Ex - Tropical Cyclone INGRID (22P)

[HURAKAN]

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/wxmap_loop.cgi?area=ngp_tropwpac&prod=usf&dtg=2005030912

It looks like NOGAPS is forecasting something to form in the WPAC and head for the Philippines as well.

I also noticed that, and the WPAC has been very inactive during the last months.

[HURAKAN]

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Cape Grenville to Cape
Melville are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 24
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 6:47am on Thursday the 10th of March 2005

A Cyclone WARNING is current for communities between Cape Grenville and Cape
Melville and extends inland across Cape York Peninsula to the east coast of the
Gulf of Carpentaria between Mapoon and Cape Keerweer.

Ingrid is making landfall near Lockhart River and has been INTENSIFYING over the
past 4 hours. Ingrid is currently classified as a category 4 SEVERE Tropical
Cyclone. The cyclone poses a serious threat in PARTICULAR TO THE LOCKHART
RIVER AREA with very destructive winds near the centre and the potential to
generate a dangerous storm tide.

At 6 am EST SEVERE Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, Category 4, with central pressure
955 hPa, was located near latitude 13.2 south longitude 143.5 east, which is on
the coast 25 kilometres south of Old Lockhart River Mission and 50 km
south-southeast of New Lockhart River. The cyclone recently has been moving west
at 11 km/hr.

Gales are expected between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville. Destructive winds
are expected in the Lockhart River to Coen area. The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE is
now over coastal parts of LOCKHART RIVER near Mission Hill.

Coastal residents between Lockhart River and Coen are specifically warned of the
dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast. The sea is likely to rise
steadily to a level significantly above the highest tides of the year with
damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas extending some
way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should
be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so.

Very heavy rain can be expected to develop north of Cape Melville.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 4, for 6 am EST
Central Pressure : 955 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.2 degrees south
longitude 143.5 degrees east
and 25 km south of Old Lockhart River and 50km south
southeast of the New Lockhart River.

Recent Movement : towards the west at 10 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 50 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 20 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 240 kilometres per hour near the centre.

People in coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville and people
inland on Cape York Peninsula should have completed preparations and should be
ready to take shelter away from the shoreline. Should they experience a sudden
calming of the winds they should STAY INSIDE until advised it is safe by
Emergency Services.

People in coastal areas between Weipa and Kowanyama should immediately commence
preparing for Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, which is expected to cross the western
coast of Cape York as a weaker Tropical Cyclone tonight.

If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is available from your
local government or local State Emergency Service.

The next advice will be issued at 8 am EST Thursday morning.



TC INGRID IS ALREADY PARTIALLY OVERLAND, BUT INTENSIFICATION HASN'T STOP. UNFORTUNATELY, THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN MAKING LANDFALL OVERNIGHT BUT THE MORNING IS BEGINNING TO OPEN.

[HURAKAN]

WTPS32 PGTW 092100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (INGRID) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z8 --- NEAR 13.2S6 143.7E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 143.7E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z7 --- 13.0S4 142.3E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z0 --- 12.9S2 140.7E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z8 --- 12.9S2 138.9E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z1 --- 13.0S4 137.0E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.2S6 143.4E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (INGRID), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
75 NM NORTHWEST OF CAPE MELVILLE, AUSTRALIA, CONTINUES TO
TRACK WESTWARD. A RECENT 091533Z1 AMSR-E PASS SHOWS A
WELL-DEFINED 10 NM DIAMETER EYE JUST OFF THE EASTERN
AUSTRALIAN COAST. THE WIEPA RADAR LOOP SHOWS THE EYEWALL
JUST ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL APPROXIMATELY 30 NM SOUTH OF
LOCKHART RIVER AT 1800Z9. TC 22P IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD
ACROSS THE CAPE YORK PENNINSULA AND REINTENSIFY IN THE GULF
OF CARPENTARIA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 AND 102100Z4.//


IF THIS TRACK IS RIGHT, THOSE LIVING IN DARWIN AND IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE NORTHERN TERRITORY SHOULD BE KEEPING AN EYE ON THE SYSTEM.

