GFDL..06 run still a Cane @ Landfall and still LA.......

#1 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 7:49 am

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/gfd ... =Animation

#2 Postby **Stormcenter** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:17 am

Dean4Storms wrote:http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2004100806-invest95l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

Interesting to say the least.

Ixolib · #3 Postby **Ixolib** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:33 am

Dean4Storms wrote:http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2004100806-invest95l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

74 KTs at landfall - that IS interesting... :eek:

#4 Postby **HollynLA** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:36 am

No, that's downright scary being that it would be about 24 hours till landfall from now. Almost no warning at all!! It will be interesting to see if this pans out but for now, I'm crossing my fingers that this doesn't happen.

Rainband · #5 Postby **Rainband** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:37 am

too much shear.

Derek Ortt · #6 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:39 am

the gfdl is a bit longer than 24.

this shouldnt be inland until late tomorrow at the earliest, more likely sunday

caneman · #7 Postby **caneman** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:40 am

Dean4Storms wrote:http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2004100806-invest95l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

Call me stupid but loking at the Water Vapor loop and the speed of the front moving down, I don't see anyway that this will hit Louisiana. Looks like Mississippi and East to me.

CYCLONE MIKE · #8 Postby **CYCLONE MIKE** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:40 am

Does anyone know why it is still showing S. Central LA landfall, when everyone this morning thinks it is already moving ENE or just E of NE. ?

#9 Postby **HollynLA** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:40 am

too much shear.

I agree that has been alot of shear although it is forecasted to decrease. However, in spite of all the shear that has been occuring, it has still managed to get it's act together more than anyone thought it would. With this season being the way it's been, all bets are off.

Rainband · #10 Postby **Rainband** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:42 am

true Holly. :lol:

at any rate it's going to be wet for a few days for the Gulf Coast and the SE :eek:

#11 Postby **Stormcenter** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:44 am

caneman wrote:
Dean4Storms wrote:http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2004100806-invest95l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

Call me stupid but loking at the Water Vapor loop and the speed of the front moving down, I don't see anyway that this will hit Louisiana. Looks like Mississippi and East to me.

We are NOT allowed to call people names on this board, LOL!!!

Derek Ortt · #12 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:46 am

it should turn back to the NE or NNE as the front approaches and the winds shift to more southerly ahead of the front

#13 Postby **Stormcenter** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:46 am

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:Does anyone know why it is still showing S. Central LA landfall, when everyone this morning thinks it is already moving ENE or just E of NE. ?

Who is "everyone"? If it's moving NNE or NE it's headed toward
Louisiana coastline based on the current NHC location of the center.

#14 Postby **Stormcenter** » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:47 am

Derek Ortt wrote:it should turn back to the NE or NNE as the front approaches and the winds shift to more southerly ahead of the front

Thanks Derek for that explanation.

GFDL..06 run still a Cane @ Landfall and still LA.......

GFDL..06 run still a Cane @ Landfall and still LA.......

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Re: GFDL..06 run still a Cane @ Landfall and still LA.......

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