IMPRESSIVE INGRID
Ex - Tropical Cyclone INGRID (22P)
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
IDQP0005
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Lockhart River to Port
Douglas are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 11
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 1:47am on Wednesday the 9th of March 2005
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities between Lockhart
River and Port Douglas.
A Cyclone WATCH extends across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of
Carpentaria between the mouth of the Gilbert River and Aurukun.
At 1:00 am EST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 5, with central pressure
930 hPa, was relocated by satellite near latitude 13.8 south longitude 146.3
east, which is about 220 km north northeast of Cooktown and 200 kilometres east
northeast of Cape Melville. The cyclone was moving westward at 8 km/h but is
expected to move in a west southwest direction during the day.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid poses a serious threat to the far north
Queensland coast with very destructive wind gusts to 290 km/hr near the centre.
Gales are expected to develop between Cape Melville and Port Douglas early
Wednesday morning. Destructive winds are likely between Cape Melville and Cape
Tribulation later in the morning. The very destructive core of the cyclone is
expected near the coast between Cape Melville and Cooktown late Wednesday
afternoon.
Coastal residents between Cape Melville and Cape Tribulation are specifically
warned of the dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast late
Wednesday afternoon. The sea is likely to rise steadily to a level significantly
above the highest tides of the year with damaging waves, strong currents and
flooding of low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas
likely to be affected by this flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised
to do so.
Heavy rain can be expected to develop on the coast and ranges north of Port
Douglas on Wednesday.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 5, for 1:00 am EST
Central Pressure : 930 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.8 degrees south
longitude 146.3 degrees east
about 200 kilometres east northeast of Cape Melville
and 220 km north northeast of Cooktown.
Recent Movement : towards the west at 8 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 90 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 35 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 290 kilometres per hour near the centre.
People in near coastal areas between Lockhart River and Port Douglas should have
almost completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter tomorrow
before conditions become dangerous.
People over inland areas across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of
Carpentaria coast should also consider actions they will need to take.
The next advice will be issued at 5 am EST Wednesday morning.
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Lockhart River to Port
Douglas are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 11
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 1:47am on Wednesday the 9th of March 2005
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities between Lockhart
River and Port Douglas.
A Cyclone WATCH extends across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of
Carpentaria between the mouth of the Gilbert River and Aurukun.
At 1:00 am EST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 5, with central pressure
930 hPa, was relocated by satellite near latitude 13.8 south longitude 146.3
east, which is about 220 km north northeast of Cooktown and 200 kilometres east
northeast of Cape Melville. The cyclone was moving westward at 8 km/h but is
expected to move in a west southwest direction during the day.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid poses a serious threat to the far north
Queensland coast with very destructive wind gusts to 290 km/hr near the centre.
Gales are expected to develop between Cape Melville and Port Douglas early
Wednesday morning. Destructive winds are likely between Cape Melville and Cape
Tribulation later in the morning. The very destructive core of the cyclone is
expected near the coast between Cape Melville and Cooktown late Wednesday
afternoon.
Coastal residents between Cape Melville and Cape Tribulation are specifically
warned of the dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast late
Wednesday afternoon. The sea is likely to rise steadily to a level significantly
above the highest tides of the year with damaging waves, strong currents and
flooding of low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas
likely to be affected by this flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised
to do so.
Heavy rain can be expected to develop on the coast and ranges north of Port
Douglas on Wednesday.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 5, for 1:00 am EST
Central Pressure : 930 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.8 degrees south
longitude 146.3 degrees east
about 200 kilometres east northeast of Cape Melville
and 220 km north northeast of Cooktown.
Recent Movement : towards the west at 8 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 90 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 35 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 290 kilometres per hour near the centre.
People in near coastal areas between Lockhart River and Port Douglas should have
almost completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter tomorrow
before conditions become dangerous.
People over inland areas across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of
Carpentaria coast should also consider actions they will need to take.
The next advice will be issued at 5 am EST Wednesday morning.
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
- Posts: 3420
- Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
Strong shear has gotten the better of it per IR loops. The center was completely ripped of convection in a matter of hours with only a bursting-type patttern remaining. Frankly, I've not seen a hurricane weaken as rapidly as this one (at least in the Atlantic). Looks like a cat2 at best (probably a cat1). Wow, you'd think they could predict shear a bit better than that...
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Lockhart River to Port
Douglas are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 12
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:42am on Wednesday the 9th of March 2005
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities between Lockhart
River and Cape Tribulation. The warning is cancelled between Cape Tribulation
and Port Douglas.
A Cyclone WATCH extends across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of
Carpentaria between the mouth of the Gilbert River and Aurukun.
At 4:00 am EST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 4, with central pressure
935 hPa, was relocated by satellite near latitude 13.6 south longitude 146.1
east, which is about 225 km north northeast of Cooktown and 305 kilometres east
of Coen. The cyclone was moving westward at 9 km/h but is expected to move in a
west southwest direction during the day.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid poses a serious threat to the far north
Queensland coast with very destructive wind gusts to 280 km/hr near the centre.