[HURAKAN]

Name: Ingrid
Severity Category: 3
Situation At: 7AM EST Thursday 10 March 2005
Warning Area: Cape Keerweer to Mapoon and Cape Grenville to Cape Melville
Location: 13.2S 143.3E
Recent Movement: W at 15 km/h
Remarks: Ingrid has made landfall near Lockhart River. Ingrid is currently classified as
a category 3 SEVERE Tropical Cyclone. The cyclone poses a serious threat in in
the short term to areas south of LOCKHART RIVER AREA with very destructive winds
near the centre and the potential to generate a dangerous storm tide. The winds
will gradually ease now that Ingrid is overland though destructive winds will
now begin to affect inland areas as the cyclone moves towards Weipa on the Gulf
of Carpentaria coast.

Gales are expected to continue between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville.
Destructive winds are expected to gradually ease in the Lockhart River to Coen
area. The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE is now moving overland just south of LOCKHART
RIVER.

Tides have been reported as being 1 metre above predicted at Lockhart River
which is in the offshore wind zone and would not be expected to have large salt
water inundation. Therefore areas south of Lockart River down to coastal areas
near Coen would be affected by dangerous storm tide for the next 3 hours.

Very heavy rain and localised flooding can be expected to develop over northern
Cape York today.

People in coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville and people
inland on Cape York Peninsula should have completed preparations and should be
ready to take shelter away from the shoreline. Should they experience a sudden
calming of the winds they should STAY INSIDE until advised it is safe by
Emergency Services.

People in coastal areas between Weipa and Kowanyama should immediately commence
preparing for Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, which is expected to cross the western
coast of Cape York as a weaker Tropical Cyclone tonight.

If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is available from your
local government or local State Emergency Service.


Marine users please note: Warnings specific to the marine community are contained in Coastal Wind Warnings and Ocean Wind Warnings. Refer to those warnings for the winds associated with Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid.

FUTURE WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED EVERY 3 HOURS FROM NOW ON.

The next threat map will be issued by 11 am EST Thursday 10 March.



BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Cape Grenville to Cape
Melville are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.


TOP PRIORITY
CORRECTED [for next issue time]
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 25
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 8:17am on Thursday the 10th of March 2005

A Cyclone WARNING is current for communities between Cape Grenville and Cape
Melville and extends inland across Cape York Peninsula to the east coast of the
Gulf of Carpentaria between Mapoon and Cape Keerweer.

Ingrid has made landfall near Lockhart River. Ingrid is currently classified as
a category 3 SEVERE Tropical Cyclone. The cyclone poses a serious threat in in
the short term to areas south of LOCKHART RIVER AREA with very destructive winds
near the centre and the potential to generate a dangerous storm tide. The winds
will gradually ease now that Ingrid is overland though destructive winds will
now begin to affect inland areas as the cyclone moves towards Weipa on the Gulf
of Carpentaria coast.

At 7 am EST SEVERE Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, Category 3, with central pressure
965 hPa, was located near latitude 13.2 south longitude 143.3 east, which is on
the coast 38 kilometres southwest of Old Lockhart River Mission and 55 km south
of New Lockhart River. The cyclone recently has been moving west at 15 km/hr.

Gales are expected to continue between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville.
Destructive winds are expected to gradually ease in the Lockhart River to Coen
area. The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE is now moving overland just south of LOCKHART
RIVER.

Tides have been reported as being 1 metre above predicted at Lockhart River
which is in the offshore wind zone and would not be expected to have large salt
water inundation. Therefore areas south of Lockart River down to coastal areas
near Coen would be affected by dangerous storm tide for the next 3 hours.

Very heavy rain and localised flooding can be expected to develop over northern
Cape York today.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 3, for 7 am EST
Central Pressure : 965 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.2 degrees south
longitude 143.3 degrees east
and 38 km south of Old Lockhart River and 55km south of the
New Lockhart River.

Recent Movement : towards the west at 10 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 50 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 20 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 220 kilometres per hour near the centre.





People in coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville and people
inland on Cape York Peninsula should have completed preparations and should be
ready to take shelter away from the shoreline. Should they experience a sudden
calming of the winds they should STAY INSIDE until advised it is safe by
Emergency Services.

People in coastal areas between Weipa and Kowanyama should immediately commence
preparing for Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, which is expected to cross the western
coast of Cape York as a weaker Tropical Cyclone tonight.

If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is available from your
local government or local State Emergency Service.

