MOTHER Nature on the RAMPAGE, PMS?

azsnowman · #1 Postby **azsnowman** » Mon Mar 14, 2005 7:22 pm

WOW......do NOT make Mother Nature mad, she'll PAY YOU BACK :eek:

We have a HEAVY SNOW warning......Flagstaff received OVER 12" today, it's snowing like a MOTHER BEAR in HOLBROOK of ALL place 9" thus far :eek:

could it be a MAJOR case of PMS on HER part? :lol:

Dennis

azsnowman · #2 Postby **azsnowman** » Mon Mar 14, 2005 7:24 pm

This is NOT FUNNY, not FUNNY at ALL!

SNOW ADVISORY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
339 PM MST MON MAR 14 2005

...STRONG COLD FRONT TO BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW TONIGHT
TO PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA..

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. THIS
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOWFALL...ESPECIALLY FROM
CLINTS WELL EASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM AND THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT.

TRAVELERS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA
TONIGHT SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR WINTER WEATHER DRIVING CONDITIONS.

AZZ017-150100-
WHITE MOUNTAINS-
339 PM MST MON MAR 14 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM MST THIS EVENING UNTIL 9 AM MST
TUESDAY MORNING..

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THIS
INCLUDES THE TOWNS OF SHOW LOW...PINETOP...GREER...ALPINE AND
WHITE RIVER. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT.

azsnowman · #3 Postby **azsnowman** » Mon Mar 14, 2005 7:30 pm

"Just say NO to SNOW!" 8-)

Dennis

azsnowman · #4 Postby **azsnowman** » Mon Mar 14, 2005 7:33 pm

*heavy sigh*.......I'm currently in WHITE OUT conditions, I CANNOT see my neighbors house 25 FEET away from ME, this is INSAAAAAAAAAANE!

Dennis :crying:

tomboudreau · #5 Postby **tomboudreau** » Mon Mar 14, 2005 7:37 pm

I guess there is no golf right now Dennis? Anyway, stay safe up there. I'll be glad when winter is a distint memory this year.

Aquawind · #6 Postby **Aquawind** » Mon Mar 14, 2005 7:37 pm

I would think a snowpack is better than runoff. I know you want that muddy yard gone but there is only one way to bust that drought for good. Enjoy the whiteout and put another log on the fire and dream about the Margarita times ahead.. 8-)

Paul

#7 Postby **Aslkahuna** » Mon Mar 14, 2005 8:11 pm

Well, I DID Say that I considered that March was the last month of Winter and not the first month of Spring

. That said, the forecast low temperatures for Wednesday morning down here look like they will be low enough to wipe out any chance of Cherries from my Cherry tree and a sharply reduced crop from my other trees while are in the blossoming/early fruit stage right now.

Steve

azsnowman · #8 Postby **azsnowman** » Tue Mar 15, 2005 6:33 am

Aquawind wrote:I would think a snowpack is better than runoff. I know you want that muddy yard gone but there is only one way to bust that drought for good. Enjoy the whiteout and put another log on the fire and dream about the Margarita times ahead..

Paul

ROFLMAO! Your right Paul.....I like to hear myself complain I guess :lol:

Naaaa, it's just, 9 years without a *normal winter* has REALLY got to people, including MYSELF, how SOON we forget the days of Rodeo Chediski Fire, The Kinishba Fire. Yes.....a significant snowpack IS the ONLY way to wipe this horrible drought off the pages, we have gone from a "record breaking Exceptional Drough to a Moderate Drought", which BTW was said, "It CANNOT be DONE in one season!" Well GUESS WHAT??? They *NWS* was WRONG......but then again, are they EVER right? LOL! JUST KIDDING........I know meterology is NOT an exact science. 8-)

Steve, yeah, our apple trees ONCE again were near FULL BUD, in ONE WEEK no less :eek:

SO.....it's store bought apples this fall again.

