Possible subtropical low forms over eastern Atlantic

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Matt-hurricanewatcher

Possible subtropical low forms over eastern Atlantic

#1 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Apr 05, 2005 11:08 pm

This area of low pressure appears to have formed a Cdo or area of convection near its center. I think because of the cool seasurface temperatures that it is getting subtropical through the differences in Atmospheric temperature. Subtropical systems take there energy from both sea in upper Atmosphere. So what do you think. Interesting none the less....Centered 31.5 north/31 west...

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/display...MOSAIC_SCALE=15
0 likes   

Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Tue Apr 05, 2005 11:14 pm

Nothing much IMO
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Apr 05, 2005 11:16 pm

But Floydbuster it still looks better then tropical storm Grace :)
0 likes   

Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Tue Apr 05, 2005 11:23 pm

Have to agree on that LOL :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
Andrew92
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3247
Age: 41
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 12:35 am
Location: Phoenix, Arizona

#5 Postby Andrew92 » Tue Apr 05, 2005 11:44 pm

Huh? That thing named Grace was actually a TS?
0 likes   

Anonymous

#6 Postby Anonymous » Tue Apr 05, 2005 11:56 pm

Yea. LOL
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#7 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Apr 06, 2005 6:56 am

Doesn't look like much more than a swirl this morning.
0 likes   

User avatar
The Big Dog
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1039
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:30 am
Location: West Palm Beach, FL

#8 Postby The Big Dog » Wed Apr 06, 2005 9:00 am

I hope they don't name it. Subtrops form in April quite often, relatively speaking, and I think they set a bad precedent by naming Nicole last year.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2044
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#9 Postby Hurricanehink » Wed Apr 06, 2005 9:11 am

Aww, I missed it. I'm sure there will be more entities before the first real one.
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

#10 Postby HurricaneBill » Wed Apr 06, 2005 1:39 pm

The Big Dog wrote:I hope they don't name it. Subtrops form in April quite often, relatively speaking, and I think they set a bad precedent by naming Nicole last year.


I see nothing wrong with naming subtropical storms. Many times, they do transform into legit tropical storms.

Plus, since naming subtrop systems, many have gone on to become tropical.

2002: Subtropical storm Gustav became Category 2 Hurricane Gustav.

2002: Subtropical storm Kyle became Category 1 marathon runner Hurricane Kyle.

2003: Subtropical storm Ana became Tropical Storm Ana.


On some occasions, even extratropical systems can convert into tropical storms. However, I'm not saying we should name extratropical systems. Although when a hurricane or tropical storm becomes extratropical, it should keep its name until it dissipates or gets absorbed by another system.
0 likes   

User avatar
James
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1531
Joined: Tue Aug 24, 2004 10:29 am
Location: Gloucestershire, England
Contact:

#11 Postby James » Wed Apr 06, 2005 5:34 pm

Some good points there. I don't think that naming subtropical systems is such a bad thing. I know what you mean about Nicole last year though.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#12 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Apr 07, 2005 2:07 am

Niclole was with out quastion a subtropical storm. It even looked better before the nhc declared it. It may of been tropical for a short time to...

:roll:
0 likes   

User avatar
Andrew92
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3247
Age: 41
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 12:35 am
Location: Phoenix, Arizona

#13 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Apr 07, 2005 8:12 am

Maybe the NHC was bored when they named that thing, whatever it was, Nicole.

-Andrew92
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2044
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#14 Postby Hurricanehink » Thu Apr 07, 2005 7:38 pm

Nhc did had Matthew to worry about over Louisiana before naming Nicole. I don't mind naming Subtropical Storms. It is confusing having Subtropical Storm 1 becoming Tropical Storm X. Subs can be destructive over the sea, and should be warned the same way, IMO.

However, I think the criteria should be specified soon. There is too much gray area. The one on Tuesday may have been Subtropical to some, but a little too far, considering the time of year. A list should be made, and a system has to have a percentage of them to be called Subtropical, rather than extratropical.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#15 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Apr 07, 2005 8:25 pm

A say that a Subtropical storm should be a system that is developing warm convection over its center/Core. That equals heat over the center=more tropical. The other factor should be 72 to 73 degree water temperatures under the system.


So what we have hear is a low level cirulation. Which is broader then a tropical cyclone. With the wind field the same. With a developing area of convection over the center. By this most of this was made for the system on Tueday.

Also Niccole made all these. I thought Nicole was more tropical then Matthew for a time. In far more tropical then Grace.

I personally think that anything that forms over 80 or above water has to be some what tropical for its air mass it forms in.
0 likes   

User avatar
Andrew92
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3247
Age: 41
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 12:35 am
Location: Phoenix, Arizona

#16 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Apr 07, 2005 10:09 pm

OK, so I was wrong about Nicole. Oh well, it just never looked all that organized to me.

-Andrew92
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#17 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Apr 07, 2005 10:12 pm

It looked alot better 12 hours before the nhc upgraded it.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: hurricanes1234, Iceresistance, ncforecaster89 and 598 guests