The next advice will be issued at 11 am EST Thursday morning.

IMPONENT INGRID CONTINUES TO ADVANCE TOWARD THE WESTERN COAST OF QUEENSLAND, AND SHOULD EMERGE IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA IN THE NEXT HOURS TO COME. THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN BUT SHOULD RE-INTENSIFY IN THE GULF.

[AussieMark]

Ingrid strikes
Michael McKenna and AAP
10mar05

A TWO-metre "storm surge" swamped 800km of coastline this morning as Cyclone Ingrid crossed the far north Queensland coast.

Carrying destructive winds of around 230km/h, the category four cyclone swept inland accompanied by the storm surge on top of rising tides that were expected to inundate low-lying areas south of Lockhart River.

After being downgraded to category three late yesterday, Ingrid picked up strength overnight and was reclassified to category four before it swept onto the coast.

The Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre in Brisbane said Ingrid made landfall about 30km southeast of Lockhart River, where 700 residents were evacuated to shelters early today.

The settlement of Lockhart River has escaped major damage.

Lockhart River Council CEO Peter Buckland said apart from some tree damage few problems had been reported so far.

"There's been no destruction," Mr Buckland said.

He said the centre had also escaped the tidal surge accompanying the cyclone because it was just over 2km inland and around 50 metres above sea level.

Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre supervising meteorologist Phil Alford said that, although Ingrid was expected to weaken after crossing the coast, she was not done yet and was expected to sweep right across Cape York Peninsula and into the Gulf of Carpentaria and strengthen again.

"They will still get some damaging winds in that (Lockhart River) area," Mr Alford said.

He said the cyclone would weaken once it was over land because of the friction effect of the land surface.

"So it will weaken to below category four, possibly back down to category two or category one, but it's expected to go right across Cape York and then come out the other side," Mr Alford said.

"The latest warning we've just issued has been extended to cover the entire span of Cape York Peninsula between Mapoon and Cape Keerweer and Weipa is included in that."

Mr Alford said the cyclone would still produce damaging winds on the other side of the cape.

"Then it will head out into the Gulf of Carpentaria where the waters are three or four degrees above average, so it's quite warm out there - wonderful breeding ground for tropical cyclones."

He said after the cyclone intensified again it would continue heading west across the gulf and be close to the coast of the Northern Territory by Saturday.

Hundreds of people yesterday fled their homes along the coast in the face of one of the most severe cyclones to threaten Australia's east coast for 100 years.

Emergency services prepared shelters, cleared debris and secured boats.

Premier Peter Beattie said emergency services were ready and search and rescue teams were on high alert.

"We obviously don't know what will happen in terms of the cyclone, but everything is being done in preparation," he said. "Hopefully, it won't be needed, but if it is, we will be ready."

In Cairns, the surge from Ingrid raised sea levels 25cm above the king-tide mark and flooded the city's northern outskirts.

But meteorologists said today's storm surge could reach a devastating 3m above the high-tide level on the coast east of Coen, population 300, and in Bathurst Bay and Princess Charlotte Bay just north of Cape Melville.

Police said all the coastal communities had been evacuated.

The surge was expected to fall as it moved south, raising levels only 20cm to 30cm above the tide.

Maritime authorities were tracking 120 boats, mainly prawn trawlers cashing in on the start of the season. About 70 of the trawlers were reported to have sought sanctuary in the Lockhardt River, south of Cape Grenville.

Holidaymakers in upmarket resorts along the far north coast were joining the evacuation.

The luxury $900-a-night Lizard Island resort was shut down and the 80 staff and 30 guests airlifted to the mainland.

More than 10,000 residents from Cooktown, 340km north of Cairns, to Cape Grenville, near the tip of Cape York Peninsula, and across the cape to Weipa, 200km west, were on standby to evacuate.

Cape Flattery Silica Mine safety officer Allan Hunt said a 20-strong skeleton staff remained on site and were ready to take cover in a concrete culvert. "We're right on the coast," Mr Hunt said.

Hopevale Aboriginal council chief executive Dorothy Skinn said while most people near her inland community, 40km inland south of Cape Melville, heeded the warnings there were some who remained on the coast.

"I saw some people still on the beaches, where the fishing shacks are, this afternoon," she said.

[HURAKAN]

TC INGRID IS STILL MIDWAY THROUGH.

