Ex - Tropical Cyclone INGRID (22P)

[HURAKAN]

TC INGRID IS MORE INTENSE NOW THAN WHAT IT WAS IN THE PACIFIC, THE CYCLONE IS BECOMING, OR ALREADY IS, A MONSTER OF CATASTROPHIC PROPORTIONS. IT SHOULDN'T INTENSIFY FURTHER, OR AS VIOLENT, BECAUSE ITS PROXIMITY TO LAND.

[senorpepr]

IDDP0002
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TOP PRIORITY



TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 53
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 8:09 pm CST Saturday 12 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities between
DARWIN and MILINGIMBI, including the COBOURG PENINSULA, DARWIN and the TIWI
ISLANDS.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to DALY RIVER MOUTH.

The CYCLONE WARNING between ELCHO ISLAND and MILINGIMBI has been cancelled.

At 7pm CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID CATEGORY 5 was located off the north
coast about 65 kilometres north northeast of MANINGRIDA and 110 kilometres east
of GOULBURN ISLAND, moving west at 20 kilometres per hour, currently parallel to
the coast.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID with wind gusts near
320 kilometres per hour is expected to move towards the coast near GOULBURN
ISLAND early Sunday morning, in the next 6 to 9 hours. The cyclone is expected
to cross the COBOURG PENINSULA coast early Sunday morning south of CROKER ISLAND
before moving into the VAN DIEMEN GULF during the day on Sunday.

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 160 kilometres per hour are expected to develop
along the north coast near GOULBURN ISLAND in the next 3 to 6 hours, and extend
west to CROKER ISLAND early Sunday morning.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced on the coast
between MILINGIMBI and GOULBURN ISLAND, and will extend west to CROKER ISLAND
tonight and early Sunday. GALES have eased between ELCHO ISLAND and MILINGIMBI,
and will ease at MANINGRIDA later tonight, however squally winds may still be
experienced.

GALES are expected to extend west to the TIWI ISLANDS by Sunday afternoon or
evening, and southwest to DARWIN by Sunday night, and further south to DALY
RIVER MOUTH by Monday afternoon.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between
MANINGRIDA and CAPE DON, including GOULBURN ISLAND and CROKER ISLAND. ABNORMALLY
HIGH TIDES could cause SERIOUS FLOODING at the coast between MILINGIMBI and
MANINGRIDA.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northern TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 7 pm CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.5 degrees South 134.4 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 20 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 320 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 5
. Central pressure......... 925 hectoPascals

REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities
between DARWIN and MILINGIMBI, including the COBOURG PENINSULA and TIWI ISLANDS.


The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 11 pm CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Still about 160 mph, sustained, 1-min average

[P.K.]

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 10 pm CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.4 degrees South 133.9 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west northwest at 20 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 320 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 5
. Central pressure......... 925 hectoPascals

7.0 on the Dvorak scale

[HurricaneBill]

If Ingrid makes landfall on Croker Island, she may very well become the first Saffir-Simpson scale Category 5 to make landfall on Australia.

In other words, Ingrid might become the most violent cyclone to hit Australia!

I'd say Ingrid will definitely go down in Australian cyclone history as a classic. What do you think?

[James]

I certainly think it will. It's not every season that you see a storm like this. Plus, the name 'Ingrid' is rather memorable for a cyclone, in my humble opinion.

[HurricaneBill]

I'd say Ingrid made landfall on Croker Island as an Australian Category 5 and briefly as a Saffir-Simpson scale Category 5.

I heard Croker Island experienced gusts up to 290 km/h.

With all the places affected by Ingrid so far and those still in her path, do you think Ingrid has the potential to become one of Australia's costliest cyclones?

[AussieMark]

Tracy (1974), Wanda (1974), Ada (1970), Althea (1971)

are some notable cyclones that will be more expensive cyclones than Ingrid.

[HURAKAN]

INTERACTION WITH LAND HAS BEGUN TAKING ITS TOLL THE POWER OF THE ALMIGHTY IS BEGINNING TO DWINDLE.

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 58
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 am CST Sunday 13 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING is current for coastal and island communities between DALY
RIVER MOUTH and GOULBURN ISLAND, including the COBOURG PENINSULA, the TIWI
ISLANDS and DARWIN.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to PORT KEATS.

The CYCLONE WARNING between MANINGRIDA and GOULBURN ISLAND has been cancelled.

