Typhoon Nock-Ten at WPAC,typhoon warning for Guam

[cycloneye]

http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... pgua.shtml

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/atc ... 282004.gif

Code: Select all

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN (28W) ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
2 AM GUAM LST SUN OCT 17 2004

...TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN (28W) WELL NORTHEAST OF CHUUK...

CURRENTLY THERE ARE NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...
RESIDENTS OF CHUUK AND THE MARIANA ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN.

AT 1 AM GUAM LST..1500Z..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.0 DEGREES
EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM
                    690 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN
                    315 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHUUK
               
TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. TROPICAL STORM
NOCK-TEN WILL CONTINUE MOVING WEST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS...WITH
A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON ON MONDAY.

REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...10.9 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND
155.0 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH.

RESIDENTS OF CHUUK SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FROM THEIR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES. LISTEN TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO AT 162.40 MHZ ON GUAM AND ROTA...AND AT 162.55
MHZ ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN. RECORDED WEATHER INFORMATION FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN ALSO BE HEARD ON GUAM BY DIALING 811.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. 

HENDRICKS


Once again Guam is threatened by a typhoon now a tropical storm but conditions are favorable for Nock-Ten to intensify.Those people in Guam are well prepared and if they are directly on the path of this system they will know what to do.The forecast track indicates that the center will pass south of Guam but any deviation to the north would be a direct hit.

[Wnghs2007]

Shhesh, Poor Guam, they have a lot of storms.

[cycloneye]

Code: Select all

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
8 PM GUAM LST SUN OCT 17 2004

...TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN TRACKING SLOWLY WEST...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FANANU. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ULUL.

RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN.

AT 7 PM GUAM LST..0900Z..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 153.6 DEGREES
EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 180 MILES NORTHEAST OF FANANU
                    305 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ULUL
                    245 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK
                    630 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM
                    615 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN
                   
TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN IS MOVING WEST AT 7 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.   

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN IS
FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...10.6 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 153.6
DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE MOVING WEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 65 MPH.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO LOCAL
STATEMENT /WTPQ82 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY
AT 2 AM MONDAY MORNING.   

MCELROY


Still Guam is at the forecast track path so let's pray for those people that in the past 3 years haved been suffering with many landfalls of typhoons.

[Scorpion]

Whats up with the wierd typhoon names?

[cycloneye]

171535
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
2 AM GUAM LST MON OCT 18 2004

...STRONG TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN MAINTAINING WESTWARD COURSE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FANANU. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ULUL.

RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN.

AT 1 AM GUAM LST..1500Z..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.9 DEGREES
EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 165 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF FANANU
270 MILES NORTHEAST OF ULUL
240 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK
580 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM
570 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN

TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY...BECOMING A TYPHOON DURING THE NEXT
12 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...10.8 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 152.9
DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 70 MPH.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO LOCAL
STATEMENT /WTPQ82 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY
AT 8 AM GUAM LST.

HENDRICKS

[Wnghs2007]

IM praying it will miss them. These people go thru a lot in this year and every year.

[Scorpion]

Im going to build me a house in Guam. It seems like they get the most hurricanes out of anywhere.

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN SPECIAL ADVISORY 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
4 AM GUAM LST MON OCT 18 2004

...NOCK-TEN MOVING TOWARD THE MARIANAS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FANANU. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ULUL.

A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN AS OF 4 AM GUAM LST. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

AT 1 AM GUAM LST..1500Z..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.9 DEGREES
EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 150 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF FANANU
260 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ULUL
220 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK
580 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN
580 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN
580 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA
590 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM

TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY...BECOMING A TYPHOON DURING THE NEXT
12 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...10.5 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 152.9
DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 70 MPH.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO LOCAL
STATEMENT /WTPQ82 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 7 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 11 AM GUAM LST.

HENDRICKS

[Aslkahuna]

Actually, there are two towns in the Philippines that get hit more often than Guam. One is Virac on the island of Catanduanes (also known as the Land of the Howling Wind) and the other is Baler on the NE coast of Luzon.

