Storm of the year (SO FAR)

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What was the "Storm of the year" SO FAR?

Hurricane Charley
36
23%
Hurricane Frances
6
4%
Hurricane Ivan
109
69%
Hurricane Jeanne
7
4%
 
Total votes: 158

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HURAKAN
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#21 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:05 pm

OrlandoDad wrote:I voted for Jeanne. Loss of human life is the most important factor for me.


Good argument, I didn't think about that. :idea:
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#22 Postby HurricaneBill » Mon Oct 11, 2004 11:27 pm

Overall, all 4 storms had the potential to be storm of the year.

Charley was a nightmarish scenario for meteorologists. Kind of a hurricane Lili in reverse. Charley also ended the nearly 5-year drought of major landfalls on the U.S.

I'd rank Charley along with Donna and Hugo.

Yes, Frances fell apart before landfall, but so have many other storms. But what Frances lacked in wind, she made up for in rain and tornadoes. Frances was also a slow mover and a large storm.

I'd rank Frances along with Beulah and Georges.

Ivan reminded me of Hurricane Allen in many ways. Hitting Category 5 on 3 occasions, avoiding landfalls until the end, kind of falling apart prior to landfall, massive hurricane. Also hitting the U.S. as a Category 3 hurricane.

I'd rank Ivan up with Allen and Gilbert.

Jeanne was the "comeback kid" in the group. When her LLC was escaping the convection off the coast of Haiti, I think lots of people were saying "Bye-bye Jeanne".

However, Jeanne formed a new LLC and did a loop coming back towards Florida. For some reason, I was thinking Jeanne would fall apart before reaching Florida. I was thinking dry air would get to her or shear would. So I was surprised that she was a Category 3 at landfall.

Jeanne was the first major hurricane to hit the east coast of Florida since Hurricane Andrew in 1992.

Jeanne's loop reminded me of Betsy.

I'd rank Jeanne with Betsy and Frederic.
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#23 Postby SouthernWx » Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:03 am

I have to cast my vote for Ivan....

When I look back at the 2004 season in twenty years, the first hurricane I'll think of will be Ivan. Overall, it was one of the most unusual and intense hurricanes I've ever witnessed or studied. To reach such extreme intensity in an area where hurricanes simply DON'T (central Caribbean) was one of the most incredible events I've ever witnessed....to maintain such extreme intensity for many days, and the extreme storm surge destruction it caused in the Pensacola-Gulf Shores area...IMO the most destructive hurricane along the northern Gulf coast since Camille. According to some, Ivan "fell apart" prior to landfall, but the wind damage is at least as bad as I witnessed firsthand during/ after Frederic, and the storm surge even worse....and I imagine most folks in the path would agree it was one helluva hurricane to experience and survive.

Will the other hurricanes listed be memorable to me? You betcha.....Jeanne for becoming the first major hurricane to strike the Florida east coast north of Miami in my lifetime....the extreme loss of life in Haiti.
The unusual path back toward Florida after looping...plus the fact U.S. landfall occurred at the same location and exactly three weeks later than Frances.

Charley because of the rapidity with which it deepened prior to landfall....the extreme damage in SW Florida, the 105 mph gusts in Orlando (highest of record), and the unusual, almost incredible path taken by such an intense hurricane before mid-August (also the earliest in the season major hurricane to ever strike the Florida peninsula; the most intense landfalling hurricane along the Florida west coast since before 1850).

Frances is unusual and memorable for what it didn't do. There's never been such an intense hurricane in the prime of hurricane season to impact the Bahamas enroute to southern Florida and fail to make landfall there as a major hurricane. Look at past cat-4/5 hurricanes approaching the Bahamas from the east/ ESE that made landfall in Florida: Donna, Andrew, the 1926, 1928, and 1947 monster hurricanes...all slammed Florida as cat-4's (and Andrew a cat-5).

