Latest update of anomalys at pacific=Weak el nino holding

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cycloneye
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Latest update of anomalys at pacific=Weak el nino holding

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jan 16, 2005 6:07 pm

Image

The weak el nino freshold status has not changed in the past few weeks and the anomaly grafic shows it clearly.The yellow color at the 180 longitud line (Dateline) is at el nino 4 region and is the warmest of all the equatirial pacific (+1.5C)as el nino 1,2 and 3 are less warm(Between 0.0 to +1.0C).We will be watching the changes that will occur with ENSO in the next 2-4 months prior to the start of the 2005 season to see if it will have a big effect or not and beimportant when the forecasts for the season come.

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cyclonaut

#2 Postby cyclonaut » Sun Jan 16, 2005 9:14 pm

Yep that sure is weak!
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#3 Postby weatherwindow » Sun Jan 16, 2005 9:26 pm

does anyone have any ideas on why the current weak warm episode has not translated into regions 1 and 2? i am not aware of any previous examples of this isolated warming during a warm phase. in addition, if the absence of warming in the eastern pacific persists, will the resultant absence of deep convection in that area lessen the associated wind shear over the tropical atlantic?.....any thoughts would be appreciated......rich
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