I find it odd....

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I find it odd....

#1 Postby Anonymous » Mon Oct 04, 2004 11:57 am

I have been tracking hurricanes since 2000. I find it odd that we had so many "COULD HAVE BEENS" just in the last 3 years.

"Debby to be major hurricane... never was"
"Gordon to explode..... never did"
"LOL... BARRY TO BE A HURRICANE... never was"
"Gabrielle to be a hurricane... never was at the coast"

NOW, in contrast in 2004 you have:

"Charley to be major hurricane.... IT WAS"
"Ivan to be major hurricane.... IT WAS"
"Jeanne COULD POSSIBLY BECOME a major hurricane.... IT DID"

We are in that time folks... 2005, 2006, 2014! We will be woke up to see that category 1 hurricane bearing down on the coast as a category 4 possibly EVERY YEAR. It seems like, for example, in 2000: Joyce could become a major hurricane... it never did.... THIS YEAR IT WOULD HAVE BEEN.

AND NOT TO MENTION SOME FACTS:

ON AUGUST 11TH AT 11PM, THE NHC SAID QUOTE "THE GFDL IS MORE AGGRESSIVE AND MAKES CHARLEY A 106-KNOT HURRICANE AS IT CROSSES WESTERN CUBA." CHARLEY WAS 105 KT IN CUBA!

Remember guys? The GFDL took Charley into Florida at 140 mph, and we LAUGHED! The GFDL took Ivan south the Haiti as a 160 mph category 5 hurricane and we LAUGHED!

You know how each winter I REALLY focus, look back and study one big storm of the season? 2002 it was Lili, 2003 it was Isabel.... this year, it is Charley.

For good images of Charley, go here:
http://www.freewebs.com/charleythehurri ... harley.htm
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Re: I find it odd....

#2 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Oct 04, 2004 12:03 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:I have been tracking hurricanes since 2000. I find it odd that we had so many "COULD HAVE BEENS" just in the last 3 years.

"Debby to be major hurricane... never was"
"Gordon to explode..... never did"
"LOL... BARRY TO BE A HURRICANE... never was"
"Gabrielle to be a hurricane... never was at the coast"

NOW, in contrast in 2004 you have:

"Charley to be major hurricane.... IT WAS"
"Ivan to be major hurricane.... IT WAS"
"Jeanne COULD POSSIBLY BECOME a major hurricane.... IT DID"

We are in that time folks... 2005, 2006, 2014! We will be woke up to see that category 1 hurricane bearing down on the coast as a category 4 possibly EVERY YEAR. It seems like, for example, in 2000: Joyce could become a major hurricane... it never did.... THIS YEAR IT WOULD HAVE BEEN.

AND NOT TO MENTION SOME FACTS:

ON AUGUST 11TH AT 11PM, THE NHC SAID QUOTE "THE GFDL IS MORE AGGRESSIVE AND MAKES CHARLEY A 106-KNOT HURRICANE AS IT CROSSES WESTERN CUBA." CHARLEY WAS 105 KT IN CUBA!

Remember guys? The GFDL took Charley into Florida at 140 mph, and we LAUGHED! The GFDL took Ivan south the Haiti as a 160 mph category 5 hurricane and we LAUGHED!

You know how each winter I REALLY focus, look back and study one big storm of the season? 2002 it was Lili, 2003 it was Isabel.... this year, it is Charley.

For good images of Charley, go here:
http://www.freewebs.com/charleythehurri ... harley.htm


great images and good analysis. I visited Fort Myers Beach, Sanibel and Captiva this weekend and Captiva has massive devestation to the trees that once made this island such a nice place.
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#3 Postby Anonymous » Mon Oct 04, 2004 12:12 pm

Although with a 145-155 mph hurricane not much can be done, I think for the fact that the media JUMPED on Tampa that some to the south did not prepare as better plus, they were ready for 110 mph Charley. Max Mayfield was on the Barometer Bob Show, and said "IF a category 3 is forecast, be ready for a category 4." SO, they were forecasting 125 mph... people should have been prepared for that 145 mph.
Infact, it was a few days after Charley that I noticed how the media spun the storm. I said at 5am that fateful day, 125 mph near Naples. It headed near Ft. Myers, and made a teeny weenie jog north of that into Charlotte Harbor.
The projected path was from the panhandle to Naples. I was not surprised. I hated the medias "SUDDEN TURN RIGHT" with the "CRINGING TURN NORTH INTO PUNTA GORDA". They can hype intensity, because that was a surprise.
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#4 Postby cape_escape » Mon Oct 04, 2004 12:15 pm