But after looking at all of them...comparing notes and the images I have of each, Ivan gets my vote....the most memorable hurricane of a most memorable Atlantic hurricane season (and it isn't quite over with yet).

PW
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#24 Postby Sanibel » Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:22 am

US Landfaller: Mean little buzzsaw Charley. I deal with his wreckage daily 7 weeks later. Leveled masonry and steel-framed buildings with winds alone. Was category 2 over Orlando! Required massive power infrastructure rebuild...


Overall 2004 storm:


Hands down Ivan. Category 5 performance and lifespan. Historic Grenada life-taker and home-wrecker. Cayman destroyer. Even in a weakened state killed people on Pensacola barrier Islands and created a surge that took an interstate out of service...
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#25 Postby Matthew5 » Tue Oct 12, 2004 1:21 pm

As for death Jeanne wins hands down. But for the storm of the year it is Ivan.

As for Charley he comes real close.

You also forgot another hurricane??? The south Atlantic hurricane that hit southern Brazil has a 85 knot hurricane. It caused alot of damage.
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#26 Postby Sanibel » Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:38 pm

The people of Richmond probably say it was the TS that hit them...


(Gaston)
Last edited by Sanibel on Thu Oct 14, 2004 7:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#27 Postby tronbunny » Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:40 pm

For overall damage, intensity etc. on a global scale it is Ivan.
For domestic, clearly it's Charley.
For human life, we have Jeanne, and her visit to Haiti.
For pure annoyance factor, I give you Frances.

I voted for Ivan because he was spectacular all through his life.
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Matthew5

#28 Postby Matthew5 » Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:46 pm

For Pure utter power It is Ivan by far...
For Death Jeanne by far...
For rain Frances...
For Distroying things Charley...
For Flooding 2 block of a town Gaston...
For rare you got the south Atlantic hurricane...

Number including the two south Atlantic tropical cyclones...
16/9/6...
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#29 Postby isobar » Thu Oct 14, 2004 2:27 pm

The cherry on top of Ivan's cake was his remnant who came full circle back into GOM making final landfall in SW La.

Ivan from start to finish was in a class all his own.
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#30 Postby ~SirCane » Thu Oct 14, 2004 4:38 pm

IVAN

It was more than DOUBLE the size of Charley-so the damage was more widespread along the coast. The storm surge was that of a Category 5 and the wind damage was horrible. NEVER in my life seen so many roofs gone. I don't think it weakened that much at landfall. So many structures destroyed by the wind. Ivan pounded us well before they downgraded it from 135mph CAT 4 to a 130mph CAT 3. Really don't see much of a difference there! Ivan The Terrible has changed this area-that's for sure.

Charley would be second followed by Jeanne.
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Derek Ortt

#31 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Oct 14, 2004 4:50 pm

Ranking atl storms in order

1. Charley: near 5 at US landfall, cat 3 in Cuba, also brought wind to Windwards, Caymans, Jamaica, and cat 1 in Carolina

2. Ivan: Trail of disaster. Had it not have weakened before us landfall (or have not weakened, then re-intensified before grenada or hit jamaica, or cuba farther east) would have been #1

3. Frances: Worst storm ever for the bahamas in that it affected nearly the entire island chain as a 4 or a 3 and the NW sector as a strong 2. also caused about 8 billion in damage for the usa

4. Jeanne: The death toll in Haiti is not anything special, a weak STD killed even more in May. No vegatation means mudslides and a slow moving summer T storm could kill many. is of note for being a major in the NW Bahamas and Florida

5. Gaston: Devastated Richmond, enough said

6. Alex: Near disaster after lack of evac on Hatteras. 10 more mile north brings the worst of the wind and surge over hat, probably resulting in a large loss of life

7. Bonnie: 23 tornadoes. also brought out a unique ituation where a continuous stretch of florida coastline was under a hurricane warning for two different storms, but no break between the hurricane warning areas.