[HURAKAN]

Name: Ingrid
Severity Category: 3
Situation At: 10AM EST (9:30AM CST) Thursday 10 March 2005
Warning Area: Lockhart River to Coen and Cape Keerweer to Mapoon
Watch Area: Nhulunbuy to Borroloola
Location: 13.3S 143.0E
Recent Movement: W at 16 km/h
Remarks: Ingrid is over land near Archer River and is slowly weakening but is still a category 3 SEVERE Tropical Cyclone. The cyclone poses a serious threat with very destructive winds near the centre for the next few hours. Destructive winds are likely to continue near the centre for much of the day.

Gales are expected to ease along the coast between Lockhart River and Coen over the next few hours.

Tides could still be above normal between Lockhart River and Bathurst Head for the next few hours.

Very heavy rain and localised flooding can be expected to develop over northern Cape York today.

People in the path of the cyclone should stay calm and remain in a secure shelter while the destructive winds continue. Follow the instructions of police and State Emergency Service Personnel.

People in coastal areas between Mapoon and Cape Keerweer should immediately commence preparing for Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, which is expected to cross the western coast of Cape York as a weaker Tropical Cyclone tonight.

People in the Northern Territory between Boroloola and Nhulunbuy should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases and listen to the next advice at 2pm EST (1:30pm CST).

If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is available from your local government or local State Emergency Service.

Marine users please note: Warnings specific to the marine community are contained in Coastal Wind Warnings and Ocean Wind Warnings. Refer to those warnings for the winds associated with Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid.

The next threat map will be issued by 2pm EST (1:30pm CST) Thursday.

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Cape Grenville to Cape
Melville are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.


TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 26
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 11:17am on Thursday the 10th of March 2005

A Cyclone WARNING is current for communities between Lockhart River and Coen
and extends inland across Cape York Peninsula to the east coast of the Gulf of
Carpentaria between Mapoon and Cape Keerweer.

A Cyclone watch has been declared for the Northern Territory between Nhulunbuy
and Borroloola.

The Cyclone warning between Cape Grenville and Lockhart River and between Coen
and Cape Melville has been cancelled.

Ingrid is over land near Archer River and is slowly weakening but is still a
category 3 SEVERE Tropical Cyclone. The cyclone poses a serious threat with
very destructive winds near the centre for the next few hours. Destructive winds
are likely to continue near the centre for much of the day.
Tides could still be above normal between Lockhart River and Bathurst Head for
the next few hours.

At 10 am EST SEVERE Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, Category 3, with central pressure
975 hPa, was located near latitude 13 south longitude 143 east, which is 80
kilometres north-northwest of Coen, and 140 kilometres east of Aurukun. The
cyclone recently has been moving west at 16 km/hr.

Gales are expected to ease along the coast between Lockhart River and Coen over
the next few hours.
Very heavy rain and localised flooding can be expected to develop over northern
Cape York today.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 3, for 10am EST
Central Pressure : 975 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13 degrees south
longitude 143 degrees east
80 kilometres north-northwest of Coen, and
140 kilometres east of Aurukun.
Recent Movement : towards the west at 16 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 40 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 20 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 170 kilometres per hour near the centre.

People in the path of the cyclone should stay calm and remain in a secure
shelter while the destructive winds continue. Follow the advice and follow the
instructions of police and state emergency service personnel.

People in coastal areas between Mapoon and Cape Keerweer should immediately
commence preparing for Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, which is expected to cross the
western coast of Cape York as a weaker Tropical Cyclone late this afternoon or
evening .

People in the Northern Territory between Borroloola and Nhulunbuy should
consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases and
listen to the next advice at 2pm EST [1:30pm CST].

If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is available from your
local government or local State Emergency Service.

The next advice will be issued at 2pm EST [1:30pm CST] Thursday.

TC INGRID CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVERLAND WITHOUT ITS MAIN SOURCE OF ENERGY, THE OCEAN. OVER THE NEXT HOURS INGRID WILL EMERGE IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA, THEREAFTER, A TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE NORTHERN TERRITORY. INGRID SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN BUT IT WILL MOST LIKELY RE-INTENSIFY OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE MENTIONED GULF. LIKE WE SAY IN SPANISH, "ESTO PICA, Y SE EXTIENDE", WHICH BASICALLY MEANS, THE STORY IS NOT OVER.