Thanks! Great pics!
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#5 Postby Sanibel » Mon Oct 04, 2004 12:26 pm

I evacuated at 10 the night before because I knew it was coming close. The rapid intensification was no shock to me. What was a shock was that we still had a house after a category 4 eyewall passed 14 miles to our west sending the NE side over us. The trees really took a quick blast and were heavily damaged. The houses made it because the storm passed so quickly. North Captiva recorded a gust of 178mph!
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#6 Postby Aquawind » Mon Oct 04, 2004 12:36 pm

Good Post Floydbuster!

Although this is really no surprise..It's already been mentioned...More activity to come and of course more landfalls. More development in general would point to more possible lanfalling Majors...

As Emeril would say..BAM! Let's kick it up a notch..

Mother Nature gotta new spice rack for her birthday. With a Big pot of Hot water on the stove(SSTs) for a few more years she will be doing some serious cooking in years to come.. :roll:
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#7 Postby dhweather » Mon Oct 04, 2004 12:40 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:Although with a 145-155 mph hurricane not much can be done, I think for the fact that the media JUMPED on Tampa that some to the south did not prepare as better plus, they were ready for 110 mph Charley. Max Mayfield was on the Barometer Bob Show, and said "IF a category 3 is forecast, be ready for a category 4." SO, they were forecasting 125 mph... people should have been prepared for that 145 mph.
Infact, it was a few days after Charley that I noticed how the media spun the storm. I said at 5am that fateful day, 125 mph near Naples. It headed near Ft. Myers, and made a teeny weenie jog north of that into Charlotte Harbor.
The projected path was from the panhandle to Naples. I was not surprised. I hated the medias "SUDDEN TURN RIGHT" with the "CRINGING TURN NORTH INTO PUNTA GORDA". They can hype intensity, because that was a surprise.


The media at its best - pinpointing Tampa in this case.

When will they get it? A HURRICANE IS NOT A SPOT!

There were Hurricanse warnings all over the West Coast of Florida.
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#8 Postby James » Mon Oct 04, 2004 12:47 pm

Great post, Floydbuster, and great images.
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#9 Postby Anonymous » Mon Oct 04, 2004 1:39 pm

Thanks... those Charley images will be continually updated. By the way... if anybody has old storm floater loop or Weather Channel images from ANY past hurricanes... I might be interested.
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#10 Postby CharleySurvivor » Tue Oct 05, 2004 11:07 am

Wow, nice pics indeed! Thanks Floydbuster!

Charley came where I live and will show this to my family.
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#11 Postby Stormtrack03 » Tue Oct 05, 2004 11:27 am

GFDL not always reliable, did a horrible job with Jeanne.
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#12 Postby rbaker » Tue Oct 05, 2004 12:02 pm

not to mention gfs, on both Jeanne and Frances were terrible on both these storms.
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#13 Postby SwampDawg » Tue Oct 05, 2004 12:06 pm

dhweather wrote:
~Floydbuster wrote:Although with a 145-155 mph hurricane not much can be done, I think for the fact that the media JUMPED on Tampa that some to the south did not prepare as better plus, they were ready for 110 mph Charley. Max Mayfield was on the Barometer Bob Show, and said "IF a category 3 is forecast, be ready for a category 4." SO, they were forecasting 125 mph... people should have been prepared for that 145 mph.
Infact, it was a few days after Charley that I noticed how the media spun the storm. I said at 5am that fateful day, 125 mph near Naples. It headed near Ft. Myers, and made a teeny weenie jog north of that into Charlotte Harbor.
The projected path was from the panhandle to Naples. I was not surprised. I hated the medias "SUDDEN TURN RIGHT" with the "CRINGING TURN NORTH INTO PUNTA GORDA". They can hype intensity, because that was a surprise.


The media at its best - pinpointing Tampa in this case.

When will they get it? A HURRICANE IS NOT A SPOT!

There were Hurricanse warnings all over the West Coast of Florida.


It's not the media that should get it, it's the people that live in the warning area that should be getting it.
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#14 Postby mascpa » Tue Oct 05, 2004 1:00 pm

Agree 100% SwampDawg.
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