GOM area looks better organized

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GOM area looks better organized

#1 Postby Guest » Wed Oct 06, 2004 6:53 am

The system in the gulf looks better org. Look at the latest IR Looks like a broad cir. forming. Any comments?
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HollynLA
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#2 Postby HollynLA » Wed Oct 06, 2004 7:29 am

It looks to be trying it's darndest to get together but the shear is fairly strong right now.
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#3 Postby PurdueWx80 » Wed Oct 06, 2004 7:38 am

There really isn't that much shear at all in the southern Gulf. The strongest of the westerlies are right along the US coast, and upper winds are light further south, where the ridge is holding more influence. It's the "stuff" in the Bay of Campeche that needs to be watched for now. This is the deepest convection I have seen in days, which may mean conditions have improved enough for this to go ahead and start a slow development into a surface low.
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#4 Postby WeatherEmperor » Wed Oct 06, 2004 8:52 am

Well the convection in the northern portion has died off a bit but it is doing its very best to flare up in the extreme southern GOM with new convection firing. This is because the shear is alot less down there.

<RICKY>
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#5 Postby Guest » Wed Oct 06, 2004 9:06 am

Thanks everyone Have a nice day. Rainy here in EC Fl but at least it is cooler. Fishing season is here.
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#6 Postby golter » Wed Oct 06, 2004 9:51 am

I for one am ready for it to be blown out by a front. It hasnt shown any real signs of developing, but I would feel better if it were gone. I think we will not see it gone until middle of next week.
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#7 Postby ~SirCane » Wed Oct 06, 2004 10:25 am

I hope it doesn't form.
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#8 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Oct 06, 2004 10:37 am

I say there is a decent chance
we will get at least a TD out this
LARGE mess. It reminds me alot of
Hurricane Juan (I'm not saying that
it will become a hurricane).

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... &itype=vis
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#9 Postby WeatherEmperor » Wed Oct 06, 2004 10:53 am

Stormcenter wrote:I say there is a decent chance
we will get at least a TD out this
LARGE mess. It reminds me alot of
Hurricane Juan (I'm not saying that
it will become a hurricane).

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... &itype=vis


If it sits and spins down in the extreme southern GOM long enough then what you say may in fact happen.

<RICKY>
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