[HURAKAN]

TC INGRID IS PARTIALLY OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA, OR AT LEAST PART OF ITS CIRCULATION. THE CYCLONE SHOULD MOVE COMPLETELY OVER WATER IN THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS, AND IF THE CIRCUALTION IS NOT VERY DAMAGED FROM ITS PATH OVER LAND, IT'S VERY LIKELY IT COULD RE-INTENSIFY BEFORE MAKING A SECOND LANDFALL ON THE EASTERN COAST OF THE NORTHERN TERRITORY WHERE CYCLONE WATCH IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

[AUSSKY]

Hi guys,

Excerpt from the Austrop update re Ingrid this morning(0930 AEDST):

TC INGRID is located over Cape York at 0900hrs 13.15S and 142.9E moving west near 8 to 11kph, TC Ingrid weakened to a cat 3 yesterday afternoon then intensified to cat four just prior top crossing the coast near Lockhart River mission this morning..Upper divergence improved to 0600hrs and remains good, low level convergence is good but now appears affected by terrain forced friction and loss of surface energy over land...TC Ingrid will weaken to a cat 1 over next 6 hours or so then reach the west coast of Cape York on Saturday morning then passing onto the Gulf of Carpentaria...

RISKS...TC Ingrid may re-strengthen over the Gulf waters with SST's near 30+°C and continue to move west through Saturday and the weekend.


Full update (every 24 hours or more frequently as required)
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/current.htm

[HurricaneBill]

Unfortunately, there's been some fatalities as a result of Cyclone Ingrid.

http://www.thenational.com.pg/0310/nation1.htm

[HURAKAN]

Unfortunately, there's been some fatalities as a result of Cyclone Ingrid.

http://www.thenational.com.pg/0310/nation1.htm

Very bad news that in some way I was not expecting.

[senorpepr]

10/0825 UTC 13.5S 141.5E T3.0/4.0 INGRID -- South Pacific Ocean

She's back over water.

[HURAKAN]

TC INGRID RIGHT NOW IS NOT EVEN THE SHADOW OF THE MONSTER SHE ONCE WAS OVER THE CORAL SEA. LET SEE WHAT HAPPENS OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA BECAUSE SHE SURELY DOESN'T LOOK VERY HEALTHY.

[AUSSKY]

From this morning's Austrop:
TC INGRID has passed onto the very warm Gulf of Carpentaria this morning and commenced to intensify upper divergence appears moderate and will improve today low level convergence is improving central pressure at 0500 hrs appears to be about 981hPa and deepening. SST's under this storm are near 30+°C. TC INGRID may reach severe category again in the next 6 to 12 hours. Moving west near 9 to 13kph.

http://www.stormchasers.au.com/current.htm

[HURAKAN]

IF OUR SURVIVOR, TC INGRID, SURVIVES THE TRIP OVER THE NORTHERN TERRITORY, THEN WE HAVE A INDIAN CYCLONE IN OUR HANDS. BY THE WAY, BoM HAS ALREADY INTENSIFIED THE CYCLONE TO CAT. 2.

[HURAKAN]

Name: Ingrid
Severity Category: 2
Situation At: 6:30AM (CST 7AM EST) Friday 11 March 2005
Warning Area: Milingimbi to Port Roper
Watch Area: Cape Don to Milingimbi
Location: 12.6S 139.7E
Recent Movement: WNW at 22 km/h
Remarks: Tropical Cyclone Ingrid is still intensifying.

Gales are expected to develop between Elcho Island and Alyangula, including the whole of Groote Eylandt, later this evening.

Coastal residents between Alyangula and Elcho Island are specifically warned of the dangerous storm tide as the cyclone nears the coast. The sea is likely to rise steadily up to a level which will be significantly above the normal tide, with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to follow advice regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by the authorities.

People in the Northern Territory between Milingimbi and Port Roper, including all of Groote Eylandt, should take precautions and listen to the next advice.

People between Cape Don and Milingimbi should commence preparations and listen to the next advice.

If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is available from your local government or local State Emergency Service.

Marine users please note: Warnings specific to the marine community are contained in Coastal Wind Warnings and Ocean Wind Warnings. Refer to those warnings for the winds associated with Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid.

