Being Mid March Looks Impressive

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cycloneye
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Being Mid March Looks Impressive

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Mar 13, 2005 8:29 am

Image

Of course nothing will happen and it will dissipate soon however I only posted this for the members to see a good complex of convection possibly a mesocyclone system for being this early in the year looks impressive.
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#2 Postby TampaFl » Sun Mar 13, 2005 8:53 am

:eek: :eek: :eek:
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#3 Postby KWT » Sun Mar 13, 2005 9:05 am

well that is quite an impressive MCS indeed considering this early in the season.These sorts off systems are going to be the ones that we will have to watch later in Spring such as May when systems like that can actual devlop and have a chance.
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Sun Mar 13, 2005 7:13 pm

AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS NOTED IN THE TROPICS ALONG THE COAST OF W
AFRICA FROM EQ-9N BETWEEN 4W-10W MOVING W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM EQ-9N BETWEEN 7W-10W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM EQ-2N BETWEEN
4W-7W.

Discussion at TPC mentions this complex of convection.
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#5 Postby Anonymous » Sun Mar 13, 2005 7:43 pm

Isnt that unusual for even a tropical wave to exist in the atlantic this time of year? The first tropical wave dont usually even roll off africa till may.
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#6 Postby Scorpion » Sun Mar 13, 2005 8:05 pm

Perhaps a foreboding to an active CV season?
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#7 Postby Brent » Sun Mar 13, 2005 8:25 pm

Jekyhe32210 wrote:Isnt that unusual for even a tropical wave to exist in the atlantic this time of year? The first tropical wave dont usually even roll off africa till may.


Yeah... :eek:
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#8 Postby HurricaneBill » Sun Mar 13, 2005 9:44 pm

Jekyhe32210 wrote:Isnt that unusual for even a tropical wave to exist in the atlantic this time of year? The first tropical wave dont usually even roll off africa till may.


Maybe it's name is Bertha.
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#9 Postby AussieMark » Sun Mar 13, 2005 9:47 pm

1996 was a rather active and early cape verde season I wonder if this season will be similar.

Since its only Mid March and the first Cape Verde Wave of 2005 is already rolling off the African coast.
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#10 Postby MGC » Sun Mar 13, 2005 10:12 pm

Yea, Bertha...that TW most likely has higher winds than Bertha ever dreamed of......MGC
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#11 Postby AussieMark » Sun Mar 13, 2005 10:15 pm

MGC wrote:Yea, Bertha...that TW most likely has higher winds than Bertha ever dreamed of......MGC


I thought Bertha had top winds of 115 mph

:?:
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#12 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Mar 13, 2005 10:15 pm

bertha 1996, MGC. It was a cat 3 hurricane in July, that whacked Cape Fear as a cat 2.


As for what this forebodes, the answer is ABSOLUTELY NOTHING. Convection is quite common off of African during this time of year, at the latitude in which it has emerged. Means nothing
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#13 Postby george_r_1961 » Mon Mar 14, 2005 1:27 am

I agree with Derek. Its not at all uncommon for a flare up in convection to occur in March or April but tropical cyclone formation is VERY rare this time of year.
Last edited by george_r_1961 on Mon Mar 14, 2005 2:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#14 Postby AussieMark » Mon Mar 14, 2005 2:00 am

thats true.

I don't think any of us expected this to develop.
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#15 Postby cycloneye » Mon Mar 14, 2005 7:20 am

As expected the area has poofed steadly as the outflow boundary dissipates with all the dry air around.Definitly it will be a very different story when August and September arrive.

Image
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#16 Postby Ed1 » Mon Mar 14, 2005 6:25 pm

Image
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#17 Postby gatorcane » Wed Mar 16, 2005 4:07 pm

New healthy tropical wave coming off Africa...very impressive for March....
water temperatures are still relatively cool off the coast of Africa at these
latitudes right now so it will dissipate. Not a good sign though for hurrican e season 2005.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
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#18 Postby skywarn » Wed Mar 16, 2005 9:19 pm

I agree boca_chris.It appears that what is happening now is very similar to what happen last year around this time.The wave train was becoming a little more active with impressive waves rolling off Africa just north of the equator.In time the track will begin to shift more northerly.
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#19 Postby george_r_1961 » Thu Mar 17, 2005 2:09 am

I really cannot explain my reasoning here but it is my humble opinion that we will see a few healthy impressive looking waves. Then around June everything will shut down..leading many to believe it will be a slow season. Then late August all hell will break loose.
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#20 Postby AussieMark » Thu Mar 17, 2005 2:22 am

when does the SAL usually develop. Thats late spring right.
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