At 10am CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, now CATEGORY 4, was located about
170 kilometres east of SNAKE BAY and 200 kilometres northeast of DARWIN, moving
west at 10 kilometres per hour.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with gusts to 260
kilometres per hour, is currently affecting the COBOURG PENINSULA and is
expected to continue moving west, travelling across the TIWI ISLANDS this
evening.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced on the coast
between GOULBURN ISLAND and the eastern side of MELVILLE ISLAND. GALES will
extend west to the remainder of the TIWI ISLANDS this afternoon and evening,
southwest to DARWIN later this evening, and may extend further south to PORT
KEATS by late Monday. At this stage, it is expected that only the southern edge
of INGRID will affect DARWIN.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coasts of COBOURG
PENINSULA, TIWI ISLANDS and around the VAN DIEMEN GULF.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northwest TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 10 am CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.2 degrees South 132.2 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 10 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 260 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 4
. Central pressure......... 944 hectoPascals

REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities
between DALY RIVER MOUTH and GOULBURN ISLAND, including the COBOURG PENINSULA,
TIWI ISLANDS and DARWIN. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to PORT KEATS.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 2 pm CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

POWERFUL BUT NOW A 4.

[HurricaneBill]

Reports are coming in that Croker Island was hit pretty bad by Ingrid and there is substantial damage. Reports of many trees down, cars damaged, structural damage to buildings, roof blown off a school;

Fortunately, there have been no reports of injuries.

[HURAKAN]

Reports are coming in that Croker Island was hit pretty bad by Ingrid and there is substantial damage. Reports of many trees down, cars damaged, structural damage to buildings, roof blown off a school;

Fortunately, there have been no reports of injuries.

FROM A CYCLONE LIKE INGRID NOTHING LES CAN BE EXPECTED.

[HURAKAN]

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TOP PRIORITY



TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 59
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:00 pm CST Sunday 13 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between DALY
RIVER MOUTH and GOULBURN ISLAND, including the COBOURG PENINSULA, the TIWI
ISLANDS and DARWIN.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to PORT KEATS.

At 2pm CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 4, was located about 125
kilometres east of SNAKE BAY and 160 kilometres northeast of DARWIN, moving west
at 12 kilometres per hour.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with gusts to 235
kilometres per hour, is currently approaching MELVILLE ISLAND, and is expected
to continue moving west across the TIWI ISLANDS this evening.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced elsewhere on
the coast from CROKER ISLAND to MELVILLE ISLAND and around VAN DIEMEN GULF.
Winds further east to GOULBURN ISLAND are easing. GALES will extend southwest to
DARWIN later this evening, and may extend further south to PORT KEATS by late
Monday. At this stage, it is expected that only the southern edge of INGRID will
affect DARWIN.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coasts of COBOURG
PENINSULA, TIWI ISLANDS and around the VAN DIEMEN GULF.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northwest TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 2 pm CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.3 degrees South 131.8 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 12 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 235 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 4
. Central pressure......... 950 hectoPascals

REPEATING: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is
currently approaching MELVILLE ISLAND and is expected to continue moving west
across the TIWI ISLANDS this evening.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 5 pm CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

WEAKENING CONTINUES

[P.K.]

Down to a cat 3.

IDDP0002
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TOP PRIORITY



TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 61
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 8:00 pm CST [6:30 pm WST] Sunday 13 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between DALY
RIVER MOUTH and POINT STUART, including CAPE DON, the TIWI ISLANDS and DARWIN.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KALUMBURU in Western Australia.

At 7 pm CST [5:30 pm WST] SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 3, was
located about 45 kilometres east of SNAKE BAY and 115 kilometres north northeast
of DARWIN, moving west at 15 kilometres per hour.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with gusts to 220
kilometres per hour, is currently crossing MELVILLE ISLAND, and is expected to
continue moving west across the TIWI ISLANDS tonight.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced elsewhere on
the coast from CAPE DON to the TIWI ISLANDS and in the western VAN DIEMEN GULF.
GALES will extend southwest to DARWIN this evening, and continue overnight. At
this stage, it is expected that only the southern edge of INGRID will affect
DARWIN.

GALES may extend further southwest to DALY RIVER MOUTH on Monday, and then
further southwest to KALUMBURU by Tuesday evening, if the cyclone takes a
southwest track into the Timor Sea.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING on the coasts of the TIWI
ISLANDS.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northwest TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 7 pm CST [5:30 pm WST]:
. Centre located near...... 11.4 degrees South 131.1 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 15 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 220 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 3
. Central pressure......... 955 hectoPascals

REPEATING: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is
currently crossing MELVILLE ISLAND and is expected to continue moving west
across the TIWI ISLANDS tonight.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 11 pm CST [9:30 pm WST].

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

[arlwx]

From Reuters:

Sunday March 13, 05:39 AM

Australia's cyclone still on Darwin track
SYDNEY (Reuters) - Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid has weakened slightly as it headed for Australia's northern capital of Darwin, but is still rated by weather officials as a dangerous, destructive storm.

