NOAA issues 2005 outlook=Another active season

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mf_dolphin
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#21 Postby mf_dolphin » Mon May 16, 2005 4:27 pm

StormChasr wrote:Last year, they grossly underestimated the number of storms. It would make sense to go with the highest projection that is likely, for the sake of having people prepared. Not only is it good science--it is good public relations.


How do you figure that they grossly underestimated the number of storms last year? For named storms 15 was the upper end of their range. Hurricanes - they only missed by 1 from the upper end of their range. The only number they missed in a big way was Major Hurricanes but I doubt anyone would have predicted that 6 out of 9 hurricanes would have made Major status....
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#22 Postby Agua » Mon May 16, 2005 4:36 pm

StormChasr wrote: Why do you insist that I am criticizing them--I am not.


Please identify any post authored by me in which I have represented that you are criticizing NOAA. After you've done that, go find at least one more to demonstrate that I am "insisting" that you are doing so.
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#23 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 16, 2005 4:40 pm

Folks the important thing no matter how the season will be in terms of number of named storms is that it only takes one system to change your life for many weeks and with my many experiences I can say about that.
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#24 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 16, 2005 6:53 pm

Image

A very interesting statistic from the NOAA outlook about how many major hurricanes formed in active years vs inactive years and how many landfalls occured in the US.
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#25 Postby x-y-no » Mon May 16, 2005 6:58 pm

I was going to say ... I sure hope that picture on the left isn't the official forecast for 2005 ...

:eek: :eek: :eek: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#26 Postby southerngale » Mon May 16, 2005 7:38 pm

cycloneye wrote:A very interesting statistic from the NOAA outlook about how many major hurricanes formed in active years vs inactive years and how many landfalls occured in the US.


No doubt. What a difference!
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#27 Postby StormChasr » Mon May 16, 2005 9:41 pm

No doubt. What a difference!


That is not really a map of hurricane tracks. They're two maps of the Americas, with blue and red pasta all over them. :D
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#28 Postby Agua » Mon May 16, 2005 10:50 pm

The absence of landfalling majors along the upper TX coast is striking. Odd.
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#29 Postby Javlin » Tue May 17, 2005 11:10 am

That is odd more in the BOC area and the NGOM.Then you got The Alley pluggin N TX with some kind of system this year.What if it happens was it just luck guys.I seriously think that alot of the recent research is leading the Met community to better forcast to landfall POTENTIAL possibility in the next 10yrs.
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