South Florida In Trouble Next 20-40 Years, Comments Welcome:

[gatorcane]

This is great article I found on the case against Florida. Looks like South Florida is where X will mark the spot over the next 20-40 years. We are moving into a period of activity as it was from 1944 to 1969. Comments welcome on these predictions:

X Marks the Spot for South Florida:



Reference:
http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/Florida/

[Aquawind]

Well as much as I am impressed with the activity in South Florida.. I am equally questioning the fact that nothing hit the Big Bend of Florida all the way to Louisiana! Funkadelic.. There might be some issues with that particular graphic but other than that and Ivan the fact is we did have a much more active period of landfalls..

Paul

[StormChasr]

Frankly, I am rather tired of the "doom and gloom" senario that everybody in the media is expousing. It is impossible to prognosticate, and I say, let's see what happens.

[gatorcane]

believe it or not, no major hurricanes hit the panhandle during this time period. Doom or Gloom it's going to happen...I predict that South Florida will be hit by a major hurricane within the next 5 years. People in South Florida don't realize how often South Florida gets hit when things get active. The past 35 years+ have been relatively quiet...not anymore...I don't think people realize the destruction that awaits South Florida over this active period we are entering for the next 20+ years.

[Derek Ortt]

according to that map, it looks as if a whole 3 storms actually made landfall in Dade or Broward. Cape Fear, NC (Bertha, Fran, Bonnie, Floyd, Charley) alone since 1996 has a higher batting average, with Hatteras now right on its tail (Isabel, Alex)

Also, that map includes many storms that did not impact FL as a major hurricane. Some became majors in the GOM while others weakened before impacting FL

[Scorpion]

The general consensus of that pattern favored threats to South Florida.

[Derek Ortt]

also, looks as if the majority of those that hit FL hit from the south, not the east.

Residents of SFLA do not pay attention to storms in the Carib like they should

[HurricaneBill]

The Florida panhandle had gone about a century with a major hurricane landfall. That ended in 1975 when Hurricane Eloise struck. 20 years later, Hurricane Opal hit in 1995. 9 years later, Hurricane Ivan in 2004.

BTW, what needs to happen for a hurricane to trek into NE Florida or Georgia?

Aside from David, Georgia has not had a hurricane landfall in over a century.

[StormChasr]

Doom or Gloom it's going to happen...I predict that South Florida will be hit by a major hurricane within the next 5 years.

And I predict that the Outer Banks will see many more hurricanes than South Florida. What will actually happen falls under the category of an educated guess at best. Cartaret County has a 38% chance of a severe hurricane in any given year.

[T'Bonz]

also, looks as if the majority of those that hit FL hit from the south, not the east.

Residents of SFLA do not pay attention to storms in the Carib like they should

Heh, sez you. I watch them ALL.