NICOLE is born,1004 mbs,35 kt

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cycloneye
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NICOLE is born,1004 mbs,35 kt

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:04 pm

Code: Select all

  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

  TROPICAL STORM INVEST     (AL962004) ON 20041010  0000 UTC

          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          041010  0000   041010  1200   041011  0000   041011  1200

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    31.1N  65.0W   32.7N  66.5W   34.1N  65.6W   37.0N  61.9W
  BAMM    31.1N  65.0W   32.7N  66.6W   34.5N  66.1W   37.3N  63.4W
  A98E    31.1N  65.0W   32.6N  67.0W   34.1N  66.0W   38.2N  63.5W
  LBAR    31.1N  65.0W   33.1N  66.1W   34.9N  65.9W   37.9N  64.0W
  SHIP        35KTS          42KTS          51KTS          58KTS
  DSHP        35KTS          42KTS          51KTS          58KTS

          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          041012  0000   041013  0000   041014  0000   041015  0000

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    41.4N  61.2W   45.7N  65.2W   47.7N  58.4W   51.8N  48.0W
  BAMM    40.7N  62.1W   45.1N  63.4W   48.0N  59.3W   50.1N  49.5W
  A98E    39.8N  61.9W   37.2N  62.3W   39.3N  52.7W   46.5N  40.4W
  LBAR    42.7N  61.7W   52.1N  56.3W   45.3N  56.9W   53.4N  47.2W
  SHIP        64KTS          68KTS          62KTS          53KTS
  DSHP        64KTS          45KTS          32KTS          29KTS

               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  31.1N LONCUR =  65.0W DIRCUR = 308DEG SPDCUR =  14KT
  LATM12 =  29.0N LONM12 =  61.8W DIRM12 = 314DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
  LATM24 =  27.8N LONM24 =  60.0W
  WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   25NM WNDM12 =   25KT
  CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
  RD34NE =   80NM RD34SE =   50NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW = 130NM


But the heading says tropical storm not subtropical storm so I guess we will have to wait for the 11 PM advisory to know what classification they will have but looking at the enviroment in the area it looks not fully tropical.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:11 pm

14th named storm... :eek:
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:12 pm

Brent wrote:14th named storm... :eek:


Yes 14th named storm another very active season that from 1995 the atlantic has seen a very active cycle of seasons.
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#4 Postby Hyperstorm » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:20 pm

You're exactly right. If Nicole is named at 11:00 it WILL be Subtropical.

There is NO evidence that this is anything close to a purely TROPICAL cyclone...
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#5 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:21 pm

cycloneeye,


read the header again... IT SAYS b>INVEST</b>


I've seen these things say TS Invest with 60KT winds.

No Nicole just yet
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#6 Postby Hyperstorm » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:24 pm

Derek, you're right...I didn't remember that the name is supposed to be there before a naming. Case in point, Karen in 2001 had hurricane force gusts even before it became a subtropical cyclone.
Last edited by Hyperstorm on Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#7 Postby Hurricanehink » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:25 pm

Wow, but it could just be a strong invest... We'll see at 11.
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:57 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:cycloneeye,


read the header again... IT SAYS b>INVEST</b>


I've seen these things say TS Invest with 60KT winds.

No Nicole just yet


Yes Derek you are right about that but now let's see what the NHC do in a few minutes.If they dont do anything then I busted my forecast tonight. :(
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#9 Postby Scorpion » Sat Oct 09, 2004 9:10 pm

Woohoo! Another storm to track :D.
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#10 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Sat Oct 09, 2004 10:32 pm

Hold the party. The Atlantic doesn't have its first lead of the season just yet. But it's almost a given that it'll happen. They said they'll probably start advisories "early Sunday morning", so look for us to take the lead at 5AM.
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