Worldwide Tropical Update: 21 October

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senorpepr
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Worldwide Tropical Update: 21 October

#1 Postby senorpepr » Wed Oct 20, 2004 11:48 pm

The 21/00Z update is posted featuring...

* Typhoon (Cat 2) Nock-ten (28W)

Enjoy and feel free to reply back with comments!
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/
Last edited by senorpepr on Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby senorpepr » Thu Oct 21, 2004 12:01 am

Besides our featured tropical cyclones, we're monitoring the following invest system(s).

Invest 98L
13.2N 51.0W (570mi E of Bridgetown, Barbados)
30 mph; 1009 mb / 29.80”
Dvorak estimates: Too weak
98L, which is associated with a westbound tropical wave, is having problems with development thanks to strong westerly shear aloft. The strong shear will continue to stop any signs of organization as the system tracks towards the northern South American coast.

Invest 91E
14.1N 117.0W (765mi SW of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico)
25 mph; 1008 mb / 29.77”
Dvorak estimates: Too weak
91E is associated with a broad area of low pressure. Current organization remains very poor and development will be slow to occur, if any.

Invest 99W
11.8N 162.5E (445mi NE of Pohnpei, Micronesia)
15 mph; 1006 mb / 29.71”
Dvorak estimates: Too weak
99W has shown some signs of organization throughout the day. The JTWC will update the outlook bulletin at 06Z, so we’ll see what they have to say on development. Regardless, any development in the near future will be slow.

Invest 92S
2.4S 49.9E (420mi WNW of Victoria, Seychelles)
15 mph; 1006 mb / 29.71”
Dvorak estimates: Too weak
92S has a very well defined low-level ciruculation, but convection is lacking. Shear has decreased, but it has slowly drifted toward the equator – now only 165mi S of the equator. There is some potential for development, but it remains small. The JTWC lists a poor chance for development whereas Meteo-France lists none.

Go to http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html for the latest satellite imagery.
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#3 Postby senorpepr » Thu Oct 21, 2004 8:42 am

The 21/12Z update is posted featuring...

* Typhoon (Cat 2) Nock-ten (28W)

Enjoy and feel free to reply back with comments!
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/
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#4 Postby senorpepr » Thu Oct 21, 2004 8:42 am

Besides our featured tropical cyclone(s), we're monitoring the following invest system(s).

Invest 92S
2.6S 53.3E (210mi WNW of Victoria, Seychelles)
15 mph; 1006 mb / 29.71”
Dvorak estimates: Too weak
92S has a very well defined low-level circulation, but convection is lacking. Shear has decreased and it is now starting to drift toward the ESE. There is some potential for development, but it remains quite small. The JTWC lists a poor chance for development whereas Meteo-France lists none.

Go to http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html for the latest satellite imagery.
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