About the names-typhoon names in WPAC were revised in 2000 when prime responsibility for typhoon warnings transferred from JTWC to the RSMC in Tokyo. At the time, it was felt that the names should reflect the languages and culture of the region. Because proper names are relatively few in most Countries of the region, it was decided that the names would reflect natural objects, objects of use, or weather terms rather than person's names. There are 28 names on each list with two on each list from each of 14 countries with territory within the region (including the US) and a total of four lists. The naming protocol remains the same. Except for two proper names, the US names submitted were in the Chamorro dialect that is native to Guam and the Marianas. In addition, there are subsets of names that are used by local weather services for storms within their local areas of responsibility (AOR) Thus the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has it's own lists for use on Public warnings within its AOR. These names are common Filipino names in the various dialects used within the Country and were taken from names submitted by the Public for use in the lists.

Steve

[Ixolib]

Just before I retired from the USAF in '95, I had orders to Guam. Then, they changed my orders and sent me instead to Incirlik, Turkey for two years!! There certainly wasn't any tropical weather there.

Damn... I REALLY wanted that Guam assignment!!!!!!!!!

[Wnghs2007]

Lord how mercy Guam it keeps getting worse and worse for you according to Cycloneyes posts.

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TYPHOON NOCK-TEN ADVISORY 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
8 PM GUAM LST MON OCT 18 2004

...STRENGTHENING TYPHOON NOCK-TEN HEADED WESTWARD TOWARD THE
MARIANAS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FANANU AND ULUL. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH ARE OCCURRING
OR WILL OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TYPHOON WATCH IS IN EFFECT AS OF 8 PM FOR FARAULEP. A TYPHOON
WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74
MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48
HOURS.

AT 7 PM GUAM LST..0900Z..THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NOCK-TEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.5 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 110 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF FANANU
170 MILES NORTHEAST OF ULUL
190 MILES NORTH OF CHUUK
515 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN
515 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN
505 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA
510 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM

TYPHOON NOCK-TEN IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND FURTHER
INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...10.2 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 151.5
DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO LOCAL
STATEMENT /WTPQ82 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED
ADVISORY AT 2 AM GUAM LST TUESDAY.

MCELROY


At least it looks like it will pass just south of Guam but let's see what happens today.

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TYPHOON NOCK-TEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 18A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
11 PM GUAM LST MON OCT 18 2004

...TYPHOON NOCK-TEN GAINING STRENGTH AND HEADING WESTWARD TOWARD THE
MARIANAS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FANANU AND ULUL. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH ARE OCCURRING
OR WILL OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR FARAULEP. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS
TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR
MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48
HOURS.

AT 10 PM GUAM LST..1200Z..THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NOCK-TEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.9 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 125 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF FANANU
135 MILES NORTHEAST OF ULUL
195 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK
445 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF FARAULEP
490 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN
490 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN
475 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA
475 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM

TYPHOON NOCK-TEN IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER
INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...10.1 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 150.9
DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 100 MPH.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO LOCAL
STATEMENT /WTPQ82 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 2 AM GUAM LST TUESDAY.

MCELROY


Now a cat 2 typhoon.

[cycloneye]

HLSPQ2GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ171-172-181700-

TYPHOON NOCK-TEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
9 PM GUAM LST MON OCT 18 2004

...TYPHOON NOCK-TEN INTENSIFYING...


AREAS AFFECTED
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF
FANANU...ULUL...FARAULEP...GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN.


WATCHES AND WARNINGS

A TYPHOON WATCH IS IN EFFECT AS OF 8 PM FOR FARAULEP. A TYPHOON
WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74
MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH
OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FANANU AND ULUL.
DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH ARE OCCURRING OR WILL OCCUR DURING THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS.