The next threat map will be issued by 10:30 am CST (11am EST) by the Darwin Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre.


BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: For Broadcast within the hour. The Standard Emergency Warning Signal
should NOT be used with this warning.


TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 33
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 7:55am on Friday the 11th of March 2005

A Cyclone WARNING is current for the Northern Territory between Milingimbi and
Port Roper, including the whole of Groote Eylandt.
A Cyclone WATCH is current for the Northern Territory between Cape Don and
Milingimbi. The watch along the southern Gulf Coast to Port McArthur has been
cancelled.

Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, Category 2, is located over Gulf waters 320km east of
Nhulunbuy. The cyclone is expected to move westwards across the Gulf of
Carpentaria and intensify.

Gales are expected to develop between Elcho Island and Alyangula, including the
whole of Groote Eylandt, later this evening.

Coastal residents between Alyangula and Elcho Island are specifically warned of
the dangerous storm tide as the cyclone nears the coast. The sea is likely to
rise steadily up to a level which will be significantly above the normal tide,
with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas extending
some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding
should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be
prepared to follow advice regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so
by the authorities.

At 7 am EST [6.30am CST] Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, Category 2, with central
pressure 978 hPa, was located near latitude 12.6 south longitude 139.7 east,
which is 320km east of Nhulunbuy. The cyclone has recently been moving west
northwest at 22 km/hr as it intensifies over the Gulf waters.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, Category 2, for 7am EST [6.30am CST]
Central Pressure : 978 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 40 kilometres of
latitude 12.6 degrees south
longitude 139.7 degrees east
about 320 kilometres east of Nhulunbuy.
Recent Movement : towards the west northwest at 22 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 20 kilometres from the centre
Maximum wind gusts : 140 kilometres per hour near the centre.

People in the Northern Territory between Milingimbi and Port Roper, including
all of Groote Eylandt, should take precautions and listen to the next advice at
11.00am CST.

People between Cape Don and Milingimbi should listen to the next advice.

If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is available from your
local government or local State Emergency Service.

The next advice will be issued at 11am CST this morning by the Darwin Tropical
Cyclone Warning Centre.

TC INGRID BEGINS TO LOOK MUCH BETTER THAN IN THE MORNING, AND ACCORDING TO BoM LATEST TRACK THE SYSTEM IS MOVING FULLY WNW AT 22 KPH, IF THIS TRACK CONTINUES OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN TERRITORY COULD BE OUT OF THE DANGER ZONE. WHICH ALSO MEANS THAT THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TOWARD THE INDIAN OCEAN, TOWARD OPEN WATERS. INGRID REMAINS A VERY INTERESTING CYCLONE!

[AussieMark]

Cape escapes devastation
Michael Madigan and Ryan Heffernan
11mar05

THE strongest cyclone to hit Queensland for more than 80 years tore up parts of the far north yesterday but did not cause the widespread devastation predicted.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid struck land 50km southeast of the town of Lockhart River about 6am, bringing 240km/h winds and pounding rain to the mostly unpopulated area.

But meteorologists claim its "midget" make-up spared the town utter devastation.

Ingrid's gale-force winds and heavy rain could reach only 40km from its powerful centre – not enough to affect the town seriously.

After bunkering down in grim anticipation, residents in Lockhart River and the Cape York Peninsula town of Coen were left without injury or serious damage to infrastructure and property.

"Cyclone Tracy was a 'midget', so Ingrid is still very strong and very intense; but the area it affects is relatively small," Bureau of Meteorology Cairns duty forecaster Kylie Egan said. "That is why we didn't see the destruction we could have."

From Lockhart River, Ingrid moved across the top of the state at an average 12km/h, weakening before it hit Aurukun about 5pm as a category-one cyclone, and then started moving into the Gulf of Carpentaria, where it is expected to gain speed again before threatening coastal towns in the Northern Territory at the weekend.

Insurance Disaster Response Organisation Queensland co-ordinator Graham Jones said the cyclone appeared to have caused only minor damage and insurers were responding to claims on a case-by-case basis.

Ingrid did have an economic effect, though. Many businesses closed for the day and mining giant Comalco sent its Weipa workers home at 10.30am. Many other Weipa businesses, including pubs and clubs, sent staff home before lunch and Ergon Energy shut down its Lockhart River power station at 6.30am as a precaution.

