Atlantic ITCZ Very Active for March

#1 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Mar 17, 2005 1:25 pm

Two very strong waves in the Atlantic ITCZ, the farthest west one near South America has some rotation...signs to come for upcoming hurricane season 2005. Any thoughts about what we are seeing out there?

#2 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Mar 17, 2005 1:42 pm

#3 Postby **george_r_1961** » Thu Mar 17, 2005 1:59 pm

Mother Nature being the way she is I will never say the chances of development are zero. But it as close to zero as it can possible get. Since I am one of the resident tropical weather weenies u can bet I will be watching nonetheless

#4 Postby **feederband** » Thu Mar 17, 2005 2:15 pm

wow

interesting. :eek:

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Mar 17, 2005 3:01 pm

There are no tropical waves in the area at this time.The ITCZ flares up and fades down many times as it fluctuates depending on the troughs that ignites the axis with upper divergence which what does is enhance convection and that is what is triggering the ITCZ to flare.However when may arrives we will see the first tropical waves (Weak) and also the ITCZ axis moving north in latitud.Right now very dry air is dominating most of the eastern atlantic with the SAL(Saharan Air Layer) there (Look at Water Vapor Image below) and that combined with the ridge more south than normal is keeping the ITCZ way south in latitud which is normal at this time.

#6 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Mar 17, 2005 3:31 pm

Thanks for the SAL pics...yeah, there is alot of dry air but in a few months this will all change :eek:

KWT · #7 Postby **KWT** » Thu Mar 17, 2005 4:32 pm

yes indeed nothing wil devlop from those,but nonetheless it is stil lrather on the active side though with some decent,if shortlived flare-ups of convection,and come May and June I'm sure we will see the belt off storms start to come off Africa.

Derek Ortt · #8 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Mar 17, 2005 5:30 pm

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... MBas26.png

there does appear to be a very weak wave associated with the convection.

Tropical waves are more than possible this time of year. They are just typically at very low lats, as this one is

#9 Postby **george_r_1961** » Fri Mar 18, 2005 2:48 pm

Seems like every year we go thru this ..a few waves come off Africa or theres is a flare up in convection. Dont worry about the far eastern Atlantic yet. Nothing will happen.

#10 Postby **feederband** » Fri Mar 18, 2005 2:59 pm

It's called March Maddness.

AussieMark · #11 Postby **AussieMark** » Fri Mar 18, 2005 6:26 pm

Its shows everyone is all hyped up for the 2005 hurricane season already.

Atlantic ITCZ Very Active for March

Atlantic ITCZ Very Active for March

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