pacific Ocean

At 25 kts. now, looks like it's on its way.

#2 Postby **dhweather** » Tue May 17, 2005 9:21 am

This is gonna be interesting to watch.....

hurricanefloyd5 · #3 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Tue May 17, 2005 9:30 am

i'd bet money on that deal!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :lol:

#4 Postby **feederband** » Tue May 17, 2005 9:42 am

Well it's kind of neat to be looking at a system in the e-pac. Never paid to much attention to that area before. 8-)

#5 Postby **vbhoutex** » Tue May 17, 2005 9:45 am

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:i'd bet money on that deal!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Is that bet for just the TPAC portion of this or are you betting on when it crosses over too??

#6 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:03 am

Does anyone think it's starting to band?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

#7 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:05 am

25 kts. and 1006 mb: Looking good here:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Anonymous · #8 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:05 am

No doubt. This is showing signs. I am thinking in the next few hours a TD will form.

hurricanefloyd5 · #9 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:06 am

If not already then a t.s. is nearing soon!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11

x-y-no · #10 Postby **x-y-no** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:14 am

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:If not already then a t.s. is nearing soon!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11

Ummm ... you mean TD, I presume ....

Let's not get overexited. :wink:

Jan

chadtm80 · #11 Postby **chadtm80** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:16 am

dixiebreeze wrote:Does anyone think it's starting to band?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

Yes Dixie.. Its showing signs of "banding" for sure

hurricanefloyd5 · #12 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:19 am

no i mean t.s. i think it's already a t.d.#1-e. it's NEARING t.s.

#13 Postby **sponger** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:30 am

Hey if this thing makes into the Gulf, do we have to adjust every ones numbers???? I dont think anyone included a cross over as part of their forecast!!!!

12/5/3 including a cross over from epac. Now thats a forecast!

Derek Ortt · #14 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:46 am

the numbers dont need to be adjusted, because its an EPAC cyclone. If it crosses and maintains its identity, its still Adrian

Anonymous · #15 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:47 am

Nope. It would become Arlene.

chadtm80 · #16 Postby **chadtm80** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:48 am

Derek Ortt wrote:the numbers dont need to be adjusted, because its an EPAC cyclone. If it crosses and maintains its identity, its still Adrian

I always thought Crossovers got Re Named if the did happen to make it

x-y-no · #17 Postby **x-y-no** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:48 am

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:no i mean t.s. i think it's already a t.d.#1-e. it's NEARING t.s.

Well, I disagree with that. It certainly looks like it's at or near TD status, but nowhere near TS yet.

Jan

Brett Adair · #18 Postby **Brett Adair** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:50 am

Winds are definately of TS force in this thing, but no pronounced LLC via SCAT. This thing is defaintely becoming better organized though. If this thing tries to cross Mexico, the terrain will rip it to shreds. No chance of anything in the GoM IMO. Microwave SAT analysis is very impressive to me attm....we could have a storm by evening.

Anonymous · #19 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:53 am

chadtm80 wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:the numbers dont need to be adjusted, because its an EPAC cyclone. If it crosses and maintains its identity, its still Adrian

I always thought Crossovers got Re Named if the did happen to make it

They do. This is a common mistake. It has happened in the past. In late July 1996, the destructive Hurricane Cesar weakened to Tropical Depression Cesar and entered the Eastern pacific. TD-Cesar then stregthened to Tropical Storm Douglas, and Douglas eventually stayed out at sea, yet was a powerful Category 4 Hurricane.

Hyperstorm · #20 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Tue May 17, 2005 11:59 am

If advisories for the EPAC system are dropped as it crosses and it happens to regenerate with new advisories in the Atlantic, then it gets a new name...HOWEVER, if the system remains classified on its journey into the Atlantic (that is, having continuous advisories) it WILL retain the name.

I believe the system will make it to hurricane status since UL conditions are favorable and don't even talk about SSTs...

T # 1.0/1.0 FOR EPAC INVEST...

T # 1.0/1.0 FOR EPAC INVEST...

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