At its ocean-based peak earlier this week Ingrid was rated a category five cyclone – the most powerful.

But it dropped to category four late on Wednesday, and as mountains and terrain dulled its intensity, the cyclone dropped to category two by 2pm yesterday and to category one by the time it reached the Aboriginal community of Aurukun at 5.30pm.

Aurukun Shire Council chief executive officer Gary Cleidon said there were rain and very strong winds as the cyclone passed through, but it was more like a strong storm than the "frightening" cyclone predicted.

District Disaster Management Group co-ordinator Mike Keating said he could not have expected a better outcome.

"We received advice at 2.30am that a category four cyclone was two hours from hitting Lockhart River which made us very concerned," Supt Keating said. "That cyclone had the potential to impact on four communities in the Cape York Peninsula."

Ms Egan said Ingrid would gather strength as it crossed the Gulf and moved towards Borroloola and Nhulunbuy in the Northern Territory.

"It will gather intensity as it feeds off the warm water but we expect it to continue in that direction," she said. "If it does turn around it could then affect Queensland."

Ingrid left Queensland the day Cyclone Mahina, which killed more than 400 people and destroyed 152 ships, did in 1899. Queensland's last category four cyclone to reach land was at Innisfail in 1918.

Reports from Papua New Guinea late yesterday said five people including two infants died after a boat capsized off PNG's south coast on Tuesday night as Ingrid whipped up high winds in the area. They were in an open banana boat with eight others in rough seas off Kerema in the Gulf of Papua night after a journey from Port Moresby.

[HURAKAN]

TC STEVE IN 2000 WAS THE LAST SOUTH PACIFIC CYCLONE TO CROSS FROM THE PACIFIC TO THE INDIAN OCEAN. FIVE YEARS LATER, TC INGRID IS TRYING TO GET THROUGH THE SAME JOURNEY, BUT USING A DIFFERENT PATH!

[HURAKAN]

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 34
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 am CST Friday 11 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities
between MILINGIMBI and GROOTE EYLANDT, including NHULUNBUY.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends west to CAPE DON. The CYCLONE WATCH between GROOTE
EYLANDT and PORT ROPER has been cancelled.

At 9.30 am CST TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID CATEGORY 2 was centred in the Gulf of
Carpentaria about 295 kilometres east of Nhulunbuy and 370 kilometres east
northeast of Alyangula, moving west northwest at 15 kilometres per hour towards
the coast. The cyclone is slowly intensifying.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 200 kilometres per hour are expected
to affect the coast near NHULUNBUY early Saturday morning.

GALES with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour are expected to develop between
GROOTE EYLANDT and NHULUNBUY later this evening and extend towards MILINGIMBI
Saturday morning.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between CAPE
SHIELD and MILINGIMBI.

HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause flooding in the northern TOP END.

Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 10.00 am CST:
. Centre located near...... 12.5 degrees South 139.5 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west northwest at 15 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 150 kilometres per hour slowly intensifying
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 2
. Central pressure......... 978 hectoPascals

REPEATING: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE core of TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is expected to
affect the coast near NHULUNBUY early Saturday morning.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 2 pm CST

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TC INGRID CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, REMAINS ON ITS WNW TRACK BUT HAS SLOWED DOWN SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY. IN SATELLITE IMAGES, IT LOOKS BETTER AS EVERY NEW PICTURE COMES OUT. SOON IT WILL BE CAT. 3 UNDER AUSTRALIAN STANDARDS. MOVEMENT SHOULD CONTINUE WNW AND IT MAY JUST HIT THE NE ZONE OF THE NORTHERN TERRITORY, AND THEN CONTINUE ITS WAY TOWARDS THE OPEN WATERS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN INDIAN OCEAN.

[HURAKAN]

I'M HAPPY TO INFORM THAT IF INGRID CONTINUES WNW THERE WILL NOT BE A LANDFALL IN THE NORTHERN TERRITORY. INGRID, ACCORDING TO NRL, HAS AGAIN REACHED HURRICANE STATUS WITH 75 MPH, EYE IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP AND LIFE FOR THE CYCLONE SEEMS GOOD. THE WARM WATERS OF THE TIMOR SEA SHOULD HELP THE SYSTEM.