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R-Dub
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#3561 Postby R-Dub » Sun Mar 20, 2005 12:20 pm

Sounds like just breezy conditions this afternoon, but anything can happen, this mornings blow certainly wasn't forecasted to be as intense as it was!!!!

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 900 AM PST SUN MAR 20 2005

DISCUSSION...AREAS OF RAIN ON THE 88D...RAIN JUST REDEVELOPED HERE AT THE OFFICE AT 9AM. THE MAIN OCFNT WAS EARLIER THIS MORNING AND WHILE IT WAS RATHER WINDY WITH THAT...THE GRADIENTS HAVE SINCE COLLAPSED GOING FROM +5MB KOLM-BLI TO ZERO NOW...BY 00Z THE GRADIENT SHOULD BE BACK UP ENOUGH FOR SMALL CRAFTS ALL WATERS AND BREEZY MOST ZONES. THIS NEXT FEATURE IS WEAKER...WE WILL CALL IT A COLD FRONT BUT THE PROFILER SHOWS THE MAIN FRONT WAS OBVIOUSLY LAST NITE. THIS IS SORT OF A SECONDARY COLD FRONT...OR JUST CALL IT A TROF. THE FREEZING LEVEL IS AROUND 4500FT THIS MORNING AND SHOULD GRADUALLY FALL THROUGH TONIGHT AS COOL AIR ALOFT OFFSHORE SHIFTS E. THERE IS A MID LEVEL DECK OF CLOUDS BETWEEN THE HIGH DECK ALONG THE COAST AND THE AREA OF JUST LOW CLOUDS FURTHER OFFSHORE WHICH BECOME SCT-BKN BEHIND THE TROF AROUND 100 MILES OFFSHORE AT 16Z. THE MAIN LOW AROUND 987MB IS FILLING OVER B.C. ALOFT...THE COOLEST AIR MASS MOVES INLAND OVERNITE AND MONDAY AS THE 514DM H5 LOW OPENS TO A TROF FILLS AND REACHES WRN WA BY DAYBREAK MON. RAIN LOOKS OKAY FOR TODAY AND THERE SHOULD BE PLENTY OF SHOWERS TONIGHT. THE SNOW ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT LOOKS GOOD. MONDAY WOULD LOOK LIKE A GOOD DAY FOR PSCZ W/ A COOL UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND WLY WIND ALOFT...BUT THE SURFACE WINDS GO ALL WRONG AS LIGHT SE FLOW DEVELOPS AND OFFSHORE FLOW INCREASES THRU MONDAY NIGHT. A 999MB LOW VERTICALLY STACKED W/ A 542DM H5 LOW MOVE TO THE NORTHERN CALIF COAST BY MIDDAY TUE. BY THAT TIME KPDX-KBLI GRADIENT IS -5MB (NORTH WIND) ON THE MESOETA. SO THE AIR MASS WILL DRY OUT MON THRU TUE OVR WRN WA. FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK I SEE NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEMS. LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW BUT A WEAK UPPER TROF...PARTLY SUNNY ISOLATED TCU OVER THE MOUNTAINS AFTERNOON PROBABLY. MCFARLAND && .
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#3562 Postby W13 » Sun Mar 20, 2005 12:27 pm

NWS is always on the safe side of things. They wouldn't want to come out and claim that there would be a massive windstorm when everything may change and we get little to no wind. So, they can plant themselves in the middle and just say breezy conditions, so that there may be a big windstorm, or that may be absolutely nothing.
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#3563 Postby R-Dub » Sun Mar 20, 2005 12:38 pm

Looks like some pretty good swells crashing at the coast..............

http://wsdot.wa.gov/traffic/default.aspx?cam=1240
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#3564 Postby R-Dub » Sun Mar 20, 2005 12:43 pm

Check out this link..........
It talks about the 12-12-95 windstorm that I was talking about earlier about that really low barometer readings, the same reading as last night!! Too bad this windstorm wasn't as strong as that one :cry:

Check it out...........................
http://www.weathernotebook.org/transcri ... 04/10.html
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#3565 Postby W13 » Sun Mar 20, 2005 1:02 pm

R-Dub wrote:Looks like some pretty good swells crashing at the coast..............

http://wsdot.wa.gov/traffic/default.aspx?cam=1240


Would that indicate something about a windstorm coming? :?:
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#3566 Postby R-Dub » Sun Mar 20, 2005 1:11 pm

W13 wrote:
R-Dub wrote:Looks like some pretty good swells crashing at the coast..............

http://wsdot.wa.gov/traffic/default.aspx?cam=1240


Would that indicate something about a windstorm coming? :?:


Not really, but you never know!
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#3567 Postby R-Dub » Sun Mar 20, 2005 1:13 pm

Waves crashing in pretty good down at long beach as well!! Just not used to seeing that, been a long time!!!!

http://wsdot.wa.gov/traffic/default.aspx?cam=1241

Most of the other cameras are down :cry:
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#3568 Postby AnthonyC » Sun Mar 20, 2005 1:19 pm

And the rain keeps coming...