The Darwin Bureau of Meteorology on Sunday morning upgraded its alert for Darwin to an official tropical cyclone warning, while downgrading Ingrid's intensity to the second-highest category of four from highest category five.

Cyclone Tracy which destroyed Darwin on Christmas Day 1974, killing 65 people, was rated category four.

The core of Cyclone Ingrid on Sunday travelled mainly along the sea passage north of the mainland, hitting remote island communities along the way.

"At this stage it is expected that only the southern edge of Ingrid will affect Darwin," the Bureau of Meteorology said on Sunday.

Darwin's population of around 110,000 was still braced for an onslaught from Ingrid on Sunday night.

All police leave was cancelled and officers recalled to duty. Darwin residents were warned to secure anything which could be picked up and turned into projectiles by fierce wind gusts of up to 160 miles an hour.

Ingrid crossed the tiny community of Croker Island, 110 miles northeast of Darwin on Sunday morning, destroying part of the school, blowing roofs off houses, felling trees and knocking down power lines.

The community of 300, none of them harmed, was left without water or power supplies.

With Ingrid moving west at 6 miles an hour, weather officials warned that "the very destructive core" of the cyclone would move across the remote Tiwi Islands, north of Darwin, on Sunday night.

Officials also warned that dangerously high tides could cause extensive flooding in coastal areas.

Senior weather forecaster at the Darwin Bureau of Meteorology, Graham King, on Sunday described Ingrid as a "fairly nasty cyclone" even if it was showing signs of weakening.

[tropicana]

Darwin on alert as Ingrid batters coast
Sun March 13, 2005 - 8:40pm Darwin Time


Darwin was on alert on Sunday night as destructive gales from Cyclone Ingrid battered the tiny Tiwi Islands 80km to its north.
The Tiwi's 4,000 residents bunkered down in emergency shelters as Ingrid threw her fury at the islands, with 220kph gales.

However, the Bureau of Metrology late Sunday downgraded the system to a category three cyclone and was hopeful Darwin would escape a direct hit.
But residents - who just months ago marked the 30th anniversary of the death and destruction of Cyclone Tracy - remain on alert and nervous.
The bureau expected Darwin would be lashed by just the southern edge of Ingrid, with gales of up to 120kph expected to start buffeting the city.

Forecaster Lori Chappel said the city was experiencing gusts of up to 70kph by 8pm (CST), with blustery winds expected to intensify.
Ms Chappel said the cyclone had weakened over land and was now expected to continue moving west into the Timor Sea.
"Obviously people need to keep alert in case it changes direction, but Darwin is expected to get a glancing blow," Ms Chappel said.

The Tiwi Islands - made up of Melville and Bathurst islands - was expected to bear the full brunt of the cyclone for 12 to 24 hours as the eye passed overhead.

At 7pm (CST) Ingrid was 45km east of Snake Bay on Melville Island and 115km north northeast of Darwin, moving west 15kph.
"I think everybody is ready and preparing for it," Melville Island resident Barbara Tippolay said.
"It's just windy, there's a strong wind blowing.
"We are just waiting to see when we will be hit."

The bureau warned dangerously high tides could cause extensive flooding to the island coasts as Ingrid sweeps through the area.
Earlier, Ingrid meted out a devastating blow to Croker Island, off the NT coast, with locals enduring a terrifying night in community shelters as the storm tore apart a school building, the island's only store, and damaged half of its 60 houses.
About 40 of the island's 200 residents who hunkered down at the school emerged about 10.30am (CST) Sunday to find the entire top storey of a neighbouring building gone.
"It had two storeys. Now there's only one," Margaret Barnes, the head of the island's Minjilang community council, told AAP.

"The wind noise was horrific and very loud. There was a lot of banging so you didn't know what was happening.
"The rain was incredible and the wind gusts were unbelievable.
"Our only store has had its roof totally ripped open. There is massive damage to it. It's very dangerous to go into," she said.

"We've got 50 per cent of houses with damage, major and minor. We have no power, we've got road damage, and cars have been wrecked and trees shredded."
She said it was amazing no-one had been hurt, and the focus had now shifted to ensuring residents had enough supplies.

Police earlier urged Darwin residents to prepare for the worst, but not to panic.
Counter disaster controller Max Pope said residents should already have prepared their cyclone kits, and have battened down anything that could become a lethal projectile.

Throngs of anxious Darwin residents spent the day stocking up for wild conditions.
A number of Darwin buildings had been closed, and the government announced schools would be closed Monday as a precaution.