NOW........check out THIS AFD, ONE system after ANOTHER AGAIN :eek:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FXUS65 KFGZ 151046 AFDFGZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF 330 AM MST TUE MAR 15 2005 .SYNOPSIS...THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL FEATURE COLD AND WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH A SLOW WARMING TREND THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY OVER THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS BACK TO THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY && .DISCUSSION...SKIES ARE CLEARING RAPIDLY AS SUBSIDENCE AND DRY AIR MOVE IN BEHIND DEPARTING WEATHER SYSTEM. THE MAIN WEATHER CONCERN FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF FOG IN THE LCR...GIVEN THE LCR HAS A THICK BLANKET OF SNOW AND INVERSION WILL SET UP KEEPING THIS AREA FROM MIXING TODAY. WE WILL HAVE TO MONITOR SNOW COVER TODAY. FOR NOW WE WILL MENTION PATCHY FOG ACROSS THE LCR...AND MAY HAVE TO INCREASE FOG IN COVER AND POSSIBLY MENTION SOME DENSE FOG. WARMER HIGH TEMPS CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW. WEAK RIDGE RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTH WEST WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY. ANOTHER DEVELOPING WEATHER SYSTEM ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA BY FRIDAY...WITH THE THREAT OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS ALONG THIS FRONT AS IT SAGS SOUTH INTO CENTRAL ARIZONA BY SATURDAY. MEAN WHILE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE AREA SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY BRING AN INCREASING THREAT OF SHOWERS. MODELS HAVE SHOWN DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS WITH EACH MODEL RUN WITH TREND TO DEEPEN THE SYSTEM AND TO MOVE RIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA...WE WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE ON THIS SYSTEM AND MAY HAVE TO INCREASE PRECIP CHANCES LATER IN THE WEEK AS THIS WEEKEND STORM APPROACHES.

BTW..........it's COLDER NOW than it was back in NOVEMBER, I'm currently at 18° with a STIFF breeze out of the NORTH @ 21 mph :jacket:

azsnowman · #9 Postby **azsnowman** » Tue Mar 15, 2005 6:42 am

Winslow Ariz, average snowfall per season (Nov thru March) 8".......yesterdays snowfall, 9", that is UNHEARD of, this was an unprecidented snowstorm dat's fer sure! :eek:

I-40 was a DISASTER ALL day, still is, I-17 from Flagstaff to Sedona the same.......watched some video of the system last night, all I can say, "HOLY CRAP!"

Now.....check out tonights LOW :eek:

and the NORTH WINDS :eek:

Guess I'd better bring the *brass monkey* back inside huh?

Issued: March 15, 2005 04:27:58 MST (AZZ017)

Today: Partly cloudy. North winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. Highs 35 to 41 above 7000 feet...43 to 49 below 7000 feet.

Tonight: Mostly clear. North winds up to 15 mph. Record lows 5 to 11 above 7000 feet...around 12 below 7000 feet.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Not as cool. Light and variable winds. Highs 42 to 48 above 7000 feet...around 50 below 7000 feet.

Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. West winds around 10 mph. Lows around 16 above 7000 feet...around 21 below 7000 feet.

Thursday: Partly cloudy. Windy. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon. Highs 46 to 52 above 7000 feet.. 52 to 58 below 7000 feet.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Lows around 22 above 7000 feet.. Around 27 below 7000 feet.

Friday: Partly cloudy. Cooler. Highs 39 to 45 above 7000 feet.. 46 to 54 below 7000 feet.

Friday night: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain and snow showers. Lows 14 to 20 above 7000 feet...around 23 below 7000 feet.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain and snow showers. Highs 43 to 49 above 7000 feet...50 to 56 below 7000 feet.

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow and rain showers. Lows 17 to 23 above 7000 feet...around 27 below 7000 feet.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain and snow showers. Highs 43 to 49 above 7000 feet...49 to 57 below 7000 feet.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain and snow showers. Lows 18 to 24 above 7000 feet...around 27 below 7000 feet.

Monday: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain and snow showers. Highs 42 to 50 above 7000 feet...around 54 below 7000 feet.

JenBayles · #10 Postby **JenBayles** » Tue Mar 15, 2005 9:46 am

azsnowman wrote:Guess I'd better bring the *brass monkey* back inside huh?

... along with the witch's t.....!!! Sorry, couldn't resist - the brass monkey thing just cracked me up! :lol:

Miss Mary · #11 Postby **Miss Mary** » Tue Mar 15, 2005 11:14 am

Dennis - maybe you ought to give her some Midol?

Sorry....couldn't resist either. It is just March, not May! March is like November here in Cincinnati - one day we can get flurries, the next warm temps, 12 hours later another blast of cold temps. It's just the way it is for both times of the year I've noticed.

Mary

#12 Postby **Aslkahuna** » Tue Mar 15, 2005 2:03 pm

It depends upon the type of drought one is talking about. NWS focuses on the Meteorological Drought whereas many of us focus on the hydrological drought and that is by no means over or even mitigated at this point in time. Certainly down here we haven't mitigated the hydro drought.

Steve

azsnowman · #13 Postby **azsnowman** » Wed Mar 16, 2005 7:02 am

LOL Jen......I didn't realize someone else KNEW about the brass monkey :lol:

MAN....yesterday was just plain, downright MISERABLE, I mean ROTTEN, a high temp of 31° with peak gusts of OVER 38 mph out of the NORTH :eek:

I had to check the calender to make sure it was MARCH instead of JANUARY......I cannot remember a March day THAT friggin' COLD in YEARS and it CONTINUES.