STORM INFORMATION
AT 7 PM GUAM LST..0900Z..THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NOCK-TEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.5 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 110 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF FANANU
170 MILES NORTHEAST OF ULUL
190 MILES NORTH OF CHUUK
485 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF FARAULEP
515 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN
515 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN
505 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA
510 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TYPHOON
NOCK-TEN IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH.


FANANU AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH
OR MORE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MORNING. REMAIN IN A SAFE
SHELTER. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT DUE TO VERY ROUGH SEAS.
FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS RECEIVED FROM THE CHUUK EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICE.


WIND INFORMATION
SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 35 TO 45 MPH THIS EVENING WILL SLOWLY DECREASE
OVERNIGHT. BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY...WINDS SHOULD NO LONGER BE
DAMAGING.


COASTAL INUNDATION AND SURF INFORMATION
EXPECT HAZARDOUS SURF BETWEEN 11 AND 14 FT OVERNIGHT...AS TYPHOON
NOCK-TEN PASSES. COASTAL INUNDATION AS HIGH AS 2 FEET IS EXPECTED.


OTHER STORM EFFECTS
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. LOCAL
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.


ULUL AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH
OR MORE ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING ALREADY. REMAIN IN A SAFE SHELTER.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT DUE TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. FOLLOW
INSTRUCTIONS RECEIVED FROM THE CHUUK EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE.


WIND INFORMATION
WEST WINDS AT 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHWEST TUESDAY.


COASTAL INUNDATION AND SURF INFORMATION
EXPECT HAZARDOUS SURF BETWEEN 11 AND 14 FEET TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
COASTAL INUNDATION AS HIGH AS 2 FEET IS EXPECTED.


OTHER STORM EFFECTS
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AND
TUESDAY. LOCAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.


FARAULEP AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT. TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY. SECURE LOOSE OUTSIDE OBJECTS...INCLUDING SMALL BOATS.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT DUE TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. FOLLOW
INSTRUCTIONS RECEIVED FROM THE YAP EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE.


WIND INFORMATION
NORTHWEST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH OVERNIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
WEST ON TUESDAY THEN INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH TUESDAY EVENING.


COASTAL INUNDATION AND SURF INFORMATION
HAZARDOUS SURF BETWEEN 8 AND 11 FEET WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 11 AND
13 FEET TUESDAY EVENING. COASTAL INUNDATION AS HIGH AS 2 FEET IS
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY.


OTHER STORM EFFECTS
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. LOCAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.


GUAM
AT 10 AM MONDAY GOVERNOR FELIX CAMACHO PLACED GUAM IN CONDITION OF
READINESS 3. RESIDENTS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
TYPHOON. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND CHECK THE CONTENTS OF YOUR
DISASTER SUPPLY KIT. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE
OBJECTS IN YOUR YARD. FILL YOUR CAR WITH GAS.


WIND INFORMATION
DAMAGING NORTHEAST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT BECOMING
EAST 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH WEDNESDAY MORNING. TYPHOON
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


COASTAL INUNDATION AND SURF INFORMATION
COASTAL INUNDATION AS HIGH AS 4 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY ON
WINDWARD COASTLINES.


OTHER STORM EFFECTS
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES IS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. LOCAL FLOODING IS LIKELY.


ROTA
RESIDENTS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS TYPHOON.
REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND CHECK THE CONTENTS OF YOUR DISASTER
SUPPLY KIT. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS IN YOUR
YARD. FILL YOUR CAR WITH GAS.


WIND INFORMATION
DAMAGING NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT BECOMING
EAST 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


COASTAL INUNDATION AND SURF INFORMATION
COASTAL INUNDATION AS HIGH AS 3 TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE ON WINDWARD
COASTLINES WEDNESDAY.


OTHER STORM EFFECTS
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. LOCAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.


SAIPAN AND TINIAN
A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. RESIDENTS
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS TYPHOON.


