Worldwide Tropical Update: 05 March 2005

[senorpepr]

The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 05 March 2005 at 21Z.

Tropical Low Noname (xxx/91P) (05/18Z)
Position: 12.4S 14734E (220 mi S of Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea)
Movement: E at 12 mph
Winds: 35 mph
Pressure: 1002 mb / 29.59"
Dvorak Est: T2.5/2.5

BoM is monitoring this low NE of Australia. Some slow development is expected with this cyclone. The JTWC has already issued a formation alert on this system. Should the cyclone be named, it will be Ingrid.

Tropical Cyclone Rae (12F/92P) (05/21Z)
Position: 21.0S 164.5W (615 mi SE of Pago Pago, American Samoa)
Movement: SSE at 15 mph
Winds: 45 mph
Pressure: 990 mb / 29.23"
Dvorak Est: T2.0/2.0

Organization with Rae has improved over the past day. Convection is hearty near the center of circulation. Strong divergence aloft and good outflow is trying to help Rae, but strengthening shear is trying to counteract it. Expect some continued intensification, but only in the short-term. Thereafter, the shear and the subtropical ridge to Rae’s SE will help weaken the system.

For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com

[senorpepr]

BTW, I've made the needed updates to the website. I've turned off the alert page for now. Rae doesn't really pose a threat, but in the event she does, I'll kick it back on.