Low near 97.6w 22.2n clearly visible...........

[Dean4Storms]

and very near Tampico. This low is just along the coast in Mexico and seems to be nearly stationary at the present. You can clearly see it on this visible loop.......watch the darker grey lower level swirl.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Guest]

I see more of a the center being at 19.5N 96W.

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

[Dean4Storms]

I see more of a the center being at 19.5N 96W.

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

No, it isn't. You have to focus on the darker lower level clouds. The bright white clouds are higher level and thus not at the surface.

[Guest]

I see more of a the center being at 19.5N 96W.

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

No, it isn't. You have to focus on the darker lower level clouds. The bright white clouds are higher level and thus not at the surface.

OK

[Dean4Storms]

Try the Zoom in feature at the link I provided above and zoom in and watch just inland and north of where you see that little bit of a thumb sticking out along the east coast of Mexico, I think you'll see what I'm referencing.

[Guest]

Try the Zoom in feature at the link I provided above and zoom in and watch just inland and north of where you see that little bit of a thumb sticking out along the east coast of Mexico, I think you'll see what I'm referencing.

I did and from my view I see a swirl and low level injection at a point ESE of Vera Cruz.

[Stormcenter]

and very near Tampico. This low is just along the coast in Mexico and seems to be nearly stationary at the present. You can clearly see it on this visible loop.......watch the darker grey lower level swirl.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

O.K. if this is the case now what should we expect?

[Dean4Storms]

and very near Tampico. This low is just along the coast in Mexico and seems to be nearly stationary at the present. You can clearly see it on this visible loop.......watch the darker grey lower level swirl.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

O.K. if this is the case now what should we expect?

This is where the models begin to initialize a low and take it NNE toward southern LA as the trough in the plains draws it northward along the back side of the ridge over the eastern CONUS. Currently there is too much shear for much development, but it does bear watching.

[Dean4Storms]

Try the Zoom in feature at the link I provided above and zoom in and watch just inland and north of where you see that little bit of a thumb sticking out along the east coast of Mexico, I think you'll see what I'm referencing.

I did and from my view I see a swirl and low level injection at a point ESE of Vera Cruz.

I see what you are referencing and actually Vera Cruz has the lowest pressure between Tampico and itself. VC @ 1013mb and Tampico @ 1015mb. So it could be that we have a broad area of low pressure with a battle taking place for a center.

[Guest]

Im glad you see it, and I see what your talking about as well. This could get interesting for E Tx and Louisiana later this week. We've had a ton of rain and I hope it developes just a bit to keep the rain away from S. Tex because we dont need anymore

[~SirCane]

Reminds me too much of where Opal began. Don't need an Opal right now!!

[Guest]

No Opal thats for sure, I was talking about a fast moving tropical storm.

[Stormsfury]

Clearly visible? ...

All I see is a choatic mess with NO apparent low level circulation ... AT BEST, I observe low level clouds moving SW, and that's SW of the congealed showers and thunderstorms ...

A SFC low will likely take shape and might be in process of doing so, conditions aloft are still not particularly favorable for tropical development ... enhancement of the SBJ will laden this conglamorated mass with tons of tropical moisture ... irregardless of development or not, this is a supersoaker a coming ...

SF

[WeatherEmperor]

I agree with Stormfury. Although not impossible, I dont look for much development out of this right away. Now if it sits and spins there longer that would be a different story.

<RICKY>

[wxman57]

Clearly visible? ...

All I see is a choatic mess with NO apparent low level circulation ... AT BEST, I observe low level clouds moving SW, and that's SW of the congealed showers and thunderstorms ...

A SFC low will likely take shape and might be in process of doing so, conditions aloft are still not particularly favorable for tropical development ... enhancement of the SBJ will laden this conglamorated mass with tons of tropical moisture ... irregardless of development or not, this is a supersoaker a coming ...

SF

I agree, SF, nothing there yet. I'm looking at some much higher resolution imagery here with surface obs plotted and all I see is an area of convergence in that area. No evidence of a circulation yet, surface of aloft. I think we'll get a low form out there, though, but probably not until late tomorrow or Friday.

[Guest]

Well I DONT agree with either of YOU!

[Guest]

[Stormcenter]

Looking at the latest infrared satellite
loop there seems to be alot of deep
convection building deep in the BOC.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[wxman57]

Looking at the latest infrared satellite
loop there seems to be alot of deep
convection building deep in the BOC.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Yep, convergence is increasing - the first step toward developing an LLC. Now we'll have to get the squalls to persist in one area for another 24 hours or so.

[Guest]

I hope you peeps know Im kidding, but when all CAPS are used I like to do the same.