Matthew stationary?

#1 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:42 pm

Matthew looks almost stationary with no convection around the center. I think one of the models forecasted this scenario last week. I look for a repeat of this morning with blow up of convection around the center as the storm resumes a NNE to NE motion.

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... itype=irbw

#2 Postby **wxman57** » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:43 pm

Short loop, but I can see NNE-NE movement of the LLC. Should be inland tomorrow afternoon. Not much chance of regaining TS strength in the high shear near the coast.

lilbump3000 · #3 Postby **lilbump3000** » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:45 pm

Its not stationary, he's currently moving to the NNE to almost due N.

#4 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:47 pm

lilbump3000 wrote:Its not stationary, he's currently moving to the NNE to almost due N.

I did say "almost" stationary.

As Derek stated in his new forecast I think we'll see another
convection blowup before landfall.

lilbump3000 · #5 Postby **lilbump3000** » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:48 pm

Yes i think we might see another blowup of convection just of the coast as it makes landfall like most systems do.

Hyperstorm · #6 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:48 pm

Extremely unwise decision to be looking at this loop during the middle of the night. You can barely see where the center is. Try to use the shortwave or even the color enhanced infrared now.

It is starting to turn to a 010*...

#7 Postby **MGC** » Sat Oct 09, 2004 9:22 pm

LLCC is moving NNE. Look at the shortwave loop where the LLCC is quite evident. If there is not a convective burst near the center then Matt should be downgraded to TD later tonight.......MGC

Matthew stationary?

Matthew stationary?

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