Vortex Message!

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
9:48
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 42
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2004 11:48 pm
Location: The Night Before Yesterday

Vortex Message!

#1 Postby 9:48 » Thu Oct 07, 2004 4:13 pm

URNT12 KNHC 072054
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 07/2054Z
B. 22 DEG 49 MIN N
96 DEG 35 MIN W
C. NA
D. 35 KT
E. 068 DEG 042 NM
F. 180 DEG 20 KT
G. 311 DEG 030 NM
H. EXTRAP 1007 MB
I. 23 C/ 224 M
J. 26 C/ 217 M
K. 24 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345/01
O. 0.1/ 4 NM
P. AF861 01DDA INVEST OB 15
MAX FL WIND 20 KT E QUAD 1925Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT.

;
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3261
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

#2 Postby chris_fit » Thu Oct 07, 2004 4:14 pm

Doesnt look to impressive
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#3 Postby feederband » Thu Oct 07, 2004 4:15 pm

still has a way to go
0 likes   
Top
9:48
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 42
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2004 11:48 pm
Location: The Night Before Yesterday

#4 Postby 9:48 » Thu Oct 07, 2004 4:16 pm

I think max flight level winds of 20KT are the lowest I have ever seen in a vortex message.
0 likes   
Top
tallywx
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 798
Joined: Thu Jul 03, 2003 10:19 am
Location: Raleigh/Durham, NC

#5 Postby tallywx » Thu Oct 07, 2004 4:16 pm

Nope.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU OCT 7 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE HAS BEEN INVESTIGATING THE AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND SO FAR IT HAS FOUND A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH LIGHT WINDS EXCEPT IN A FEW
SQUALLS. ALTHOUGH SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM HAS NOT
BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED...SOME MODELS SUGGEST THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A TROPICAL OR NON-TROPICAL LOW DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. EVEN
IF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT DEVELOP FURTHER...IT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHERN GULF COAST AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD TO
NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANOTHER PLANE IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA ON FRIDAY.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#6 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Oct 07, 2004 4:16 pm

From 1010 to 1007 MB just today is a pretty good drop. I think we have something here.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#7 Postby Brent » Thu Oct 07, 2004 4:40 pm

I doubt it. The pressure was ESTIMATED until now.

I don't forsee anything coming from it other than a lot of rain.

20 kt? My ceiling fan blows faster than that. :lol:
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Scorpion

#8 Postby Scorpion » Thu Oct 07, 2004 4:55 pm

Omg 20 kts??!! Lol. Run for your lives its the storm of the century!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
~SirCane
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 287
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:55 pm
Location: Pensacola, FL
Contact:
Contact ~SirCane

#9 Postby ~SirCane » Thu Oct 07, 2004 5:05 pm

This is nothing but a rain maker.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
depotoo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3611
Joined: Mon Aug 11, 2003 9:29 pm
Location: west palm beach

#10 Postby depotoo » Thu Oct 07, 2004 5:11 pm

let's just wait and see...
Remember Jeanne??
Dixiebreeze - you could be right!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
weatherwindow
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Joined: Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:48 am
Location: key west/ft lauderdale

#11 Postby weatherwindow » Thu Oct 07, 2004 5:37 pm

dixie, i do think we will have something here...pressures are still dropping, winds will catch up as it consolidates.......doubt much more than a 50kt storm.. rich
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#12 Postby Sanibel » Thu Oct 07, 2004 5:50 pm

Only if the center deepens...
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: AnnularCane, kevin and 572 guests