Wild model plot -- must see.......

#1 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:12 pm

Floridians won't like the LBar. Scroll down after you link:

http://weather.net-waves.com/td14.php

Derecho · #2 Postby **Derecho** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:14 pm

A system such as 95L is probably the worst conceivable system for LBAR.

LBAR is only useful for low-latitude classical fully tropical hurricanes that are quite far from the westerlies.

#3 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:15 pm

Yes, that's why I said it was "wild."

#4 Postby **sponger** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:15 pm

Great link Dixie!

yoda · #5 Postby **yoda** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:17 pm

Correct IMO. LBAR is not good here... but BAMD/BAMM are... I think....

#6 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:18 pm

Look guys lets not make any excuses here like "oh this model is only useful in this situation and this one is not useful for that situation". We are looking for trends here in the model runs and they have been trending furter and further East simply because the tropical system is moving......East.

<RICKY>

#7 Postby **Stormcenter** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:22 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:Look guys lets not make any excuses here like "oh this model is only useful in this situation and this one is not useful for that situation". We are looking for trends here in the model runs and they have been trending furter and further East simply because the tropical system is moving......East.

<RICKY>

Oh come now we don't even have a TD for the
models actually work with here. I think the eastward
movement thing has got you too excited. We are NOT looking at
a Ivan or Charley her now. We don't even have a TD yet.

kevin · #8 Postby **kevin** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:24 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:Look guys lets not make any excuses here like "oh this model is only useful in this situation and this one is not useful for that situation". We are looking for trends here in the model runs and they have been trending furter and further East simply because the tropical system is moving......East.

<RICKY>

Derecho is a first class weather wizard.

And the way a model processes information imo is the key point in looking at where they are pointing.

#9 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:24 pm

Stormcenter wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:Look guys lets not make any excuses here like "oh this model is only useful in this situation and this one is not useful for that situation". We are looking for trends here in the model runs and they have been trending furter and further East simply because the tropical system is moving......East.

<RICKY>

Oh come now we don't even have a TD for the
models actually work with here. I think the eastward
movement thing has got you too excited. We are NOT looking at
a Ivan or Charley her now. We don't even have a TD yet.

It doesnt matter what the models have to work with, the fact of the matter is that the system is moving East. Look at the satellite and tell me that its not moving East or even ENE. Like I said, Im looking for trends.....trends so does the NHC. lol relax man and go with whats happening. Come over my place and lets drink a few bears or something 8-)

<RICKY>

#10 Postby **Stormcenter** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:30 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:Look guys lets not make any excuses here like "oh this model is only useful in this situation and this one is not useful for that situation". We are looking for trends here in the model runs and they have been trending furter and further East simply because the tropical system is moving......East.

<RICKY>

Oh come now we don't even have a TD for the
models actually work with here. I think the eastward
movement thing has got you too excited. We are NOT looking at
a Ivan or Charley her now. We don't even have a TD yet.

It doesnt matter what the models have to work with, the fact of the matter is that the system is moving East. Look at the satellite and tell me that its not moving East or even ENE. Like I said, Im looking for trends.....trends so does the NHC. lol relax man and go with whats happening. Come over my place and lets drink a few bears or something

<RICKY>

O.K. here is the latest satellite loop.
If anything it's not moving much at all.
I see the system building NE though.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... &itype=vis

#11 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:48 pm

Okay Ill just give up. I will let the tropical system speak for itself and wherever it ends up will either prove us right or wrong. How is that?

<RICKY>

Wild model plot -- must see.......

Wild model plot -- must see.......

Who is online