Will Caribbean system get a invest up?

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 13, 2005 5:25 am

I say IF it gets better organized in terms of a LLC forming and upper conditions improve yes but otherwise no so right now i will go with a 50/50 chance to see 90L.

boca · #2 Postby **boca** » Fri May 13, 2005 8:00 am

Luis get your boat ready you'll need it.Definately an invset will go up today.

James · #3 Postby **James** » Fri May 13, 2005 8:03 am

It's got some way to go, but I wouldn't say that it is out of the question.

jabber · #4 Postby **jabber** » Fri May 13, 2005 8:07 am

No... But I hope one does show up... early action.

Rainband · #5 Postby **Rainband** » Fri May 13, 2005 8:17 am

IT is getting interesting. I think unless the shear lessens then only copius amounts of precip from this :wink:

The NCEP discussion is hinting at possible development though :eek:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #6 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri May 13, 2005 8:47 am

Remember it is fighting shear. But by the way it looks in if it doe's get some what to the surface then a invest seems like a good choice.

LaBreeze · #7 Postby **LaBreeze** » Fri May 13, 2005 9:10 am

I would vote yes. Is this a Jamaica/Cuba/Bahamas sort of possible path? Family on vacation in the Bahamas - that's why I'm asking.

jabber · #8 Postby **jabber** » Fri May 13, 2005 9:12 am

Models show it well to the east of the Bahamas...

LaBreeze wrote:I would vote yes. Is this a Jamaica/Cuba/Bahamas sort of possible path? Family on vacation in the Bahamas - that's why I'm asking.

LaBreeze · #9 Postby **LaBreeze** » Fri May 13, 2005 9:12 am

Thanks

x-y-no · #10 Postby **x-y-no** » Fri May 13, 2005 9:53 am

Chances are it won't. The shear in the southern Carribean is increasing, and it's already very high further north.

This does indicate substantial potential in the area, though. Come June we'll likely have some action there.

Jan

#11 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 13, 2005 10:06 am

Some of the tops of the clouds go up to 50,000 feet meaning they are cold.But as others noted mr shear is pretty strong in the area especially in the northern caribbean and it will preclude anything to get going.

James · #12 Postby **James** » Fri May 13, 2005 10:17 am

Certainly gets you in the mood for tracking a system, doesn't it?

vacanechaser · #13 Postby **vacanechaser** » Fri May 13, 2005 12:34 pm

Nope.. Not gonna happen... I would love to see it, but forget it... The shear is way to strong..

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

cyclonaut · #14 Postby **cyclonaut** » Fri May 13, 2005 2:38 pm

I dont expect a invest out of this innocuous blob.

chadtm80 · #15 Postby **chadtm80** » Fri May 13, 2005 5:01 pm

Im going to say yes :lol:

#16 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 13, 2005 5:03 pm

chadtm80 wrote:Im going to say yes

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #17 Postby **senorpepr** » Fri May 13, 2005 5:03 pm

chadtm80 wrote:Im going to say yes

Cheater.

GalvestonDuck · #18 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Fri May 13, 2005 5:04 pm

He's not the only one.

#19 Postby **P.K.** » Fri May 13, 2005 5:04 pm

lol, so will I. :lol:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #20 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri May 13, 2005 5:16 pm

It is a invest now. Have to watch if the shear dies down in a LLC forms.

Will Caribbean system get a invest up?

Will Caribbean low get a invest?

Will Caribbean system get a invest up?

I am gonna say

Models

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