-justin-

[HURAKAN]

Name: INGRID
Severity Category: 3
Situation At: 10PM CST [8:30PM WST] Sunday 13 March 2005
Warning Area: Daly River Mouth to Point Stuart, including the Tiwi Islands
Watch Area: Kalumburu to Daly River Mouth
Location: 11.4S 130.8E
Recent Movement: W at 10 km/h
Remarks: NOTE: all times on map are in CST.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with gusts to 215 kilometres per hour, is currently crossing MELVILLE ISLAND, and is expected to continue moving west across the TIWI ISLANDS tonight.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced on the TIWI ISLANDS and in the western VAN DIEMEN GULF. GALES will extend southwest to DARWIN overnight before easing during the day on Monday. At this stage, it is expected that only the southern edge of INGRID will affect DARWIN.

GALES may extend further southwest to DALY RIVER MOUTH on Monday, and then further southwest to KALUMBURU by Tuesday evening, if the cyclone takes a southwest track into the Timor Sea.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING on the coasts of the TIWI ISLANDS.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises in the northwest TOP END.

The next threat map will be issued at 2 AM CST (12:30 AM WST) Monday 14 March 2005.

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TOP PRIORITY



TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 62
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 pm CST [9:30 pm WST] Sunday 13 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between DALY
RIVER MOUTH and POINT STUART, including the TIWI ISLANDS and DARWIN.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KALUMBURU in Western Australia.

The CYCLONE WARNING for CAPE DON has been cancelled.

At 10pm CST [8:30 pm WST] SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 3, was
located about 15 kilometres east northeast of SNAKE BAY and 115 kilometres north
of DARWIN, moving west at 10 kilometres per hour.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with gusts to 215
kilometres per hour, is currently crossing MELVILLE ISLAND, and is expected to
continue moving west across the TIWI ISLANDS tonight.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced on the TIWI
ISLANDS and in the western VAN DIEMEN GULF. GALES will extend southwest to
DARWIN overnight before easing during the day on Monday. At this stage, it is
expected that only the southern edge of INGRID will affect DARWIN.

GALES may extend further southwest to DALY RIVER MOUTH on Monday, and then
further southwest to KALUMBURU by Tuesday evening, if the cyclone takes a
southwest track into the Timor Sea.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING on the coasts of the TIWI
ISLANDS.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northwest TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 10 pm CST [8:30 pm WST]:
. Centre located near...... 11.4 degrees South 130.8 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 10 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 215 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 3
. Central pressure......... 955 hectoPascals

REPEATING: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is
currently crossing MELVILLE ISLAND and is expected to continue moving west
across the TIWI ISLANDS overnight.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 2 am CST [00:30 am WST].

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

INGRID HAS WEAKENED OVER LAND, BUT SOON IT WILL BE OVER WATER AGAIN. NOGAPS CONTINUES FORECASTING INGRID FINAL LANDFALL IN THE FOLLOWING DAYS IN THE NE COAST OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA, BY THE WAY, THEY ARE ALREADY GETTING READY FOR THIS ONE.

[HURAKAN]

WHY WOULD INGRID NOT INTENSIFY AFTER REACHING WATERS AGAIN? ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS SEEM TO BE OKAY, WATER TEMPERATURES ARE EXTRA WARM, THE CYCLONE HAS PROVEN WHAT IT CAN DO WITH JUST A FEW HOURS AND WARM WATERS. LET SEE IF THE FORECAST OF THE JTWC HAVING THE CYCLONE NOT INTENSIFYING HOLDS TRUE.

[P.K.]

Well this is how the BOM sees Ingrid's future:

IDWP0002
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

40:2:2:24:12S130E999:11:00
PANPAN

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 1330 UTC 13 MARCH 2005

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone INGRID estimated within 15 nautical miles of
11.4 S 130.8 E moving WEST at 5 knots. Central pressure 955 hPa.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Sustained winds to 80 knots near centre.
Winds above 64 knots within 10 nautical miles with very rough to high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 25 nautical miles with very rough seas and moderate
to heavy swell.
Winds above 34 knots within 50 nautical miles of centre with rough to very rough
seas and moderate swell.

0000 UTC 14 Mar: 11.5 S 129.9 E 955hPa. Winds to 80 knots near centre.
1200 UTC 14 Mar: 12.2 S 129.2 E 955hPa. Winds to 80 knots near centre.


REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.



DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

[HURAKAN]

INGRID'S EYE IS OVER WATER, AND IN MY OPINION, REINTENSIFICATION SHOULD BEGIN IN THE NEXT HOURS, EVEN THOUGH BoM AND THE JTWC ARE AGAINST MY OPINION!

[HURAKAN]

INGRID IS UNDER GOOD ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS AND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO EVEN DECREASE MORE WHEN INGRID IS MOVING.