Steve, I've talked to the forest service on several occasions over the past 2 weeks, the hydo drought for the White Mountains has INDEED been lowered in severity.....pretty amazing! Just wish other parts of the state had been so lucky this winter :cry:

Issued: March 16, 2005 04:28:12 MST (AZZ017)

Today: Mostly sunny. Not as cool. Light and variable winds becoming northwest up to 15 mph in the afternoon. Highs 38 to 46 above 7000 feet...around 51 below 7000 feet.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Light and variable winds. Lows around 18 above 7000 feet...around 24 below 7000 feet.

Thursday: Partly cloudy. Windy. Light and variable winds becoming west 15 to 30 mph with gusts to around 35 mph in the afternoon. Highs 42 to 50 above 7000 feet...around 55 below 7000 feet.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Windy. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Lows around 23 above 7000 feet...around 28 below 7000 feet.

Friday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of sprinkles and flurries. Snow level around 7500 feet. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Highs 39 to 47 above 7000 feet...around 52 below 7000 feet.

Friday night: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of snow s showers. Lows around 23 above 7000 feet...around 29 below 7000 feet.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs 37 to 47 above 7000 feet...around 51 below 7000 feet. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Lows around 23 above 7000 feet...around 30 below 7000 feet.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain and snow showers. Highs 38 to 48 above 7000 feet...49 to 55 below 7000 feet.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain and snow showers. Lows around 22 above 7000 feet...around 33 below 7000 feet.

Monday: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain and snow showers. Highs 40 to 50 above 7000 feet...51 to 57 below 7000 feet.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Lows around 22 above 7000 feet.. Around 28 below 7000 feet.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain and snow showers. Highs 42 to 50 above 7000 feet...around 55 below 7000 feet.

weatherlover427 · #14 Postby **weatherlover427** » Wed Mar 16, 2005 7:34 am

It's definitely a good thing that you guys are getting some much needed drought relief (as are we out here in southern California), but it is also certainly a shame that it has to come at such a high price (flooding / mudslides / deaths / home and roof collapses, etc.). :cry:

#15 Postby **Aslkahuna** » Wed Mar 16, 2005 3:29 pm

Well the relief may only be regional-there are a couple of large sized lakes that need to be filled up (Mead and Powell) before we can really say things are better not to mention that we down here didn't share in all of that. Also too, there's the matter as to whether or not this winter represents an actual change towards a wetter pattern or just a blip which can happen from time to time-I'm inclined to believe the latter right now.

Steve

azsnowman · #16 Postby **azsnowman** » Thu Mar 17, 2005 6:27 am

Aslkahuna wrote:Well the relief may only be regional-there are a couple of large sized lakes that need to be filled up (Mead and Powell) before we can really say things are better not to mention that we down here didn't share in all of that. Also too, there's the matter as to whether or not this winter represents an actual change towards a wetter pattern or just a blip which can happen from time to time-I'm inclined to believe the latter right now.

Steve

Saw where Lake Mead has come up approx .5 million acre feet (in the whole scheme of things, that's like a THIMBLE full of water) Lake Powell on the other hand, has gone DOWN this winter, it's Las Vegas and it's glitz and glamour (golf courses and water features are pulling the lake down) it's now at 39% capacity. I've been reading where some AWESOME archiological sites are now surfacing due to the lakes level........

Yes....I'm afraid your right Steve, this IS just a glitch, I fully expect it to dry up and BURN up again this summer, we have our spring WINDS to look forward to!

Dennis

Lindaloo · #17 Postby **Lindaloo** » Thu Mar 17, 2005 12:21 pm

You forced me to do this Dennis. I am going to save this thread for your summer complaints. LOL!! (((HUGS)))

At least you get to see snow.

azsnowman · #18 Postby **azsnowman** » Fri Mar 18, 2005 6:32 am

Lindaloo wrote:You forced me to do this Dennis. I am going to save this thread for your summer complaints. LOL!! (((HUGS)))

At least you get to see snow.

HEY NOW!!!! Just WHAT are you trying to say.......that I COMPLAIN TOO MUCH??? "ROFLMAO!" :sadly:

Yeah, I know.....I'm JUST like a typical male, never happy, nag, nag, nag......OH WAIT, that's just like a WIFE :lol:

Dennis

MOTHER Nature on the RAMPAGE, PMS?

MOTHER Nature on the RAMPAGE, PMS?

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