SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic and Pacific

#81 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed May 04, 2005 5:13 pm

cycloneye wrote:

The GOM waters are starting to warm as it is expected but in a slow pace at this time.The Gulfstream waters still are cool but some signs of warming are there but not in a fast pace.The Caribbean sea is very warm in all the areas and the Tropical Atlantic is very warm from 40w to 60w south of 20n.

The MDR area in the Tropical Atlantic is warming a bit more than in the past 3 weeks.Also the COA area has anomalys going up to +3.0c.On contrast the coolest area in the Atlantic are the Gulfstream waters off the east coast and in the Gulf Of Mexico especially in the northern area of the GOM.Also in parts of the western atlantic near the Bahamas are still cool.

#82 Postby **LSU2001** » Wed May 04, 2005 9:50 pm

I keep trying to post images but only seem to get red x's.
anyway this link shows bouy data off the La. coast in the gulf. It follows very closely with the data on the maps previously posted.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spll1

TIm

#83 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu May 05, 2005 6:12 pm

I will keep this thread up in the first page as this theme is one of the most important factors that will create plenty of tropical activity especially in the Caribbean and East of the Lesser Antilles.

#84 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 06, 2005 2:46 pm

In my years as a tropical weather fan I haved never seen this very warm Atlantic Basin especially the Tropical Atlantic and the Caribbean Sea in early May.It may be compared with 1995 sst's data and that is scary. :eek:

Scorpion · #85 Postby **Scorpion** » Fri May 06, 2005 2:49 pm

I think the situation with above average SST's in the central Atlantic and below average near the coast is perfect for hurricane season. We can get nice powerful storms that fall apart right before shore so it lessens the impact.

But Scorpion eventually those waters off the east coast will warm when July,August and September arrive.However if it mantains relativily below average then yes it will help to weaken systems that may try to get to the US from the Atlantic but if they warm as normally happens then it will be another story for the East coast.

#86 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 06, 2005 2:57 pm

Scorpion wrote:I think the situation with above average SST's in the central Atlantic and below average near the coast is perfect for hurricane season. We can get nice powerful storms that fall apart right before shore so it lessens the impact.

But Scorpion eventually those waters off the east coast will warm when July,August and September arrive.However if it mantains relativily below average then yes it will help to weaken systems that may try to get to the US from the Atlantic but if they warm as normally happens then it will be another story for the East coast.

#87 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon May 09, 2005 1:59 pm

In the updated grafic as of May 7th above of the anomalys in the Atlantic it shows some cooling of the waters off Western Africa which were at around +3.0c last week.But the MDR area continues very warm.In contrast look how cool the anomalys are at the GOM and especially off the East Coast of the US.

In the grafic above updated as of May 7th the 26c line or the 80*F line is way more north in the Atlantic being early to mid May especially off Western Africa above 10n between 15-20w where it is more north for being this time of the year.

krysof · #88 Postby **krysof** » Mon May 09, 2005 2:05 pm

What is the difference between sst anomalys and temperatures, I never got what it meant.

James · #89 Postby **James** » Mon May 09, 2005 2:08 pm

I always thought that SST anomalies dealt with how above or below average the water temperatures are for that time of year.

#90 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon May 09, 2005 2:10 pm

krysof wrote:What is the difference between sst anomalys and temperatures, I never got what it meant.

Anomalys refer to where current temps are in comparison to their normals for the current time of year. SST's are the temperatures of the water at the surface.

cyclonaut · #91 Postby **cyclonaut** » Mon May 09, 2005 2:17 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Scorpion wrote:I think the situation with above average SST's in the central Atlantic and below average near the coast is perfect for hurricane season. We can get nice powerful storms that fall apart right before shore so it lessens the impact.

But Scorpion eventually those waters off the east coast will warm when July,August and September arrive.However if it mantains relativily below average then yes it will help to weaken systems that may try to get to the US from the Atlantic but if they warm as normally happens then it will be another story for the East coast.

Could'nt have said it better Cycloneye!

Those waters will warm up by the time the meat of the season gets here.

These same SSTs that are cool now will be above normal within a few month.

krysof · #92 Postby **krysof** » Mon May 09, 2005 6:58 pm

Well if that's so, then the waters of the EC is way below normal.

#93 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 10, 2005 3:45 pm

krysof wrote:Well if that's so, then the waters of the EC is way below normal.

Yes below normal for being almost mid-may.But those eventually will warm rapidly as they are shallow and tend to warm on a more rapid pace.But if they dont warm as normally they do especially the Gulfstream waters then those hurricanes that may try to get close to the East Coast will weaken.

#94 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu May 12, 2005 2:28 pm

cycloneye wrote:
cycloneye wrote:

Update of the grafics about the sst's in the Atlantic Basin.It shows the GOM warming especially in the southern and central gulf including the Bay Of Campeche.The Caribbean Sea is boiling and the MDR east of the islands is as well very warm until 40w south of 10n.Also in the COA it is already over 80*F.

#95 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 13, 2005 1:14 pm

Is the first time that I see the 80,s go out along the 10n latitud line from 20w to 60w at the tropical atlantic in mid may.Not a good sign for later on in late july,august and september.My take about the cape verde season is that it will open it's gates more early because of this favorable sst factor but of course let's see what in reallity will occur because it is not only this factor that may be favorable but we have to see how the sal events unfold this season that may disrupt systems.

#96 Postby **drezee** » Fri May 13, 2005 1:29 pm

I have only seen it once in my lifetime as well...1995

#97 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 13, 2005 1:33 pm

drezee wrote:I have only seen it once in my lifetime as well...1995

Yes I forgot to say about how the sst's are similar to what 1995 had.

cyclonaut · #98 Postby **cyclonaut** » Fri May 13, 2005 2:18 pm

Very warm east Caribbean & tropical Atl indeed!

#99 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon May 16, 2005 2:05 pm

The latest update about the anomalys is out.

This is why Noaa in it's outlook says strongly about an active 2005 season talking about those above normal anomalys at the MDR area east of the Lesser Antilles all the way to Africa.

#100 Postby **Cookiely** » Mon May 16, 2005 7:26 pm

cycloneye wrote:Is the first time that I see the 80,s go out along the 10n latitud line from 20w to 60w at the tropical atlantic in mid may.Not a good sign for later on in late july,august and september.My take about the cape verde season is that it will open it's gates more early because of this favorable sst factor but of course let's see what in reallity will occur because it is not only this factor that may be favorable but we have to see how the sal events unfold this season that may disrupt systems.

Thank you for answering my question. I was going to ask if the Cape Verde season might start earlier due to the warm waters. I read an article which was talking about how unusually warm they were for this time of year.

SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic and Pacific

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