Gales are expected to develop between Lockhart River and Cape Tribulation early
Wednesday morning. Destructive winds are likely between Coen and Cape Flattery
later in the day. The very destructive core of the cyclone is expected near the
coast between Coen and Cape Flattery overnight.
Coastal residents between Coen and Cape Flattery are specifically warned of the
dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast overnight and Thursday
morning. The sea is likely to rise steadily to a level significantly above the
highest tides of the year with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of
low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be
affected by this flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so.
Heavy rain can be expected to develop on the coast and ranges north of Cooktown.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 4, for 4:00 am EST
Central Pressure : 935 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.6 degrees south
longitude 146.1 degrees east
about 225 kilometres north northeast of Cooktown
and 305km north east of Coen.
Recent Movement : towards the west at 9 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 90 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 35 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 280 kilometres per hour near the centre.
People in near coastal areas between Lockhart River and Cape Tribulation should
have almost completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter.
People over inland areas across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of
Carpentaria coast should also consider actions they will need to take.
The next advice will be issued at 8 am EST Wednesday morning.
TC INGRID WEAKENS A LITTLE BIT AS IT GETS CLOSER TO THE QUEENSLAND COAST.
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Lockhart River to Port
Douglas are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 12
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:42am on Wednesday the 9th of March 2005
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities between Lockhart
River and Cape Tribulation. The warning is cancelled between Cape Tribulation
and Port Douglas.
A Cyclone WATCH extends across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of
Carpentaria between the mouth of the Gilbert River and Aurukun.
At 4:00 am EST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 4, with central pressure
935 hPa, was relocated by satellite near latitude 13.6 south longitude 146.1
east, which is about 225 km north northeast of Cooktown and 305 kilometres east
of Coen. The cyclone was moving westward at 9 km/h but is expected to move in a
west southwest direction during the day.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid poses a serious threat to the far north
Queensland coast with very destructive wind gusts to 280 km/hr near the centre.
Gales are expected to develop between Lockhart River and Cape Tribulation early
Wednesday morning. Destructive winds are likely between Coen and Cape Flattery
later in the day. The very destructive core of the cyclone is expected near the
coast between Coen and Cape Flattery overnight.
Coastal residents between Coen and Cape Flattery are specifically warned of the
dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast overnight and Thursday
morning. The sea is likely to rise steadily to a level significantly above the
highest tides of the year with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of
low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be
affected by this flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so.
Heavy rain can be expected to develop on the coast and ranges north of Cooktown.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 4, for 4:00 am EST
Central Pressure : 935 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.6 degrees south
longitude 146.1 degrees east
about 225 kilometres north northeast of Cooktown
and 305km north east of Coen.
Recent Movement : towards the west at 9 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 90 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 35 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 280 kilometres per hour near the centre.
People in near coastal areas between Lockhart River and Cape Tribulation should
have almost completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter.
People over inland areas across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of
Carpentaria coast should also consider actions they will need to take.
The next advice will be issued at 8 am EST Wednesday morning.
TC INGRID WEAKENS A LITTLE BIT AS IT GETS CLOSER TO THE QUEENSLAND COAST.
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
- Posts: 3420
- Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
tallywx wrote:Strong shear has gotten the better of it per IR loops. The center was completely ripped of convection in a matter of hours with only a bursting-type patttern remaining. Frankly, I've not seen a hurricane weaken as rapidly as this one (at least in the Atlantic). Looks like a cat2 at best (probably a cat1). Wow, you'd think they could predict shear a bit better than that...
Never the less, it could still bring a powerful surge.
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
- Posts: 3420
- Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:looks like an eyewall replacement cycle to me
Never thought of that. Then again, it did look like it was beginning to undergo one late last night.
We still shouldn't write it off. Cyclones that have weakened greatly still have the potential to reintensify if conditions are right.
Example: Cyclone Fay 2004 (Weakened from a Category 4 to a Category 2. Prior to landfall, reintensified to a Category 4.)
Plus, looks can be deceiving. Remember Harvey?
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senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator
- Posts: 12542
- Age: 43
- Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
- Location: Mackenbach, Germany
- Contact:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The BOM says cat5 in that is what I'm saying.
Lets be friends in talk tropics.
Please realize that the Bureau of Meteorology follows a different scale than the Saffir-Simpson Scale. An Aussie category five is not always a category five according to the Saffir-Simpson Scale.
If you "meant" to refer to the Australian scale all along, it's been a category five for some time now, well before your first post about it "possibly" becoming a category five.,
Here's some reading for you to do on the Australian scale.
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/qld/cyclone/windstr.shtml
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
- Posts: 3420
- Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
- Posts: 3420
- Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146216
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
It looks like weakening is taking it's toll as the pressure has risen to 938 mbs and the maximun winds haved decreased to 105 kts according to NRL.And the eye is not visible as this morning.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
- Posts: 3420
- Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
This is what happens when you got a slow moving cyclone.
1# When the cyclone gets close to a large landmass it sucks in dry air/With less moisture. Meaning that whole side has less laten heat/Moist air to work with. Also Day time convection over land can make unstable air away from the cyclone=Stable air over the cyclone. That is unfavable for tropical cyclone formation. This is what I think killed off both Lili(2002)Ivan(2004)
2# A powerful cyclone over one area for two long caused uplifting. Meaning less fuel for our cyclone.
