Rainfall rates are piling up...

[Steve]

Lake Chuck Radar Storm Totals

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS ... klch.shtml

New Orleans/BR Radar Storm Totals

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS ... klix.shtml

It looks like the majority of the rainfall has cleared Lake Charles, so this isn't going to last for ever if you're on the LA, MS or AL Gulf Coasts. So far, the worst of the rain seems to be just south of Lafayette in the US Hwy. 90 Corridor and then in Southern Terrebonne Parish. NO/BR reset the totals this morning, so some of those areas had 2-3" yesterday as well. Everyone knows Doppler Estimates can be overdone (and occasionally underdone) with tropical rainfall, but if I'm a betting man, the 1-2.5" in New Orleans is about right. So if that stands, then the rest is probably close.

Steve

[PTrackerLA]

So far today we've had 5.62" of rain and and on top of what we got yesterday, some areas south of Lafayette have seen 10". The rain is starting to taper off around here so unless Matthew makes a sharp northern turn we shouldn't have any big problems.

BTW the Vermilion river in Lafayette is 2ft. above flood stage now so we really don't need anymore rain, the drought has been squashed .

[CajunMama]

We had 6" here and it stopped for awhile. I was at a football game in the rain, slicker suit, umbrella and still managed to get wet! It's picking back up a little bit but I don't think we'll see anymore rain as heavy as it was today.

[Steve]

I agree with you CajunMama. Most of the rainfall is pushing slowly east of Lafayette.

Seems like from Theriot/Dulac/Cocodrie areas of lower Terrebonne in a line to just a hair west of Houma have gotten the worst of Matthew so far. Since at least 8 o'clock, they've been under the same rainband. Here in Old Metairie, it's just a pleasant tropical evening. The winds are light but breezy at times, and the drizzle has been constant all day. I've been pretty tired all day, but if this is the tropical swan song, I figured I'd milk, errr beer it for all it's worth.

Steve

[tailgater]

between BR and NO 1" yesterday and 3 1/2" last night and today nothing to hard just a soaking rain, that's enough for us send it back to Texas I heard they needed it

[vbhoutex]

between BR and NO 1" yesterday and 3 1/2" last night and today nothing to hard just a soaking rain, that's enough for us send it back to Texas I heard they needed it

We do need it!!!! Sans the winds of course. We did manage .71" yesterday from the beginnings of Matthew.

[Sean in New Orleans]

Heavier rain will be approaching Metropolitan New Orleans in the next few hours. It's already increasing, somewhat, with intensity..

[CajunMama]

TWC said +5" possible for our area tomorrow. Just what I need...more rain!

[cind52]

Heavier rain will be approaching Metropolitan New Orleans in the next few hours. It's already increasing, somewhat, with intensity..

How fast do you think it will go through Do you expect just as much rain in NO as Houma. It seems to be moving a little faster. What do you think?

[CajunMama]

It took it about 12 hours to move through our area. Here's a link if you didn't have it already and click on short range loop and it'll show the weather moving through your area.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/images/DS ... latest.gif

[Sean in New Orleans]

Right now we are getting alot of moisture from the upper level low just to the S of Lake Charles. We are in store for alot of rain through Midnight Sunday AM, IMO. We will begin to be more affected by Tropical Storm Matthew's moisture tomorrow. I think we could see as much as Houma, if not more in the next 36 hours in New Orleans.

[cind52]

Right now we are getting alot of moisture from the upper level low just to the S of Lake Charles. We are in store for alot of rain through Midnight Sunday AM, IMO. We will begin to be more affected by Tropical Storm Matthew's moisture tomorrow. I think we could see as much as Houma, if not more in the next 36 hours in New Orleans.

when do you expect it to start?

[Steve]

This is about the best we've got so far; glad I got up in time to see it. Movement over the span of the captioned Ch-4 IR is either NE or NNE in the loop ending approx. 6:54am EDT. Obviously IR is tricky, so we won't really know until a few visible frames come out exactly where the center is. The edge of the main rainshield is about halfway between New Iberia and Houma. So if there is a more northerly component to the movement, chances are the MS and AL coasts will see the bulk of the rainfall when the next round of convection fires up and shears off ENE-NE.

Here's the IR-4.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Time for a breakfast beer

Steve

[Kennethb]

As of 6:00 a.m. Saturday, about six inches here in south Baton Rouge. Its been a steady light to moderate, occaisonally heavy rain since Friday morning.