8. Matthew: some flooding to new orleans and surrounding areas

9. Earl: TS winds to the Windwards

10. Hermine: pitiful, just pitiful. Thats 2 in a row now of weak, TS landfalls with no effects inland.

11. Karl: Cat 4, but out to sea

12. Nicole: STS, but did hit land as extra-tropical

13. Danielle: Nice storm, but E atl

14. Lisa: good cane, fishy though
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Matthew5

#32 Postby Matthew5 » Thu Oct 14, 2004 4:59 pm

Nice discussion Derek. In you think like I do that the May 24th system was subtropical depression or weak storm? What are the chances in 20 years from now they might add that as a subtropical or tropical system to the maps?

:)
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Derek Ortt

#33 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Oct 14, 2004 6:41 pm

no chance, that may storm was extra-tropical
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#34 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Oct 14, 2004 7:00 pm

3. Frances: Worst storm ever for the bahamas in that it affected nearly the entire island chain as a 4 or a 3 and the NW sector as a strong 2. also caused about 8 billion in damage for the usa


Frances also produced the largest number of tornadoes (117) surpassing Beulah's 115 ... including producing the largest outbreak for South Carolina in its history (47 confirmed) ...

5. Gaston: Devastated Richmond, enough said


Absolutely ... Gaston was very impressive in South Carolina as well, especially around the eyewall on the W/NW flank which produced 10-13" of rain in Berkeley, and Williamsburg Counties ... along with unofficial wind reports of 70 mph, even 50-60 miles inland ... locations within the path were without power for over a week ... Gaston was the strongest "tropical storm" without ever becoming a hurricane that I've experienced ...

SF
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#35 Postby HurricaneBill » Thu Oct 14, 2004 7:19 pm

Didn't someone say there was data that showed that Gaston was a hurricane at landfall?
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#36 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Oct 14, 2004 7:37 pm

HurricaneBill wrote:Didn't someone say there was data that showed that Gaston was a hurricane at landfall?


Wasn't me ... someone else I think might have posted something on it ... but I was unable to find any sustained SFC winds of 74 mph or greater at any location, however, radar velocities might suggest otherwise ... there were plenty of PK wind gusts over hurricane force, and several of those were over 80 MPH ... Isle of Palms, Mt. Pleasant ... and Gaston DID develop a visible eye on satellite imagery around landfall/just after landfall ... very close call ... IMHO, using satellite classifications ONLY (and the visible eye on satellite), Gaston would have been called a hurricane ...

SF
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Derek Ortt

#37 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Oct 14, 2004 8:10 pm

gaston has been lowered to a 50KT TS at landfall according to best track
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#38 Postby Hurricanehink » Thu Oct 14, 2004 8:14 pm

Derek, where'd you find that? According to the August summary,
ON THE MORNING OF 29 AUGUST...GASTON MOVED INLAND JUST WEST
OF MCCLELLANVILLE SOUTH CAROLINA WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF ABOUT 70
MPH.
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Derek Ortt

#39 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Oct 14, 2004 8:31 pm

according to the best track (from an atcf file). It seems as if Ivan's best track has also been completed and its a weak to moderate cat 3 based upon the way I've interpreted it, which is quite consistent with the data from recon, higher than h-wind though.

note: these are subject to revisions and the final versions are in the tropical cyclone reports
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#40 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Oct 14, 2004 8:38 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:gaston has been lowered to a 50KT TS at landfall according to best track


I find that very hard to believe, Derek ... not doubting you, just seems a little odd with Gaston's organization and developing a clear cut eye on satellite imagery around landfall, and beyond ... and based on observed damage, and actual observed wind speeds suggesting otherwise ... maybe, not a hurricane, but a clear cut high end tropical storm ...

I have had a chance to study a lot of datasets from the CHS WFO and watched a lot of video archives from the media outlets and this just wasn't a 50 kt tropical storm .. no way ...

SF
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