Pattern setup

[boca]

It looks like the first 10 days in May will be dry for S FL according to Mia discussion.Let's hope not for the sake of canes coming this way.

[krysof]

your not a nice person, so your saying you want hurricanes to come to Florida

[CourierPR]

Boca is hinting that a dry May could spell trouble once again for Florida with regard to hurricanes.

[wxcrazytwo]

I think besides the afternoon showers and thunder/lightening he might be right. The rain that comes from these storms are not that heavy, but I doubt they will make a difference down south. I am unsure about the dry versus hurricane potential, I think it might just be coicidence.

[Lindaloo]

your not a nice person, so your saying you want hurricanes to come to Florida

Where in his post did he say that?

[cyclonaut]

I didnt see where he said anything wrong & even if he did want hurricanes to hit Florida it really isnt up to him anyway.

[StormChasr]

Hurricanes in Florida will be determined by a number of variables, not only how dry it is in May. Let's turn down the alarm bells, and see what happens with the myriad of situations that can influence weather in Florida. One thing that we should definitely count on is that a repeat of 2004 is extremely unlikely, from any statistical standpoint.

[EDR1222]

Looks like a good chance of T'storms for East Central Florida for the first couple days of May. After that it looks like it will dry out some.

It will be interesting to see how the rest of the month plays out.

[Scorpion]

I really am not getting into this dry May hype. Just because its dry in May doesn't tell hurricanes "Oh, you have to come here".

[DoctorHurricane2003]

The reason a dry May is a good indicator of an active season for FL is that it generally means that the Bermuda High is shifted westward. We will have to see how it pans out, though.

[boca]

Hey Krysof I am a nice person I just pointed out from a previous article that a dry May means that a possability of hurricanes tracking this way vs a wet May where we might not get hit.I had car damage last year from Frances so do I want a hurricane heading towards FL nooooo way.

[cyclonaut]

I have been & will continue following this dry May theory but it is worth pointing out that in 1948 & 49 Miami had Mays that were normal to a little above normal in rainfall & South Fla was impacted by 3 hurricanes.
1

2
3

In 1966 May was normal in precip & Inez moved through the Keys.
Inez

Almost the same type of deal in 79 & David affected much of the state.
Another interesting thing to note is that there have been many Mays in the last 50 + years that were dry & no hurricanes hit.

[krysof]

alright, okay I get what you mean.