WIND INFORMATION
NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH TUESDAY NIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEAST 25 TO
35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


COASTAL INUNDATION AND SURF INFORMATION
COASTAL INUNDATION AS HIGH AS 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE ON WINDWARD
COASTLINES WEDNESDAY.


OTHER STORM EFFECTS
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. LOCAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

[Wnghs2007]

Grrrrr. Poor Guam. Now that this is impacting them we will have to see what comes out of it.

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TYPHOON NOCK-TEN ADVISORY 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
200 AM GUAM LST TUE OCT 19 2004

...TYPHOON NOCK-TEN CONTINUES INTENSIFYING...

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FARAULEP OF YAP STATE...AND
GUAM ..ROTA..TINIAN AND SAIPAN OF THE MARIANAS. TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS
OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FANANU AND ULUL OF
CHUUK STATE. DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

AT 1 AM GUAM LST..1500Z..THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NOCK-TEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.6 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 140 MILES NORTHWEST OF FANANU
130 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ULUL
205 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK
425 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF FARAULEP
470 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN
470 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN
455 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROTA
455 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM

TYPHOON NOCK-TEN IS MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NOCK-TEN WILL
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS
EXTENDED OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 170 MILES
FROM THE CENTER.

REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...10.2 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 150.6
DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 100 MPH.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO LOCAL
STATEMENT /WTPQ82 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY
AT 8 AM GUAM LST.

AHN

[Wnghs2007]

@ Cycloneyes post above. Could be a catastrophic storm for guam

[cycloneye]

TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
TYPHOON NOCK-TEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 19A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
500 AM GUAM LST TUE OCT 19 2004

...TYPHOON NOCK-TEN SPEEDS UP A BIT...

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FARAULEP OF YAP STATE...AND
GUAM ..ROTA..TINIAN AND SAIPAN OF THE MARIANAS. TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS
OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FANANU AND ULUL OF
CHUUK STATE. DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

AT 4 AM GUAM LST..1800Z..THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NOCK-TEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.8 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 175 MILES NORTHWEST OF FANANU
105 MILES NORTH OF ULUL
230 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHUUK
370 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF FARAULEP
440 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN
415 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROTA
410 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM

TYPHOON NOCK-TEN IS MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NOCK-TEN WILL
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS
EXTENDED OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...DESTRUCTIVE WINDS UP TO 70 MILES
AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 170 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...10.1 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 149.8
DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 100 MPH.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO LOCAL
STATEMENT /WTPQ82 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT
11 AM GUAM LST.

[Scorpion]

100 mph? Oh please. Guam has been hit by 200 mph typhoons and survived well. If anything, the people of Guam would be enjoying this. Guam gets hit like 5 times a year by these. Its just a common event like an afternoon t storm in Florida.

[cycloneye]

191012 CCA
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
TYPHOON NOCK-TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
8 PM GUAM LST TUE OCT 19 2004

...TYPHOON NOCK-TEN CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST AND GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY...

A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM.

A TYPHOON WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
ROTA.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
FARAULEP ISLAND OF YAP STATE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI AND SATAWAL IN
YAP STATE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI OF YAP
STATE.

AT 7 PM GUAM LST..0900Z..THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NOCK-TEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 9.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.7 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 225 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF FARAULEP
305 EAST-NORTHEAST OF WOLEAI
165 NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SATAWAL
390 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN
395 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN
350 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA
325 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM
490 MILES EAST OF FAIS
550 MILES EAST OF ULITHI

TYPHOON NOCK-TEN IS MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 6 HOURS. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST WILL FOLLOW...ACCOMPANIED BY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NOCK-TEN WILL
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...DESTRUCTIVE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 70 MILES AND DAMAGING WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM
THE CENTER.

REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...9.7 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 147.7
DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 105 MPH.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO LOCAL
STATEMENT /WTPQ82 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY
AT 2 AM GUAM LST WEDNESDAY.

MCELROY


Looks like the center of the typhoon will pass south of Guam but Guam will get scattered bands of rain and tropical storm force winds.