That is the reasons why this cyclone is weaking. This is no longer a super cyclone. In the chances for it to become one again are low.
1# When the cyclone gets close to a large landmass it sucks in dry air/With less moisture. Meaning that whole side has less laten heat/Moist air to work with. Also Day time convection over land can make unstable air away from the cyclone=Stable air over the cyclone. That is unfavable for tropical cyclone formation. This is what I think killed off both Lili(2002)Ivan(2004)
2# A powerful cyclone over one area for two long caused uplifting. Meaning less fuel for our cyclone.
That is the reasons why this cyclone is weaking. This is no longer a super cyclone. In the chances for it to become one again are low.
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Cape Grenville to
Cooktown are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 12
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 7:45am on Wednesday the 9th of March 2005
A Cyclone WARNING is current coastal and island communities between Cape
Grenville and Cooktown. The warning between Cooktown and Cape Tribulation is
cancelled.
A Cyclone WATCH extends across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of
Carpentaria between the mouth of the Gilbert River and Weipa.
At 7:00 am EST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 4, with central pressure
935 hPa, was located near latitude 13.6 south longitude 145.9 east, which is
about 220 km north northeast of Cooktown and 295 kilometres east of Coen. The
cyclone was moving westward at 7 km/h but is expected to move in a west
southwest direction later in the day.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid poses a serious threat to the far north
Queensland coast with very destructive wind gusts to 280 km/hr near the centre.
Gales are expected to develop between Cape Grenville and Cooktown within the
next few hours. Destructive winds are expected between Coen and Cape Flattery
later in the day. The very destructive core of the cyclone is expected near the
coast between Coen and Cape Melville early on Thursday.
Coastal residents between Coen and Cape Flattery are specifically warned of the
dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast early Thursday. The sea is
likely to rise steadily to a level significantly above the highest tides of the
year with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas
extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this
flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so.
Very heavy rain can be expected to develop on the coast and ranges north of
Cooktown.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 4, for 7:00 am EST
Central Pressure : 935 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.6 degrees south
longitude 145.9 degrees east
about 220 kilometres north northeast of Cooktown
and 295 km east of Coen.
Recent Movement : towards the west at 7 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 90 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 35 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 280 kilometres per hour near the centre.
People in near coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cooktown should have
completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter.
People over inland areas across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of
Carpentaria coast should also consider actions they will need to take as the
cyclone moves further towards them.
The next advice will be issued at 11 am EST Wednesday morning.
THE MOTION HAS SLOWED BY 2 KILOMETERS PER HOURS, BUT WINDS AND PRESSURE REMAIN THE SAME.
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Cape Grenville to
Cooktown are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 12
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 7:45am on Wednesday the 9th of March 2005
A Cyclone WARNING is current coastal and island communities between Cape
Grenville and Cooktown. The warning between Cooktown and Cape Tribulation is
cancelled.
A Cyclone WATCH extends across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of
Carpentaria between the mouth of the Gilbert River and Weipa.
At 7:00 am EST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 4, with central pressure
935 hPa, was located near latitude 13.6 south longitude 145.9 east, which is
about 220 km north northeast of Cooktown and 295 kilometres east of Coen. The
cyclone was moving westward at 7 km/h but is expected to move in a west
southwest direction later in the day.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid poses a serious threat to the far north
Queensland coast with very destructive wind gusts to 280 km/hr near the centre.
Gales are expected to develop between Cape Grenville and Cooktown within the
next few hours. Destructive winds are expected between Coen and Cape Flattery
later in the day. The very destructive core of the cyclone is expected near the
coast between Coen and Cape Melville early on Thursday.
Coastal residents between Coen and Cape Flattery are specifically warned of the
dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast early Thursday. The sea is
likely to rise steadily to a level significantly above the highest tides of the
year with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas
extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this
flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so.
Very heavy rain can be expected to develop on the coast and ranges north of
Cooktown.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 4, for 7:00 am EST
Central Pressure : 935 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.6 degrees south
longitude 145.9 degrees east
about 220 kilometres north northeast of Cooktown
and 295 km east of Coen.
Recent Movement : towards the west at 7 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 90 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 35 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 280 kilometres per hour near the centre.
People in near coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cooktown should have
completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter.
People over inland areas across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of
Carpentaria coast should also consider actions they will need to take as the
cyclone moves further towards them.
The next advice will be issued at 11 am EST Wednesday morning.
THE MOTION HAS SLOWED BY 2 KILOMETERS PER HOURS, BUT WINDS AND PRESSURE REMAIN THE SAME.
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Gorky
- Category 1
- Posts: 334
- Joined: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:23 am
- Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire, UK
It isn't moving that slow though 10kts is pretty much average for a cyclone like this. At the period where it was slowest, it actually underwent its fastest intensification. I was looking at the IR and it seemed as though a large mass of clouds was sucked into the cyclone and the cyclone pretty much burped whilst ingesting it. Seems to be becoming more circular again and I certainly wouldn't rule out reintensification before landfall...
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