April Update of ENSO Models=8 of 3 go neutral thru September

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cycloneye
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April Update of ENSO Models=8 of 3 go neutral thru September

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Apr 27, 2005 6:22 am

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/ENSO-summary.shtml

And further down the road 7 of 1 are neutral thru December.The most Warm ENSO forecast continue to be the POAMA Model which is the Australian Model.
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#2 Postby Aquawind » Wed Apr 27, 2005 7:21 am

Hmmm.. I was thinking el nino before the year is out.. looks like that is not going to be the case and the odds go down as the year progresses...Bummer..it is looking very active..The steering patterns will be the next issue coming into focus with only a month before the official start to the season.. Thanks for the update Luis.. :)

Paul
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Wed Apr 27, 2005 7:27 am

Aquawind wrote:Hmmm.. I was thinking el nino before the year is out.. looks like that is not going to be the case and the odds go down as the year progresses...Bummer..it is looking very active..The steering patterns will be the next issue coming into focus with only a month before the official start to the season.. Thanks for the update Luis.. :)

Paul


Yep Paul.As you haved seen in this forum many threads about Rain in May for Florida,Bermuda High,How will the winds will blow thru Florida in May etc will be the dominant theme thru the next 4 weeks.
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#4 Postby cyclonaut » Wed Apr 27, 2005 2:40 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Aquawind wrote:Hmmm.. I was thinking el nino before the year is out.. looks like that is not going to be the case and the odds go down as the year progresses...Bummer..it is looking very active..The steering patterns will be the next issue coming into focus with only a month before the official start to the season.. Thanks for the update Luis.. :)

Paul


Yep Paul.As you haved seen in this forum many threads about Rain in May for Florida,Bermuda High,How will the winds will blow thru Florida in May etc will be the dominant theme thru the next 4 weeks.

This dry May subject is really gaetting lots of attention down here this season..if it does turn out to be a dry May there will be much concern & anxiety this hurricane season.Even more so than usual.
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#5 Postby Scorpion » Wed Apr 27, 2005 3:01 pm

Yes I agree. If there is a dry May people are going to start panicking even if theres no hurricanes occuring yet. A dry May does not mean we will automatically be hit though.
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#6 Postby Orlando_wx » Thu Apr 28, 2005 7:34 pm

here in Orlando the sentinel our daily paper had a big article a couple of days ago about may and the rain and how is will affect us this year and hurricanes kinda interesting.

John
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