Possible Weak Tropical Wave in Eastern Atlantic

[cycloneye]

First nothing will develop of course from this area.I only posted about it because I found interesting brisk winds down there way south of 10n.But no evidence of any closed circulation as quikScat shows.I say possible wave because TPC has not analized it as such yet.

[wxcrazytwo]

nevertheless interesting.

[Aquawind]

With a balmy warm MDR already we can count on some high anticipation for CV activity to begin early..It's going to be a long Blob watching season alright..not like we didn't already dissect every cumulus out there..lol

Paul

[canegrl04]

Africa is cranking 'em out early Will be interesting to see if we get the first genuine ts from there before mid July

[vacanechaser]

not just one area but 2 look impressive there.. The further east wave has more in the way of convection, however, the front runner there looks like it has a nice round signature... Wow!! If I remember correctly, we were talking about several good looking waves this time last year...



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[chadtm80]

Blob watching in April.. You got to love it.. LOL

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... cjava.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[GalvestonDuck]

Good eye, Luis!

[canegrl04]

Its looking like a 2004 repeat kind of season

[cycloneye]

not just one area but 2 look impressive there.. The further east wave has more in the way of convection, however, the front runner there looks like it has a nice round signature... Wow!! If I remember correctly, we were talking about several good looking waves this time last year...



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

Nothing in quickScat that shows circulation in the whole tropical Atlantic including what you pointed about the frontrunner disturbance.Yes we were talking in last April and May about Bombs comming out of west Africa if I remember.

[W13]

Very interesting stuff.

[cycloneye]

Well as expected after a few hours of having decent convection the area has diminished in terms of convection as dry air is in the vicinity.The Water Vapor pic shows below the dry air however still brisk winds are in the area according to quickScat data.

[krysof]

Don't forget that TS Anna developed in April so it's starting to get intresting. Of course the chance of another TS in April is 1 in a million especially just a couple years after Anna, but it's April 12th and things will start getting very intresting especially as we get into May through June. I don't think this season will start as late as August to get started. In fact few years had back to back late season begininngs. The first TS will probably develop in June and the first Hurricane either late June or early July.

[James]

Yes, early season activity does not look like an unlikely prospect. Last year was uncommon in starting so late. Lots of things do seem to be falling into place for early season storms. It's all a matter of wait and see.

[vbhoutex]

Don't forget that TS Anna developed in April so it's starting to get intresting. Of course the chance of another TS in April is 1 in a million especially just a couple years after Anna, but it's April 12th and things will start getting very intresting especially as we get into May through June. I don't think this season will start as late as August to get started. In fact few years had back to back late season begininngs. The first TS will probably develop in June and the first Hurricane either late June or early July.

What are you basing this prediction on?

[cycloneye]

Don't forget that TS Anna developed in April so it's starting to get intresting. Of course the chance of another TS in April is 1 in a million especially just a couple years after Anna, but it's April 12th and things will start getting very intresting especially as we get into May through June. I don't think this season will start as late as August to get started. In fact few years had back to back late season begininngs. The first TS will probably develop in June and the first Hurricane either late June or early July.

What are you basing this prediction on?

That is a very bold statement that has to have more precise information to confirm what you are saying there.

[krysof]

To tell you the truth, it's only my prediction, but temperatures in some spots are already above normal for this time of the year. If it is a repeat of last year, then it may be just as bad, too early to tell which is why my poll numbers remain preliminary.

[canegrl04]

I remeber TS Allison 3 years ago. She formed in June,but was a TD longer than a TS.She wreaked hell from Houston to Pennsylvania

[cycloneye]

Well one full 24 hours after I posted about this weak feature convection has mantained somewhat but nothing at quickScat of any circulation at all although some winds in the order of 20-30 kts still are blowing in the area.For those who may wonder if this might develop let me emphazize that Nada nothing will develop.

[James]

Still, it was interesting while it was there (even though it was never going to do anything).

[george_r_1961]

Not too unusual to see a TW off the COA in April. We may see a few more; each will have convection as it moves westward off of the coast but convection will rapidly diminish as the wave moves further west over unfavorable SST's. If anything forms in April it will most likely form in the central Atlantic or even possibly at the tail of a decaying frontal trough over the NE GOM. The Cape Verde area will be quiet until late July at the earliest...most likely August.