Evening Jeanne Forecast... left and more intense

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Derek Ortt

Evening Jeanne Forecast... left and more intense

#1 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:43 pm

http://www.nwhhc.com/atl112004forecast.html


dont shoot me, I'm only the messenger
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Matthew5

#2 Postby Matthew5 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:44 pm

Thank you Derek that is a very good forecast... :)
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#3 Postby jagesq » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:45 pm

Thank you Derek, I always appreciate your honesty, but I do still want to shoot you.
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Derek Ortt

#4 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:46 pm

graphics now at http://www.nwhhc.com/atl112004graphics.html


well, time for me to go off and buy my hurricane supplies
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kevin

#5 Postby kevin » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:49 pm

Don't forget the mountain dews and potato chips.
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#6 Postby dhweather » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:50 pm

You said Okechobee for Frances too..... :(
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#7 Postby SootyTern » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:50 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:graphics now at http://www.nwhhc.com/atl112004graphics.html


well, time for me to go off and buy my hurricane supplies



Yikes! You were so spot-on with Ivan....
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#8 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:50 pm

:crazyeyes: :crazyeyes: :crazyeyes: :crazyeyes: :crazyeyes:
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#neversummer
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#9 Postby cape_escape » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:51 pm

Derek, so your don't see her crossing Florida and into the GOM? And, if you do, where about do you think she will exit?
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#10 Postby MiaMom » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:51 pm

Hi Derek,

Since you mentioned you are getting your hurricane supplies, what kind of wind, weather and surge are you expecting in Miami?

Thanks
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Derek Ortt

#11 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:52 pm

if this track verifies, it will be a little worse than frances. we may get what broward received. As I said at 5, I'd love to be wrong this time
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#12 Postby MiaMom » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:54 pm

Hey, thanks a lot. Your reply is very much appreciated.
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#13 Postby Aquawind » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:55 pm

Wow..even over the big lake..
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Scorpion

#14 Postby Scorpion » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:55 pm

Omg... what is 110 kts equal to?? 125 mph?? Thats a strong 3. Not good....
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#15 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:56 pm

Scorpion wrote:Omg... what is 110 kts equal to?? 125 mph?? Thats a strong 3. Not good....


Yep...
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#16 Postby tronbunny » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:08 pm

jagesq wrote:Thank you Derek, I always appreciate your honesty, but I do still want to shoot you.

I too appreciate your work.
I just wish you'd be wrong this time.
:(
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#17 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:09 pm

I hope you are wrong so badly but the fact is that you have been so accurate this season that I find it very very hard to disagree with you.

<RICKY>
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#18 Postby stormchazer » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:11 pm

If you don't have a nice thing to say Derek....don't say it. Thanks.
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The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.

Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
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Opinions my own.
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rainstorm

#19 Postby rainstorm » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:12 pm

i certainly hope it weakens
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rbaker

#20 Postby rbaker » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:22 pm

not to dispute the met Derek, but Im going even a little further west as the wv loop is showing the ridge still poking through the west coast of fla out into just off the coast in the gom.
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