NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL STORM INVEST (AL992004) ON 20041024 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
041024 1200 041025 0000 041025 1200 041026 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 34.0N 64.2W 34.2N 60.6W 35.4N 57.2W 37.0N 54.8W
BAMM 34.0N 64.2W 33.9N 62.2W 34.1N 60.0W 35.2N 59.0W
A98E 34.0N 64.2W 33.5N 61.5W 33.5N 56.3W 35.4N 50.4W
LBAR 34.0N 64.2W 34.1N 61.3W 34.9N 58.3W 36.3N 55.5W
SHIP 45KTS 48KTS 52KTS 55KTS
DSHP 45KTS 48KTS 52KTS 55KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
041026 1200 041027 1200 041028 1200 041029 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 38.9N 53.3W 43.2N 51.1W 49.1N 45.0W 55.9N 37.2W
BAMM 36.3N 59.6W 36.5N 60.9W 37.3N 53.8W 44.5N 43.8W
A98E 38.0N 44.9W 43.0N 31.6W 42.3N 11.0W 37.4N 9.7E
LBAR 38.0N 52.9W 41.1N 47.6W 42.9N 43.9W 42.9N 38.3W
SHIP 57KTS 59KTS 51KTS 46KTS
DSHP 57KTS 59KTS 51KTS 46KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 34.0N LONCUR = 64.2W DIRCUR = 95DEG SPDCUR = 8KT
LATM12 = 34.1N LONM12 = 66.0W DIRM12 = 80DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 35.0N LONM24 = 67.3W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 300NM WNDM12 = 40KT
CENPRS = 990MB OUTPRS = 1005MB OUTRAD = 400NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 400NM RD34SE = 150NM RD34SW = 150NM RD34NW = 250NM
In order for the low to make the transition from extratropical which it is this morning to a subtropical low it has to have convection all around the low.Let's see if that happens or not in the next few hours.
99L=Intense low 990 mbs
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cycloneye
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99L=Intense low 990 mbs
Last edited by cycloneye on Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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cycloneye
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18:00 UTC Models
TROPICAL STORM INVEST (AL992004) ON 20041024 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
041024 1800 041025 0600 041025 1800 041026 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 33.4N 62.5W 34.1N 58.8W 35.5N 55.9W 37.4N 53.9W
BAMM 33.4N 62.5W 33.6N 60.1W 34.2N 58.0W 35.6N 57.2W
A98E 33.4N 62.5W 32.8N 59.4W 33.2N 54.3W 35.9N 48.4W
LBAR 33.4N 62.5W 33.5N 59.3W 34.8N 56.1W 36.6N 53.1W
SHIP 45KTS 49KTS 54KTS 56KTS
DSHP 45KTS 49KTS 54KTS 56KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
041026 1800 041027 1800 041028 1800 041029 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 39.6N 52.9W 44.3N 50.0W 50.0N 41.0W 54.2N 28.9W
BAMM 37.2N 57.8W 39.0N 58.5W 41.2N 52.7W 47.6N 45.1W
A98E 38.0N 43.1W 33.4N 29.1W 28.4N 17.5W 27.6N 7.4W
LBAR 38.6N 50.4W 41.5N 47.1W 42.9N 44.8W 44.8N 36.6W
SHIP 58KTS 59KTS 56KTS 52KTS
DSHP 58KTS 59KTS 56KTS 52KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 33.4N LONCUR = 62.5W DIRCUR = 105DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 34.6N LONM12 = 65.1W DIRM12 = 93DEG SPDM12 = 7KT
LATM24 = 34.3N LONM24 = 67.2W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 300NM WNDM12 = 40KT
CENPRS = 990MB OUTPRS = 1005MB OUTRAD = 400NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 400NM RD34SE = 150NM RD34SW = 150NM RD34NW = 250NM
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