SIGNIFICANT pattern change for NA over the next few weeks...

[CaptinCrunch]

I know it's not Dec 1963 but close enough!!

January 15-16, 1964 Another of the biggest events for north Texas. Accumulations above four inches were reported from stations east of a Muenster-Eastland-Goldthwaite line, and west of a Burnett-Temple-Mexia-Canton-Clarksville line. Between 8-12 inches were reported in a broad band from Hamilton to Granbury to McKinney. This was one the Dallas/Fort Worth area's biggest snowfalls.

[Anonymous]

On the Subject of the ECMWF...

I have some great news, and no, its not that I saved a bunch of money on my car insurance by switching to Geico. Actually I have Allstate.

Do I smell late NOV-DEC 1963? I think I do!!

Me ? I have better news. I just saved a bunch of money by switching to Travelers Insurance of Florida. My car insurance has lowered to $46 monthly !!!

Great analysis by the way ! Looking forward to the pattern change as we enter late Nov/Dec, as was expected in late October.

[Wnghs2007]

Bump

[wxguy25]

Bump

Thanks.

D10 ECMWF looking VERY promising. Look at all the split flow worldwide. Plus the NAO seems to be headed to the tank.

D10 ECMWF

[wxguy25]

On the Subject of the ECMWF...

I have some great news, and no, its not that I saved a bunch of money on my car insurance by switching to Geico. Actually I have Allstate.

but anyway,

D8-10 ECM

Look at that PV over on the NW shore of Hudson bay, PNA ridge is up and the Aleutian low is once again coming to life, Cahirs connection is up in Asia so the Vortex is kicked out of Siberia and you get three predominant long wave troughs.

Also notice the sharpening of the wavelengths over the North Atlantic, w/ what looks to be a 50-50 low trying to form. We could be setting up for a strongly -NAO to close the month and enter DEC. It will also be interesting if we can get the PNA ridge and developing -NAO to hook up and severely displace the PV.

Do I smell late NOV-DEC 1963? I think I do!!

I know this is a dumb question, and I know everyone is already sick and tired of the How much for Philly?-type questions, but I really need to ask this................

What was the weather like in Washington, DC in late November/into December 1963? Anyone? wxguy25? Stormsfury? Please?.........

I'm not sure I want to know........


-Jeb

Winchester VA 1963-64 total was 60", BWI: 51.8". Manassas, VA 30.8"

And my favorite spot in MD, Hancock, came in w/ 68.9"

[Wnghs2007]

Now if the SST's off the SE and Middle Atlantic Coast could heat up just a tad maybe we can get rid of that god forsaken southeast ridge.

[yoda]

Bump

Thanks.

D10 ECMWF looking VERY promising. Look at all the split flow worldwide. Plus the NAO seems to be headed to the tank.

D10 ECMWF

Most excellent... most excellent.

[KWT]

the NAO looks like going negative soonish,I don't know how that affects you there but thats a very good thing here.

GFS has gave us a peach of a run,with the -5C 850 over us for just over a week,as well as a very strong and solid Greenland high.

however I infact wish that the cold areas will stay that way(for my sake!)as i don't want the atlantic suddenly getting active and so stopping any chance of a decent block getting going.

[wxguy25]

Bump

Thanks.

D10 ECMWF looking VERY promising. Look at all the split flow worldwide. Plus the NAO seems to be headed to the tank.

D10 ECMWF

Most excellent... most excellent.

Whatever type of Midwest event we see around thanksgiving will probably be the catalyst for the pattern change we are about to see. Larger post Forthcoming (later tonight).

[Anonymous]

Bump

Thanks.

D10 ECMWF looking VERY promising. Look at all the split flow worldwide. Plus the NAO seems to be headed to the tank.

D10 ECMWF

Most excellent... most excellent.

Whatever type of Midwest event we see around thanksgiving will probably be the catalyst for the pattern change we are about to see. Larger post Forthcoming (later tonight).

I can hardly wait for your post, wxguy25. This is getting rather interesting. And if you winter enthusiasts are right, then I may indeed be in for some of the best-ever snow jebwalks I have been privileged to enjoy!!!!!

YEAH, BRING IT!!! BRING IT!!!

-ARCTIC JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Stormsfury]

Now if the SST's off the SE and Middle Atlantic Coast could heat up just a tad maybe we can get rid of that god forsaken southeast ridge.

Actually, quite the contrary ... I've found that colder SST's off the coast leads to less modfiication of the airmass from an easterly flow ...

BUT at the same time, warmer SST's just offshore followed by a strong push of cold air would also lead to a stronger baroclinic zone offshore, and hence, a better than average chance of popping something significant under the right conditions...

SF