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...Discussion...
Gulf of Mexico...
A 1010 mb low has developed just E of tuxpan Mexico near 21n96w
along a stationary sfc trof which has been just offshore the
Mexican coast for the past 2 days. Satellite imagery has
suggested that a low-level circulation has become better defined
during the day...and widespread tstm activity has flared up over
much of the W Gulf. Currently...scattered moderate convection
extends from 20n-26n between 89w-97w with other widely scattered
moderate along the Mexican coast between Campeche and
Villahermosa. Farther N...A stationary front extends from cntrl
Florida to coastal Louisiana as strong high pres builds in from
the N over the eastern United States. The western part of the
front near the Texas coast appears to have dissipated with
strong sly return flow developing from the Gulf into the
Southern Plains. This moist flow has supported widely scattered
showers and tstms off the Texas coast...well N of the developing
sfc low...N of 26n between 90w-97w. A broad upper level high is
centered over the SW Yucatan Peninsula and is bringing abundant
moisture from the W Gulf tstms ewd towards Florida and the W
atlc. It should be fairly wet along the Gulf Coast now through
the weekend as the sfc low moves N and interacts with the
stationary frontal boundary...maybe producing a hybrid-type
subtropical system.
The above from the 8 PM discussion.
Let's see what type of system comes out of this a pure tropical,a subtropical or hybrid.










