18:00 UTC Model Suite=24.0n-94.3w,Moving 90 Degrees 9kt

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cycloneye
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18:00 UTC Model Suite=24.0n-94.3w,Moving 90 Degrees 9kt

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 08, 2004 1:58 pm

Code: Select all

  TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST     (AL952004) ON 20041008  1800 UTC

          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          041008  1800   041009  0600   041009  1800   041010  0600

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    24.0N  94.3W   25.8N  91.5W   27.6N  88.2W   29.8N  85.1W
  BAMM    24.0N  94.3W   24.9N  92.4W   25.7N  90.2W   26.9N  88.0W
  A98E    24.0N  94.3W   24.1N  92.3W   24.8N  90.5W   25.0N  88.9W
  LBAR    24.0N  94.3W   24.5N  92.5W   25.2N  90.9W   25.6N  89.9W
  SHIP        30KTS          33KTS          39KTS          43KTS
  DSHP        30KTS          33KTS          39KTS          43KTS

          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          041010  1800   041011  1800   041012  1800   041013  1800

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    31.3N  81.1W   28.2N  71.7W   24.4N  64.1W   23.6N  57.3W
  BAMM    28.6N  86.0W   30.9N  82.3W   31.3N  77.2W   32.5N  70.8W
  A98E    25.9N  87.6W   28.6N  85.4W   31.3N  79.5W   32.7N  69.4W
  LBAR    26.0N  89.0W   26.5N  86.7W   25.8N  83.0W   25.0N  78.1W
  SHIP        44KTS          35KTS          21KTS           0KTS
  DSHP        44KTS          30KTS          21KTS           0KTS

               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  24.0N LONCUR =  94.3W DIRCUR =  90DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
  LATM12 =  23.9N LONM12 =  96.2W DIRM12 =  49DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
  LATM24 =  22.4N LONM24 =  96.4W
  WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   90NM WNDM12 =   30KT
  CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
  RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
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kevin

#2 Postby kevin » Fri Oct 08, 2004 1:59 pm

90 degrees is due north????
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#3 Postby yoda » Fri Oct 08, 2004 1:59 pm

If we are to believe the DSHP and SHIP at 0 hours, a strength of 30 kts is 35 mph, which would mean a TD at 5 right? Or I am reading something wrong?
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#4 Postby CaneCurious » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:00 pm

Is there a visible to go along with the data? I am a newbie.
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kevin

#5 Postby kevin » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:00 pm

Hey thats true..... 35mph
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#6 Postby caneman » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:02 pm

kevin wrote:90 degrees is due north????


due East and coming for Florida.
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#7 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:03 pm

caneman wrote:
kevin wrote:90 degrees is due north????


due East and coming for Florida.


That is not a good thing to hear but you are right. The numbers dont lie.

<RICKY>
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#8 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:03 pm

Bingo. East true as we have been noting...


See they keep it down in intensity...
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#9 Postby MGC » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:05 pm

Will someone in Florida please turn off the hurricane attactor beam...MGC
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caneman

#10 Postby caneman » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:05 pm

Sanibel wrote:Bingo. East true as we have been noting...


See they keep it down in intensity...


Yes, due East. that would be a real................... problem here in West Central Florida as alot of the Rivers are still above flood stage. And this darn thing better not get to 60+ mph in winds. I was without power for 3 days with Frances, 5 days with Jeanne and I might go psycho if I lose it again.
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kevin

#11 Postby kevin » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:07 pm

Due east... I thought maybe. Except ugh... no no no... go west to Texas. At least its not going to be bad.
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#12 Postby Brent » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:09 pm

yoda wrote:If we are to believe the DSHP and SHIP at 0 hours, a strength of 30 kts is 35 mph, which would mean a TD at 5 right? Or I am reading something wrong?


I believe it was initialized at that at 12z this morning and they didn't upgrade either.
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