I'm interested in that low off the coast. It's taking a path that is perfect for a windstorm...unfortunately I can't tell if it's a surface or upper level low. In any event, latest NWS does indicate the winds will increase again this afternoon...but nothing compared to this morning. I guess we can hope for something unexpected!!

This week looks fairly dry and seasonal. Next week could be interesting as a powerful cold front swings through...with a Hawaiian connection. Not good news for the mountains, but great news for our local reservoirs and rivers.

Anthony
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#3569 Postby W13 » Sun Mar 20, 2005 1:23 pm

You should remember that almost all windstorms in the past few decades have been largely underpredicted or not predicted at all.

Keep us updated about the track of that low, Anthony! :)
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#3570 Postby R-Dub » Sun Mar 20, 2005 1:28 pm

NWS hardly ever predicts high winds accurately. Either they call for breezy conditions, and we end up getting hammered with high winds, or if they predict a high wind event, hoist up the wind warning and everything, and nothing happens :lol:
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#3571 Postby Guest » Sun Mar 20, 2005 1:35 pm

Last night about midnight I had sustained 37MPH Winds with a Gust as high as 55. I went down to the dock and looked up in the sky and it was just ROARING like crazy... It was sort of creepy... Pretty amazing stuff. I could hear the winds whipping against the hills. I could hear branches crashing, trees falling, something I havn't heard in a REALLY long time. I hope it gets really really windy here again this evening.
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#3572 Postby R-Dub » Sun Mar 20, 2005 1:40 pm

Like you say Brennen, that roar was awesome to hear once again, been a VERY LONG time!!!

Though we will have quite the clean up to do at the golf course tomarrow!! :roll:
Just moved the one tree that was blocking the cart path with the tractor, tomarrow will be the real clean up!! Will probably take about 2 days or so.
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#3573 Postby R-Dub » Sun Mar 20, 2005 1:48 pm

Looks like the winds are picking up again, this time to the south.................

Current Windy spots in Western WA

Stevens ES Seattle, WA 25.0 mph
Phantom Lake ES Bellevue, WA 22.4 mph
Onalaska Schools Onalaska, WA 20.4 mph
Woodbrook MS Lakewood, WA 20.4 mph

Also suprisingly its 57 degrees in Covington, only 46.9 degrees here in the Stanwood area!!
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#3574 Postby W13 » Sun Mar 20, 2005 1:51 pm

R-Dub wrote:NWS hardly ever predicts high winds accurately. Either they call for breezy conditions, and we end up getting hammered with high winds, or if they predict a high wind event, hoist up the wind warning and everything, and nothing happens :lol:


Exactly. :wink:
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#3575 Postby W13 » Sun Mar 20, 2005 1:54 pm

R-Dub wrote:Looks like the winds are picking up again, this time to the south.................

Current Windy spots in Western WA

Stevens ES Seattle, WA 25.0 mph
Phantom Lake ES Bellevue, WA 22.4 mph
Onalaska Schools Onalaska, WA 20.4 mph
Woodbrook MS Lakewood, WA 20.4 mph

Also suprisingly its 57 degrees in Covington, only 46.9 degrees here in the Stanwood area!!


52 F here, so I tend to think that the temperature reading in Covington (only a few miles away from where I am) is off a bit.
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#3576 Postby R-Dub » Sun Mar 20, 2005 2:54 pm

Spotter report showing high winds in Thurston Co right now as of 11:40AM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 1148 AM PST SUN MAR 20 2005

1139 AM
03/20/2005
HIGH SUST WINDS 38 MPH
THURSTON WA
TRAINED SPOTTER
SUSTAINED EAST WINDS 38 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 51 MPH.

EARLIER GUST TO 66 MPH AT 1221 AM.
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#3577 Postby R-Dub » Sun Mar 20, 2005 2:57 pm

Current windy spots according to school net

Chehalis MS Chehalis, WA 27.8 mph
Woodbrook MS Lakewood, WA 21.9 mph
Jefferson MS Olympia, WA 21.0 mph
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#3578 Postby W13 » Sun Mar 20, 2005 3:01 pm

Winds are really starting to pick up out here. We have sustained winds of 10-18mph and just recently had a gust to 32mph. :D
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#3579 Postby R-Dub » Sun Mar 20, 2005 3:04 pm

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#3580 Postby R-Dub » Sun Mar 20, 2005 3:09 pm

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1153 AM PST SUN MAR 20 2005

WAZ008-011-202252-
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-TACOMA AREA-
1153 AM PST SUN MAR 20 2005

.NOW...GUSTY WINDS ARE AGAIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE REGION EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG WINDS WERE REPORTED OVER THE SOUTHWEST
INTERIOR NEAR YELM...GUSTING OVER 50 MPH. THIS IS THE RESULT OF A
FRONT MOVING ONSHORE AND WILL SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON AFTER THE FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. PEOPLE DRIVING IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES
SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG CROSS WINDS.

$$
CERNIGLIA
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